SACRUS

Noon Roundup LGA: 87/63 EWR: 86/69 PHL: 85/70 TEB: 85/69 BLM: 84/70 New Brnswck: 84/71 NYC: 83/69 JFK: 81/72 ISP: 81/71 TTN: 81/70

Dew points in low 70s. Heat index values approaching upper 90s today with temps 88 - 92 range.

83/71 as we heat things up today. Warmer spots with a good shot at 90s with most others warm in the upper 80s. Next heatwave of the season Mon - Wed as temps spike Tue/Wed head of front. Low to mid 90s with stray spots 95(+). Storms possible each night with front arriving later Wed, pending on that arrival and any debris clouds Wed is a tossup day for 90s. Beyond there Thu 8/13 through next weekend 8/15-8/16 warm and stormy. More of a Florida-like pattern : sun out very warm but many clouds and steamy. Onshore flow at some point in the period may extend through the beginning of next week (8/17). Long range we may see a day or two true cooldown before the Rockies/Plains ridge and heat shifts east into the GL/OV and we heat things up here after in the 8/19 or 8/20 period. Caught between the ridges . WAR still the unknown if it expands west to hook and really heat things up...

8/8 New Brnswk: 85 LGA: 85 TEB: 85 PHL: 85 TTN: 84 EWR: 84 NYC: 83 JFK: 83 ACY: 82 BLM: 79 ISP: 79

77/70 low clouds stingy as flow swings around to the N/NW later today. Clouds should burn off by the afternoon but we've seen this before and they tend to stick (literally) around longer. Tomorrow - Warming things up the next 4 - 5 days starting Sunday where the warmer spots should get to 90. Mon - Wed - 850 temps >16c and peaking Tue/Wed near 18c. >20C temps look go wide/north of the area into NYS and New England but still low/mid 90s here perhaps a stray upper 90s or two in the usual warmer spots. By Thu 8/13 the massive ridge is building in the upper Mid west and GL into Canada creating a weakness into the Northeast. The W.estern Atlantic Ridge is near Bermuda and pending on its expansion it looks like a 3 - 5 day trip with onshore flow and pop up storms that could train with clouds. Perhaps a cooler day melded in with enough of a NNE flow but overall warm and wet 8/13 - 8/19. Beyond there in the long range built up heat is on its way east for the end of the month. WAR may build and link with Plains ridge.

8/7 PHL: 84 NYC: 81 JFK: 80 ACY: 80 LGA: 80 TEB: 80 ISP: 80 EWR: 80 New Brnswck: 79 TTN: 78 BLM: 76

69/67 light rain and another cloudy/wet Friday a theme this past month or so. Cloudy/showers and potential storms today. Dry things out Saturday and begin a warmup Sunday with some of the hotter spots reaching a 90. Mon - Wed hot and 90s widespread but storms chances each day and need to watch clouds/cloud debris. 850 temps spiking >18c Tue/Wed so potential for strong heat 95+ if we an stay sunny. Beginning Thu (8/13) of Fri (8/14) ridge building over head and WAR position expanding west looks to cause some period of easterly flow before ridge pushes east or hooks with the WAR and more sustained heat returns towards week 3 of August with a potential very hot finish.

8/6 PHL: 83 EWR: 82 LGA: 82 NYC: 82 New Brnswck: 82 TEB: 82 BLM: 80 TTN: 80 ACY: 79 ISP: 79 JFK: 79

Sun breaks now and up to a steamy 80/69.

if you look back and see the big rain totals in NE-NJ in the future, you'd think it was a wet and terrible July. But you would need to look at the daily obs and see the big rains came by way of 3 or 4 big rainfalls (Fay, tstorms, etc)

More 90s those years but this year overall coming close with a +2 June / +4 Jul and Aug looking +>1.5. Not sure on any confirmation of the below with winds or tornadoes. As far as the end of August timing looks potentially hotter relative to averages and actual's vs first half of Aug perhaps.

70 with some rain and a few rumbles of thunder. This batch of rain looks to move out in the next 2 hours (by noon). A bit of a stormy few days (today/Thu - Sat) storms and clouds keep temps in the 80s. Sunday we start warming things up with the warmer spots a chance at 90 and to start the next potential heatwave. Mon - Wed widespread heat with hotter spots possible 95(+) as 850MB temps are forecast >18c. Storms possible so will need to track timing and clouds/debris clouds. By Thu ridge is building over the upper MW and flow will start to come around onshore what should be a few days as we get to the mid month period. Beyond there strong heat in the plains and MW and North looks to overspread and push a hot finish to the month.

8/5 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 EWR: 88 PHL: 88 JFK: 88 TEB: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 87 TTN: 86 ISP: 86 NYC: 86

8/5 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 EWR: 88 PHL: 88 JFK: 88 TEB: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 87 TTN: 86 ISP: 86 NYC: 86

80/67 here. Cleanup day today post Isaias. Temps near 90 with some of the warmer spots reaching 90. Thu - Sat unsettled with numerous showers and storm chances should cap temps mainly in the 80s. By Sunday we are warming things back up with some of the warmer spots starting the next potential heatwave. Ridge building into the Plains with overall higher heights along the east. ECM has 850s in the >16c Mon/Tue and >18c Wed/Thu. Still looks ripe for evening storms on most days. Beyond there could see more onshore barrage which looked likely earlier next week , now towards the end of next week and middle of the month. All signs point to warmer and wetter than normal with potential sizzling finish to August in the last week or more.

8/4 ACY: 84 LGA: 83 PHL: 83 JFK: 82 EWR: 81 New Brnswck: 81 TTN: 81 TEB: 81 ISP: 80 BLM: 79 NYC: 79

Or before 3:30 and now up to 79

Not sure, also plenty of moisture and storms next 10 days. Id say we're behind 93, 91, 2010, 88 by 10 days having not much in May and June. We'll see what it looks like with totals in the next 60 days.

Should break the clouds after 4/5PM for a nice sunset. Late PM highs?

Dewpoint up 76 here

75/73 south winds ahead of Isaias. 0.72 in the bucker since last night. WAR keeps the heaviest rains into WNJ/EPA but stronger winds here. Plenty on Isaias beig discussed. beyond Isaias Wed back to the regularly scheduled warmth. Warmer spots with next shot at 90. Thursday more humid and return of almost daily storms lasting through the weekend. Warm and wet weekend when cloudy temps mid/upper 80s stray 90 or so. Return of the Onshore / Onshore strikes back. 8/12 - 8/15 or so. Massive ridge building northern Plains / MW and north of the area. We get in on the return flow of the ridge causing lots of onshore flow next week. Heat is all around ala Late May and June and warmer SST should keep the area warmer than normal, especially inland but unlike May and June, should see Florida-like routine, almost daily storms chances. Stronger, sustained heat towards the end of next week as that massive ridge and 850MB >16c overspread the region. Looking like a warm steamy open of August then a hot second act. The hunt for 90s Wed 8/5 : warmer spots Sun 8/9 - Tue 8/11: pending on clouds could see more widespread near or low 90s degree readings 8/15 and beyond : widespread 90s looking possible.

Maybe some of Isaias winds can blow away the overgrowth tomorrow..

Dewpoint surging from 68 to 72 here now.

0.56 from the storms before and winds hit 33 mph gust. Prelude to the show tomrorw.

Rain and some strong breezes