SACRUS

10/3 LGA: 69 EWR: 69 ACY: 69 BLM: 68 JFK: 68 ISP: 68 New Brnswck: 67 TEB: 67 PHL: 66 NYC: 66 TTN: 65

63/43 off a low of 42. Beautiful day o tap and overall gorgeous period of weather looking more likely the next 7 - 10 days. A bit of a back and forth the coming 7 days with a few warm /near or above normal Mon- Wed followed by coldest weather since last April and first widespread frosts/freezed Thu (10/8) - Fri (10/9). Warmup 10/10 - 10/13 but perhaps similar to several times this past spring and summer warmest air goes north of the areas. Overall warm period mid month. It will be interesting to see how long the dry conditions persist and if dry turns wet later in the month.

10/2 PHL: 69 EWR: 69 New Brnswck: 68 JFK: 68 LGA: 68 ACY: 68 TEB: 67 BLM: 67 TTN: 66 NYC: 65 ISP: 65

Clearing line worked through and up to 66. Cooler weekend and mainly (aside from Monday AM) looking dry. A bit of a warm up Tue/ Wed/ before Thu and Friday chill brings first frost and freezes (widespread). Longer range looking at more sustained warming towards the 14th. Drier look overall.

10/1 JFK: 75 BLM: 75 LGA: 74 ISP: 74 TEB: 73 PHL: 73 EWR: 74 ACY: 72 NYC: 72 New Brnswck: 72 TTN: 70

ECM has first frosts/freezes widespread next Friday 10/9 - Sat 10/10, brief cold shot before moderating /warming 10/12. Friday 12z Fri 10/9 with warmup poised to follow within 36 - 48 hours. Fri

Low of 49 and now up to 65. Warmer today in the low/mid 70s. Weekend looks cool and mainly dry / 60/ 40s splits some 30s. Next week a bit back and forth with some rain and potential larger storm early week followed by a day or two of warmer weather then a strong cold front (perhaps first frost/freezes) Fri 10/9 - Sat 10/10, before a more pronounced and potential sustained warmup.

9/30 LGA: 73 EWR: 73 ACY: 73 New Brnswck: 72 BLM: 72 ISP: 72 TEB: 72 JFK: 72 PHL: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 71

9/30 LGA: 73 EWR: 73 ACY: 73 New Brnswck: 72 BLM: 72 ISP: 72 TEB: 72 JFK: 72 PHL: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 71

61/54 and breezy. Front pushed through and much drier and cooler. Back near normal today and Thursday before cooler (below normal) arrives Friday - Sunday. Some moderation with cut off low pushing another front through early next week with next heavy rain chance. Cooler air follows Oct 5/6 before a brief moderation then models now hinting at stronger 2 day chill Oct 8 - 10 before a more sustained warmup.

9/29 New Brnswck: 77 PHL: 77 ACY: 76 BLM: 76 ISP: 75 EWR: 74 LGA: 74 TEB: 74 TTN: 74 NYC: 74 JFK: 72

73/ 68 cloudy off a low of 61. Front nearby with showers into PA. Clouds and rain next 36 hours with areas in the >1 inch range later on Wednesday (first measurable rain since 9/11 three weeks ago . Cooler air reinforced with another front Friday some showers and light rain, again airmass is not as cool as the 9/19 - 9/22 airmass. Trouh deepens again ealry next week Mon (10/5 and Tue 10/6 with more rain. Cooler air 10/5 - 10/7 or 8 before a potential major more sustained warmup. Initially yesterday seemed like the warmest day till next year but may need to rethink that for the 10/10 and beyond timeframe. Also cant rule out southeast tropics in the same timeframe..

9/28 New Brnswck: 82 PHL: 82 EWR: 81 TTN: 81 LGA: 79 TEB: 79 ACY: 78 BLM: 77 JFK: 77 NYC: 77 ISP: 75

Up to 81 now and much sunnier. Sneak warm today if we can stay clear mid 80s

Not sure if this will have that wacky cahe issue (showing 24 hours prior), but clearing by noon

72/67 cloudy and muggy. Should hopefully get into the sun for a period this afternoon and pish temps into the 80s and perhaps the warmest day till next year is upon us. Tue - Thu front slowly comes through with wave of low pressure bringing some heavy rains (>1 inch liekly and more like 1 - 3 inches widespread) Wed into Thursday. The front finally clears THursday. Cooler air will arrive Oct 2 and last through the first week. Another strong trough and ULL looks to swing through early next week Oct 6th one a stronger push of cool. Beyond there 10/7 warmup looks to push into the east for a period. West coast ridge weakens and heights come up in the east. 9/28 - 9/29: Warmer +6 to +8 9/30 - 10/1 : Rain 1 - 3 inches 10/2 - 10/6 : Cool comes generally -4 to -6, coldest looks 10/4 - 10/6 perhaps left older cold 10/7 10/7 - beynond : warmup looking possible.

9/27 PHL: 81 EWR: 80 New Brnswck: 80 ACY: 79 NYC: 79 TTN: 79 JFK: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 ISP: 78 BLM: 76

72/66 and some breaks in the mainly low clouds. Low of 62 last night. Pending on sunshine today will be warm with highs near or low 80s. More of the same on Monday and Tuesday and perhaps the warmest days till next March / April. Front moves in and brings the first measurable rain since 9/11 Tue (9/29) - Thu (9/30) . Front linger near the areas Tuesday - Thursday. Wednesday and Thursday look the wettest with wave of low pressure running up the front with >1 inch and possible widespread 1 - 3 inch amounts. Fri 10/1 - Tue 10/6 : Cooler as trough digs into the Plains, MW and swings through. Brunt of the strongest cold stays west and overall not as cool as the past period (9/19 - 9/22) but there will be some chilly air swinging through 10/4 - 10/6 before we moderate and warmup 10/7. Beyond there need to see if the West Coast ridge rebuilds or flatter flow keeps us near/warmer than normal. EC ridging is possible with some stronger warmth (against normal) the back half of the month. 9/27 - 9/30 : Warmer to much warmer than normal (+5 to +7). 9/30 - 10/1 : Rain, first in 3 weeks or since 9/11. 1 - 3 inches 10/2 - 10/7: Cooler / chilly (-3 to -5) overall coolest 10/4- 10/6 / frost inland 10/7 : warmup (temp or more sustained near/above normal ?)

9/26 PHL: 78 ACY: 77 LGA: 77 ISP: 76 JFK: 76 TEB: 76 TTN: 75 EWR: 75 New Brnswck: 75 NYC: 74 BLM: 73

71/60, mostly cloudy with some breaks of sun, mainly east and showers to the west in WNJ and EPA. More clouds and some breaks of sun today will make it tough to crack 80 unless some spots see longer stretches of sun (could happen like it did yesterday in EWR/LGA). Sunday - less showers but some lingering clouds and dew points coming up more, highs again in the mid 70s to low 80s in the warmer sunnier spots. More of the same Mon and Tue but with any longer breaks of sun we can see sneaky low to mid 80s. Brunt of the cool stays west through this period as trough dings down the plains and GL into the south. Rain followed by cool. Front will crawl along the east cost Tue - Thu with a wave of low pressure riding up through the areas on Thu (10/1) could see heaviest rain since Sep 11th. Beyond that cooler air flows in 10/2 - 10/6. Coldest temps likely 10/4 - 10/6 before we warm up by 10/7 and into the second week of the month. West coast ridge does look to want to rebuild, need to watch but trough looks poised to stay into the plains/ GL, warmer along the coast. Way beyond WC ridge should get displaced east to close the last 1/3 of the month. 9/26 - 9/30: Warmer than normal, minimal rain, max low 80s warm minimums +5 to +7 above normal 9/30 - 10/1: Rain >inch possible (first time since 9/11). 10/2 - 10/6 : cooler than normal, inland frost 10/5 - 10/6? 10/7 : warming up

9/25 LGA: 80 EWR: 80 TEB: 79 New Brnswck: 78 NYC: 77 BLM: 77 TTN: 76 ISP: 76 PHL: 75 JFK: 75 ACY: 73

58/58 here foggy/misty and clouds above the fog. Looks mostly clouds through early afternoon before we can see some sun around 1PM. With enough sun it should poke into the upper 70s perhaps low 80s. Warm again tomorrow and partly to mostly cloudy but little if any rain. Sun - Tue with enough sunshine and 850 MB temops >15C will see max temps in mid perhaps an upper 80 in the warm spots but clouds look plentiful with night time lows in the 60s perhaps a 70 spread in between in LGA/JFK / upper 60s NYC/EWR. Front comes through at some point Tue (9/29) and Wed (9/30). Cooler 10/1 - 10/6 but again not likely as cold as this past period 19th - 23rd. Brunt of cold is west of the region into the Plains, GL and OV down into the Mississippi valley. A piece of the deeper cool does look to come through Oct 4 - 6th in a moderated fashion. West cast ridge looks to break down even if for a period by Oct 7th with warmer times in store. Way beyond does ridge relocate or rebuild in the west? 9/25 - 9/30 : Much warmer than normal mainly drier. Max temps Sun (9/26) - Tue (9/29). 10/1 - 10/6: Cooler to much cooler (10/4 - 10/6). Still think the coldest stays west of the area. Rain chances 10/1-10/2 with reinforced front/ trough moving through.

9/24 EWR: 79 LGA: 78 ISP: 76 JFK: 76 New Brnswck: 76 TEB: 76 NYC: 75 BLM: 75 PHL: 75 TTN: 74 ACY: 73

63/55 and mostly cloudy. Cloudy today should keep temps below or near 80 but still dry. Warmer than normal continues through Mon (9/27) with Sun 9/27 being potential warmest day of past 3 weeks. The next front and deep trough into the GL and then east coast 9/30 - 10/6. Front swings though Tue 9/29/ Wed (9/30) some heavy rain possible especially northern areas as it looks now. Coldest looks to stay mainly west of the area with the brunt of the chilliest readings probably coming through the area 10/3 - 10/5 before moderation. 9/24 - 9/28 : warmer / drier than normal. Warmest days 9/25, 9/27 9.29 - 9/30: front (rain) potential heavy rain ,, first in 3 weeks or since 9/10-11. 10/1 - 10/6 : cooler than normal, coldest readings likely west with 1-2 days 10/3-10/4 before moderation. 10/7 : warmer times ahead

9/23 EWR: 83 JFK: 82 LGA: 81 BLM: 81 New Brnswck: 81 PHL: 81 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 ISP: 80 ACY: 80 NYC: 79