SACRUS

48 ENE winds clouds and drizzle.

Looks like the coldest of this period (4/10 - 4/25) is setting up to be 4/15-16 and then again 4/19 - 4/21. It still would not surprise me to get on the warmer side of the as the trough pulls out for a period in the 4/26 - 4/30 period and end the month warm. it doesnt look sustained but a quick 2-3 day warmup may still evolve before May.

Full sun and up to 65 now.

Picked up 0.13 here. Rain ending clouds look to linger till at least noon. Those mostly sunny call looked off by 8 hours on the timing

I agree 4/9 - 4/21 looks cool with onshore flow issues and then perhaps a arctic shot towards 4/18. I do think we see a sharp rebound the end of of April and some hear may be in store the closing week.

It may be close but i expect a much warmer second half and some hear later in April. Until then i think we are dealing with cut off city as ULL starts in 4/5 i New England then more ULL along or into the EC 4/8 - 4/12. Onshore flow will throw a wrench into any warmer guidance 4/5 - 4/9. Not sure we hit 60s each of those days next week.

Expected us to deal with the ULL cut off near New England 4/4 - 4/9 so with that came the onshore flow and potential cloudiness. It may windup near normal but temps may stay capped in the upper 50s / low 60s max and perhaps a 40s day or two depending on the influnce of the onshore /NE flow. April should see a migration to a much warmer second half and feature a warm or hot period later or to close in the month.

It looks like any moderation by Easter (4/4) is short lived and cut off / ULL backs down into New England, it wont be nearly as cold as 4/1 - 4/2 but onshore flow looks likely NE o ENE persistent flow in the 4/5 - 4/8 period keeping daytime highs cool to chilly.. Would have been an otherwise warmer pattern with a deep trouh into the WC and strong ridge into the GL but the ULL is forced down under the ridge. Thats' why some models had the stronger warmup once passed the 4/3 but its looking more like ULL disturbs the warmup through the 8th or so. Id be surprised if the warmer scenario comes to fruition. I think April is back end warm to hot.

April 2 - April 5 looks like the peak of the chill, then moderation beyond there. Could be backdoor/onshore city for a period though so the warmup may not be that warm during the day.

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Something tells me that 3/29 - 4/4 is probably much wetter and it wouldn't surprise me the prior period trends a bit wetter too once past Tuesday.. Beyond there some stronger ridging into the east towards 4/4 or 5th.

91 days till the summer solstice / sun angle now on par with mid September. Made it down to a cool radiated 26 last night now up to 47 and expect to be guidance again and top out mid/upper 60s

I see a 71 (2007) On January 6th Jan 26: 69 (1950) Feb 27: 71 (1997)

100 Days to the summer solstice. Some larger breaks in the clouds working from the north to the south. 61 here. Arctic blast peaking Monday with 850MB temps -15c to -18c. Brief warmup Mar 18/19 ahead of the next cooldown. Cooler overall the next 10 days or through march 23.

Made it up to 74 here. Clouds into CPA may arrive by 2:30/3:00

Some clearing working its way east now

peak of the next arctic blast mar 15 - 16. 850 temps -15c to -18c . Could be tough to crack 40 next tue.

Last 70(+) readings for the area was Nov 11-12. 43 on the way up once we clear later this morning. Sep sun angle

snow showers and flurries building in PA http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

Snowpack on the 'real time' visible satellite http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

22 / 21 mod - hvy snow 3.5 on the ground.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

Believe the core of the cold was also centered a few hundred miles east of this event. 1989 was truly impressive before it warmed up in early Jan 1990.

What a map for historical reference.