SACRUS

Yes still kicking around. Back in town from winter abode.

looking like a start time of between 3 and 6pm Wed and ends by noonish on Thursday. Best rates and heaviest bands 10PM - 4Am. QPF : 1.15 - 1.45 = 8 - 14 inches looks like a good bet north of Freehold into Newark / NYC

Nice image

Looks colder Nov 17 - 20th before moderation/warming. Made it 80 yesterday will see of we can exceed that today.

Lots of chlly air building into the Lakes and MW, once the trough clears the coast Id say we see a 3 - 5 day much below normal to open November.

10/20 New Brnswck: 74 EWR: 72 LGA: 72 TEB: 72 NYC: 71 ACY: 71 PHL: 71 BLM: 71 JFK: 70 TTN: 70 ISP: 69

10/17 EWR: 63 LGA: 62 JFK: 62 New Brnswck: 62 PHL: 61 ACY: 61 TEB: 61 ISP: 60 BLM: 60 NYC: 59 TTN: 59

10/16 ACY: 68 BLM: 66 ISP: 66 PHL: 66 LGA: 66 NYC: 66 New Brnswck: 65 JFK: 64 EWR: 64 TEB: 63 TTN: 62

That 10/24 - 10/28 period could see some wild weather if the long range guidance progs are correct, not before about 7 - 8 days of warmth with bif ridge along the EC.

10/15 EWR: 77 New Brnswck: 76 BLM: 75 TEB: 75 PHL: 75 TTN: 74 ACY: 73 LGA: 73 NYC: 71 JFK: 70 ISP: 69

10/14 ACY: 72 PHL: 72 LGA: 71 New Brnswck: 71 EWR: 71 BLM: 71 TEB: 70 JFK: 69 TTN: 69 ISP: 67 NYC: 67

After a few warm dry days Wed (10/14) and Thu (10/15) front comes through Friday and ECM still has a brief 48 hour frost / freeze chilly weather this coming Sat (10/17) and Sun (10/18). back and forth with more warmth 10-/19 - 10/22 with more chill pushing east briefly by 10/23. We'll see looks bias warm on the coast with the core of the cool west into GL/MW/OV.

10/11 ACY: 70 JFK: 69 LGA: 68 New Brnswck: 68 EWR: 68 BLM: 67 NYC: 67 PHL: 67 TEB: 66 TTN: 66 ISP: 66v

Clouds ahead of the remnants of Delta overspreading the area. Rain arrived this evening and heaviest rains look overnight into the early afternoon tomorrow. Widespread 2 inches (+). Slow to clear front out Tuesday before some more dry and sunny weather Wed - Friday (near normal). ECM continues to show a chilly but brief weekend (10/17-18) before the back and forth col warm follows the week of 10/19. Looks overall warm between a warmth and cool shots bias cool northwest of the region with stronger perhaps longer east coast ridging towards the last week of the month.

Yesterdays highs 10/10 PHL: 74 ACY: 74 LGA: 73 EWR: 73 BLM: 73 TTN: 72 New Brnswck: 72 JFK: 71 TEB: 71 NYC: 71 ISP: 69

Been the theme on some of the close in forecasts past few weekends. Satellite loop told a different story last night and early this AM. Clouds for most the day i80 south.

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

65 and mostly cloudy here. Satellite last night hinted that today was not likely going to be mostly sunny as some late forecasts showed. Despite that it will be very warm today and should we get some longer peaks of sun it could push upper 70s in places. Clouds continue tomorrow as delta moves closer. Bet on the rains always a good bet after prolonged dry period. Supect >2 inches area wide Sunday PM into Tue AM. Drier again mid week. Colder next weekend with ECM again showing widespread frost/freezed for 48 hours Sat and Sun. Beyond there a back and forth but bias overall warm in the east with troughh further inland.

10/9 EWR: 73 New Brnswck: 72 BLM: 72 ACY: 72 PHL: 72 LGA: 71 TEB: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 69 JFK: 68

10/8 ACY: 69 New Brnswck: 69 EWR: 68 PHL: 68 JFK: 67 BLM: 67 ISP: 66 TTN: 65 TEB: 65 LGA: 65 NYC: 64

10/7 EWR: 79 ACY: 79 PHL: 79 BLM: 78 JFK: 78 New Brnswck: 78 LGA: 77 TTN: 77 ISP: 75 NYC: 74 TEB: 74

70 sunny and breezy. 2 day cool down Thu (10/8) and Fri (10/9) much muted vs previous guidance followed by a 7 - 10 day warm period with temperatures running around +5 for the period as a whole. We'll have to see how much rain works in Sunday night into Monday from Delta and then any subsequent warm fronts. Cool down towards 10/20 liekly but may be temporary before height come up along the east coast.

10/6 LGA: 71 EWR: 71 PHL: 71 ACY: 71 New Brnswck: 70 BLM: 70 JFK: 70 TTN: 69 TEB: 69 ISP: 69 NYC: 69

61 and bright sunshine. Should be mostly sunny today and unlike monday when clouds developed for a good chunk of the afternoon between 1 and 4. Wednesday should be even warmer than today with highs in the mid tp upper 70s in spots. 48 hour cool down Thu - Fri with perhaps some frosts inland. Stronger cold once projected looks to stay north of the area. Weekend looks warm (outside chance of 80s in the warmer spots) ahead of any remnants of Delta later on Sun and early next week.