SACRUS

5/23 ACY: 94 EWR: 94 JFK: 92 PHL: 92 BLM: 92 TTN: 90 New Brnswck: 90 TEB: 89 ISP: 89 LGA: 88 NYC: 88

5/23 ACY: 94 EWR: 94 JFK: 92 PHL: 92 BLM: 92 TTN: 90 New Brnswck: 90 TEB: 89 ISP: 89 LGA: 88 NYC: 88

Its all goning to be depend on the flow and if any ULL can cut off and where that is, west of the area or like the prior ecm showed. still would keep an eye on next weekend (Fri - Sun) period.

Some late afternoon maxes today with some more clearing and peak 850. Clouds definitely ate into early afternoon heating.

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

1PM Round up: ACY: 90 EWR: 90 JFK: 89 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 BLM: 88 TTN: 87 ISP: 84 NYC: 84 TEB: 84 LGA: 83

75/61 now much more sun today should push the temps to 90 in most locations that haven't reached it already. Warmer spots look locked in for mid 90s. Brief but much cooler / cloudy on Monday in the 60s. Tue - Thu next heat spike with Wed peaking with 850 temps >16c. From drought to deluge ? Pending on flow, Upper level low may cut off around the east coast between May 28 - Ju 1. Where and how that tracks will determine how much rain but looking unsettled for a period which matches well with recent transitions from dry to wet. Beyond there looking warm overall and heights higher on the east coast 6/3 0 on.

5/22: EWR: 96 JFK: 94 ACY: 94 BLM: 93 PHL: 92 New Brnswck: 90 ISP: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 LGA: 88 TEB: 88

5/22 EWR: 96 JFK: 94 ACY: 94 BLM: 93 PHL: 92 New Brnswck: 90 ISP: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 LGA: 88 TEB: 88

I see 94 but it may match or get there with clearing between 4 and 5.

3PM Round up (clouded up a bit in the last 45 mins) more sun could push maxes again in next 2 hours. JFK: 93 ACY: 93 BLM: 92 EWR: 91 PHL: 91 ISP: 90 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 89 LGA: 87 NYC: 86 TEB: 86

11AM Roundup EWR: 88 New Brunswck: 85 TEB: 84 ACY: 84 BLM: 84 PHL: 83 TTN: 81 NYC: 81 JFK: 80 ISP: 78 LGA: 78

Up to 84 with the high wispy clouds. Dewpoint to 62

Some clouds to deal with otherwise off to the races and some 90s in the warmer spots and perhaps even in to NYC / LGA. Hotter tomorrow with low to perhaps mid 90s 850 temps >15C and recent dryness could see temps accel past guidance. The question is how low does Monday go vs prior day (Sunday) high. Thinking a 92 / 68 split in Newark highs SUn / Mon. Tuesday inland spots should get back to 80 before the peak of this heat arrives Wed and Thu both days 90s widespread. The holiday weekend looks warm but showers and clouds could be present Sat and Sun before more warmth on Monday 5/31. Longer range models rebuild the ridge with heights soaring around Jun 2. Again this looks more overall warmth to hot broken by transient cool downs / wind shifts. More humidity in june.

5/21 New Brnswck: 86 EWR: 83 TTN: 83 PHL: 83 TEB: 81 NYC: 79 LGA: 77 BLM: 77 JFK: 75 ACY: 75 ISP: 71

Monday looks more like 60s sandwched between 90s on sunday and 80s by tuesday.

Gorgeous Califronia day out there. 72 sunny, dry and despite the pollen, lots of nice flowery , honey suckle smells all around.

8 of the next 10 days look very warm with 3 - 4 90 degree readings, especially in the typical warmer locations in NJ. Pending on clouds tomorrow, temps should soar into the upper 80s and low 90s, Sunday looks the same where temps could reach low 90s then followed by sharp cooldown Monday , before warming back up Tue. Wed 850 temps peak at >16c and mid 90s are possible in the hot spots . By the (5/27) perhaps the first widespread chance at rain with a cold front. The Holiday weekend looks warmer and we may see a spike of heat by Sun 5/30, pending on the ridge position. Beyond there into early June it looks overall warm and we'll see if their is a transition to a wetter period.

id expect models to trend warmer / strnger ridge for the holiday weekend.

saturday can be sneaky hot if we can clear or winds shift sooner friday overnight. then Wed and perhaps thu more 90s. Pegging the first trifecta or longer (heatwave) may push towards the holiday weekend till then transient heat spikes followed by a brief day or two of cooler.

Tremendous stretch of weather looks to continue right through the holiday weekend and into the start of June. Onshore the next two days before winds shift on Saturday and 850 temps rise into the >16c range both days. Saturday toss up with clouds lingering nearby but should we get on the clear side 90s possible. Sunday looks very hot for a good portion of the area. Mon (5/24) and Tue (5/25) look to cool a bit before next surge of >16c 850 by Wed (5/26). Beyond there heights look to rise for the holiday weekend and offer the next shot at 90s.

5/19 EWR: 91 ACY: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 BLM: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 LGA: 86 ISP: 85

First 90s of the season, more to come Sunday 5/19 EWR: 91 ACY: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 BLM: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 LGA: 86 ISP: 85

87 here - warm (beach day) maxes so far EWR: 89 NYC: 86 LGA: 84

Up to 75 already and likely touch 90 here in CNJ along with other warmer spots and it wouldnt surprise me if LGA or even NYC come close factoring in with the recent dryness. Onshore flow penetrates Thu and Fri before we start warming it back up some time Saturday although clouds may keep temps capped on Sat. Next shot at 90s Sunday (5/23) and between Tue (5/25) and Thu (5/27) next week with next surge of 850 temps >15C, peaking Wed (5/26) at 18c. Beyond there heights look to rebuild for the holiday weekend. Overall warm for the period. We'll see how long it takes to turn wetter and do we see a complete reversal. I dont get the sense of a 2002/2010 type dry hot progression and still feel we are more 2016 type warm and humid / wet summer.