SACRUS

Thu - Sat (depending on timing of front/clouds)

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Pesty clouds for another day or half day then onto late season warmth Tue (10/12) through Sat (10/17) ahead of strong cold front. Coolest lows of the season Sun (10/18) - Tue and Wed(10/21). Warmup by mid next week and overall warmer pattern beyond with brief cooldowns.

Similar weather tu Jul 3rd this year.

Streak of nice weekend consecutively ended at 4 last weekend as this weekend coudn't continue the streak. Warmer overall and near record temps this week. Offshore system down by the Carolinas enhancing clouds and easterly flow. Should clear out and warm up by Monday (10/11). Temps racing back into the 70s and with enough sun 80s by this coming Thu (10/14) and Fri (10/15). Perhaps records in some areas . (EWR will be tough with and need 85 and 86) Beyond there next weekend (10/16-17) cold front arrives and coolest of the season for a period till next Tuesday or Wed (10/20). Beyond there it looks to moderate back to a warmer to much warmer regime.

Next / last chance of 80s looks possible next Thu (10/14) / Fri (10/15) ahead of strong cold front and perhaps the coolest air of the season so far as currently modeled Sat (10/17) and into the next week 10/17. Beyond there moderation / warmer returns to not to long after. We'll see if we can clear and get a late season 80s in the warmer spots and then how cool we can go in the 1/17 to 10/22 period.

10/8 EWR: 79 PHL: 79 New Brnswck: 79 TTN: 78 ACY: 78 JFK: 77 ISP: 77 TEB: 77 BLM: 76 LGA: 76 NYC: 76

71/68 and storms in EPA. Hung up pattern with ULL into the Gulf, onshore/ Southerly flow much of the week. East winds tomorrow and clouds could spoil the Newark 70 stretch, otherwise more sun on Wed and Thu and mid/upper 70s. The weekend looks much like it is today with clouds and scattered rain/storms. Ridge and SW flow by next week and next shot at 80s in the warmer spot between Tue (10/12) and Sat (10/16). warmer overall looks to continue into the Longer range with occasional cooler/chilly ENE/NE flow a day or two scattered in the next 10 - 14.

10/3 (highs) EWR: 84 TEB: 83 PHL: 83 BLM: 81 LGA: 81 New Brnswck: 81 TTN: 79 ISP: 77 JFK: 77 NYC: 77 ACY: 76 1

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Up to 80 off a low of 49. Dewpoint low 60s. AC back on kind of day. Still looks warmer than normal overall and guidance still brings in 850 temps >16c next week somewhere between the 11 - 16 could see more 80s.

Sam just visible on the wide East coast / atlantic coast sat view. Sunshine state having some remarkable weather for a while now.

Down to 43 and on the way to another gorgeous weekend (4 in a row) with mostly sunny and near 80. Tomorrow the warmest day of the week with low 80s likely. Hung up pattern with ULL closing off and heading to Gulf coast. Ridge over the top pushes onshore or southerly (humid flow) this week, perhaps pushing dewpoints near 70 at times.. Clouds in the way from higher daytime maxes but nighttime lows in the 60s for a bunch of the week. Some rain / storms likely Tuesday otherwise only scattered showers the rest of the work week. Next weekend Fri (10/8) looks to continue a bit unsettled and perhaps spoil the chance for 5 in a row spectacular weekends, before the ridge builds east by Mon (10/11). Models may present chance for late season 80s, especially in the warmer spots towards mid month Mon (10/11) - Fri (10/16). Overall looking warmer than normal.

New Brnswck was 69 and many CNJ/NE-NJ were 68-71

Down to 44 last night and can see a 35 - 40 degree swing by Sunday afternoon. Cool waning and the warmup is underway starting tomorrow (Sat (10/2). Chance of 80s in the warmer spot and then more widespread 80 to low 80s on Sunday (10/3). Record highs Sunday at EWR is 85 but i think they will fall short. Warmer overall, but cloudy and at times wet the next work week on (10/4) through mch of the work week. Pending on clouds Monday more chances for 80s. Onshore to humid southerly flow as well next week. Models a bit less emphatic wirh ridging by the week of the 11th but overall warmer than normal looks likely into mid month. Watch for sneaky low or tropical system in the 10/10 - 10/12 period along the coast, first noreaster?

So far EWR only up to 69 so the 70(+) streak is in jeopardy. Mostly cloudy now too. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

We will push 80 in the warmer spots Sat, if enough sun on Sunday (10/3) it will be low 80s (EWR record is 85). More clouds and Mon (10/4) as upper low pushes west and hung up flow overall. Should see more persistent onshore to more humid S/SE flow by the middle/end of next week Thu (10/7) - Sat (10/9). Beyond there ridge builds into the east and warmer mid month. Not sure we see more 80s in the period 10/10 - 10/20 in the warm spots but chances may be increasing.

Down to 51 last night. Much less clouds than i was expecting. Cooler train 36 more hours before we warm up this weekend. We will push 80 in the warmer spots Sat, if enough sun on Sunday (10/3) it will be low 80s (EWR record is 85). More clouds and Mon (10/4) as upper low pushes west and hung up flow overall. Should see more persistent onshore to more humid S/SE flow by the middle/end of next week Thu (10/7) - Sat (10/9). Beyond there ridge builds into the east and warmer mid month. Not sure we see more 80s in the period 10/10 - 10/20 in the warm spots but chances may be increasing.

You can see the ULL closing off and heading south and by the looks of it, tomorrow looks mostly cloudy vs some more optimistic forecasts, https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

Down to 50 last night, looks cooler through Saturday (10/2) before warming up Sun (10/3) and Mon (10/4) could see last surge of near 80 degree warmth sneak in depending on clouds. Cut off / ULL into next week before more ridging towards next weekend (10/8).

Made it to 72 briefly as the sun poked out for about 25 mins closer to 1:30/2:00. Cloudy again now , down to 68.

EWR now to 70 so early clouds didnt prevent the max of atleast 70's streak

Clouds ahead of schedule may throw wrench in the 70 degree high stretch? http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Down to 57 last night rain and showers into EPA as front is moving through. Clear and dry out later tonight setting up a step down cooler pattern starting Wed (9/29) and through the coming weekend Sun (10/3). We have a quick warmup Monday (10/4) and Tuesday (10/5) very outside chance of 80s. Beyond that more onshore NE flow the middle of next week. Beyond there ECM has ridging into the east and warmer than normal as round out the end of the first full week of Oct into mid month.