SACRUS

Western Atlantic Ridge strength forecast has been too weak vs what has been occurring. This should mean winds may be bigger threat here tomorrow vs the widespread flooding rains which now look west of the immediate metro areas. EPA.NWNJ

11AM Roundup ACY: 86 ISP: 85 LGA: 85 BLM: 85 JFK: 83 TEB: 83 EWR: 83 PHL: 83 TTN: 82 New Brnswck: 82 NYC: 81

81/64 feels 40 degrees cooler. Humidity to build back in today. Warmer spots should grab another 90 (low 90s today) ahead of Isaias. Still think we are looking on the wetter side 2 - 4 inches widespread but leave the detail to the numerous threads we have actively discussing the impacts. Beyond Isaias Wed - Thu looks like really good beach days near normal less humid on Thu. By 8/12 the WAR has positioned back east with a strong Rockies ridge. Caught between these ridges will lead to chances for storms and temps slightly warmer than normal through 8/12. 8/13 and beyond Part 3 of onshore flow followed by high heat. Rockies ridge build immensely into the Plains north of us causing return E/ENE flow for a period. This should translate to near normal temps and high humidity days when winds have a more SE component. Stronger and more sustained heat towards the end of the period as WAR expands west with its retrograde and Plains ridge shifts east and winds get us a more sw flow. Looking like second half of August scorcher may be in the cards.

TEB- LGA< TTN - New Brnswck chance for heatwave via WAR tomorrow ahead of storms and Isaias.

8/2 TTN: 95 New Brnswck: 94 EWR: 93 PHL: 93 TEB: 91 BLM: 90 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 JFK: 85 ISP: 83

8/2 TTN: 95 New Brnswck: 94 EWR: 93 PHL: 93 TEB: 91 BLM: 90 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 JFK: 85 ISP: 83

Made it to 95 here now 91 / 74 and breezy. Smells like Tampa.

We'll see if the SSW winds hold EWR again from 90. TEB, LGA enroute so far

2PM Roundup - heatwave possible for parts ofthe area and large section of NJ if tomorrow stays clear. PHL: 92 TTN: 92 New Brnswck: 92 BLM: 89 TEB: 89 LGA: 88 EWR: 88 NYC: 87 ACY: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 82

90/76 here. Weight lose accelerated by a simple walk around the block.

11AM Roundup ACY: 86/76 PHL: 84/73 New Brnswk: 83/78 TTN: 83/75 BLM: 82/81 LGA: 82/73 JFK: 82/76 EWR: 81/75 TEB: 80/74 ISP: 80/74 NYC: 80/73 Sun breaking through into much of NJ now working its way north, expect big jum next few hours.

South Florida/Keys-like here 83/76 now. Sun breaking through. Could be the hottest heatindex day here or close to it, this summer. Those mold spore allergies are trough the roof the next 10 days or so. Thu the one dryish day 8/6.

Tropics 80/75. Had about 0.09 overnight. Dew point temps in the low to mid 70s next two days. Clouds look to have some breaks in the next hour and we'll see how fast we can warm ahead of more afternoon and evening storms perhaps strong to severe and plentiful. Very warm airmass with 850MB >18c today, only clouds and storms would limit widespread 90s. On Monday ahead of Isiaas, again pending on clouds and showers/storms, should see widespsread 90s in the region. Isaias impacts starting Tuesday pm and continue into the night. 3 - 5 inches of rain area-wide, leaning towards wetter scenario. Much discussion happening separately on that front in multiple threads. Beyond there Thu looks like pleasant day of temps near or below normal. Warm and wet 8/7 - 8/13. Limited 90s but humid and warm. Bit of a ridge north of the region replay from May and June could lead to onshore flow with multiple storm chances when winds come out of the south. Rockies ridge moves east into the Plains towards the middle or end of next week with next potential sustained heat and perhaps strong heat as WAR possible expands west as well.

Newark with the southern wind capping at 88 today. Clouds and storms look numerous tomorrow, already showers into EPA. Monday may be the next shot at 90s ahead of Isaias with 850 temps near 20C.

8/1 TTN: 91 TEB: 90 New Brsnwck: 90 LGA: 90 PHL: 90 NYC: 88 ISP: 88 EWR: 88 ACY: 87 BLM: 87 JFK: 86

Newark falls short 8/1 TTN: 91 TEB: 90 New Brsnwck: 90 LGA: 90 PHL: 90 NYC: 88 ISP: 88 EWR: 88 ACY: 87 BLM: 87 JFK: 86

3PM Roundup New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 89 LGA: 89 PHL: 89 EWR: 88 BLM: 86 ACY: 8% JFK: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 82

2PM Roundup TEB: 90 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 TTN: 88 EWR: 87 BLM: 86 ACY: 86 LGA: 86 ISP: 84 JFK: 83 NYC: 82

August has been a bit of a back and forth month the last decade. EWR 2010: +1.9 - continued hot but not like July 2011: +1.1 - warm and record wet after a record hot July 2012: +1.8 - hot after very hot July 2013: -1.1 - below normal following a very hot Jul 2014: -1.3 - near or below normal after a below normal July 2015: +2.9 - very warm after warmish July 2016: +4.1 - very hot after warm Jul 2017: -1.8 - cooler than normal after hot Jul 2018: +3.4 Hot Aug after hot Juk 2019: +0.4 near normal after hot Jul

Noon roundup, lots of clouds inland with seabreaze pushing in along the Jersey shore PHL: 88 TEB: 87 New Brnswck: 87 ISP: 86 TTN: 86 ACY: 86 LGA: 85 EWR: 85 BLM: 84 JFK: 82 NYC: 82

Sump pump overloader, mosquito barrage, and gutter busting rains being forecast this week.

Race is on for a 90 in the warmer spots with clouds pushing into EPA and near W-NJ 11AM Roundup New Brnswck: 86 PHL: 86 ISP: 85 EWR: 85 TTN: 85 ACY: 84 TEB: 83 JFK: 83 NYC: 82 LGA: 82 BLM: 82

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84/66 and bright sunshine but clouds on the move from CPA. We'll see if they can dissipate and we can burn some off. Today pending on clouds will see some of the warmer spots approach 90. Sunday the same but there look to be plenty of storms nearby. Sun and Mon will feature a spike of 850MB temps to >18c with high dew points ahead of Isaias so warm and quite wet. Tuesday - Wed AM dealing with Isaias and plenty rain 3 - 5 inches for total storm totals Mon PM - Wed August opening warm and wet besides a couple of days post Isaias (8/6 - 8/7) that look drier. Rockies ridge will shift towards the plains and heat will eject eat into the GL/MW and then east into the area towards the middle of the second week of August where more sustained heat is possible. Stronger heat looks more possible around or closer to mid month.

7/31 was a fun month tracking heat, storms and TS Fay and now Isaias. August looks to pick up right where Jul is handing off. TEB: 85 TTN: 84 New Brnswck: 84 LGA: 84 PHL: 84 EWR: 83 ACy: 82 ISP: 81 NYC: 80 JFK: 79 BLM: 79