SACRUS
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On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2020:
PHL: 31 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 5; Sep: ; Oct: )
EWR: 26 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TTN: 25 (April:0 ; May: 0; June: 4; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ; Oct: )
LGA: 29 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 5; Sep: ; Oct: )
ACY: 25 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TEB: 22 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
NYC: 17 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 1 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
JFK: 11 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 6 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 25 (April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug: 5 ;Sep: ; Oct :)
BLM: 2589 degree days;
New Brnswick: 9
ACY: 3
TEB: 7
LGA: 7
TTN: 3
EWR: 2
PHL: 4
BLM: 4
JFK:2
NYC: 2
ISP: 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/11
PHL: 90
New Brnswck: 90
LGA: 89
TEB: 89
NYC: 88
ACY: 88
EWR: 88
BLM: 87
TTN: 87
ISP: 82
JFK: 83-
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83 and steamy 75. Low clouds and fog burning off and it seems like we're off to the races. More 90s today especially in the hotter spots. Tomorrow storms arrive at some point in the afternoon so a toss up day for potnetial 90s and reaching / extending the heatwave.
Ridge builds into the Rockies with WAR shifting towards east of Bermuda. Plenty of storms around in a rather stagnant air mass Thu / Fri before onshore flow build around Sat (8/15) and Sun (8/16).
Mon (8/17) and Tue (8/18) warmer but still looks like opporunity for showers and popups each day. Cooler air looks likely Wed 8/19 - Thu (8/20) will be interesting to see the extent of the reach.
Beyond there longer range. Rockies ridge and heat will move east into the Plains and MidWest and similar pattern will push heat into the area with the strongest heat liekly coming in 2 days spurts for a hot close to the month.
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8/10LGA: 95
EWR: 94
New Brnswick: 93
TEB: 92
NYC: 92
BLM: 92
TTN: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 90
ISP: 89
JFK: 87 -
On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2020:
PHL: 30 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ; Oct: )
EWR: 26 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TTN: 25 (April:0 ; May: 0; June: 4; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ; Oct: )
LGA: 29 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 5; Sep: ; Oct: )
ACY: 25 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TEB: 22 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
NYC: 17 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 1 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
JFK: 11 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 6 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 24 (April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug: 4 ;Sep: ; Oct :)
BLM: 2589 degree days;
New Brnswick: 9
ACY: 3
TEB: 6
LGA: 6
TTN: 3
EWR: 2
PHL: 4
BLM: 4
JFK:2
NYC: 2
ISP: 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/10LGA: 95
EWR: 94
New Brnswick: 93
TEB: 92
NYC: 92
BLM: 92
TTN: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 90
ISP: 89
JFK: 87-
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1PM Roundup - Summer time and the livings easy
LGA: 93
EWR: 91
New Brnswk: 91
NYC: 90
PHL: 90
TTN: 89
TEB: 89
BLM: 89
ISP: 88
ACY: 87
JFK: 86-
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We will need to see how far south the cooler air advertised on the Euro can advance in the 8/19 - 8/20 timeframe ahead of the late month heat surge.
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Noon roundup:
LGA: 91
ACY: 89
New Brnswck: 89
ISP: 88
NYC: 88
BLM: 88
EWR: 88 (SE wind)
PHL: 87
TEB: 87
TTN: 87
JFK: 86
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86/72 and a hot one. 90s next 3 days ahead of front. Temps low to mid 90s. Some of the warmer spots 95(+) Mon / Tue. Wed toss up as storms and clouds timing needs to be watched. Thursday warm and stormy. Warm and wet By Friday 8/14 - Wed 8/19 with dominant onshore flow caught between the Rockies ridge and weakness west of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Cooler day or two possible 8/19 - 8/20 below average.
Rockies ridge pushing strong heat into the Plains and GL by the 20th should set the stage for summer theme with that heat spreading east producing a sizzling finish to the month.
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8/9
EWR: 90
TEB: 89
LGA: 89
New Brnswck: 89
TTN: 88
PHL: 88
ACY: 87
NYC: 87
BLM: 86
ISP: 83
JFK: 83-
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On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2020:
PHL: 29 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 3; Sep: ; Oct: )
EWR: 25 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 3 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TTN: 24 (April:0 ; May: 0; June: 4; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 3; Sep: ; Oct: )
LGA: 28 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ; Oct: )
ACY: 24 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 3 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TEB: 21 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug:3 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
NYC: 16 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
JFK: 11 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 6 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 23 (April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug:3 ;Sep: ; Oct :)
BLM: 2489 degree days;
New Brnswick: 9
ACY: 3
TEB: 6
LGA: 6
TTN: 3
EWR: 2
PHL: 4
BLM: 4
JFK:2
NYC: 2
ISP: 1-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/9
EWR: 90
TEB: 89
LGA: 89
New Brnswck: 89
TTN: 88
PHL: 88
ACY: 87
NYC: 87
BLM: 86
ISP: 83
JFK: 83-
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1PM Roundup
LGA: 88
New Brnswck: 87
EWR: 87
PHL: 86
NYC: 85
ACY: 85
TEB: 85
TTN: 84
BLM: 84
JFK: 82
ISP: 81 -
Noon Roundup
LGA: 87/63
EWR: 86/69
PHL: 85/70TEB: 85/69
BLM: 84/70
New Brnswck: 84/71
NYC: 83/69
JFK: 81/72
ISP: 81/71
TTN: 81/70 -
Dew points in low 70s. Heat index values approaching upper 90s today with temps 88 - 92 range.
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83/71 as we heat things up today. Warmer spots with a good shot at 90s with most others warm in the upper 80s. Next heatwave of the season Mon - Wed as temps spike Tue/Wed head of front. Low to mid 90s with stray spots 95(+). Storms possible each night with front arriving later Wed, pending on that arrival and any debris clouds Wed is a tossup day for 90s. Beyond there Thu 8/13 through next weekend 8/15-8/16 warm and stormy. More of a Florida-like pattern : sun out very warm but many clouds and steamy. Onshore flow at some point in the period may extend through the beginning of next week (8/17). Long range we may see a day or two true cooldown before the Rockies/Plains ridge and heat shifts east into the GL/OV and we heat things up here after in the 8/19 or 8/20 period. Caught between the ridges . WAR still the unknown if it expands west to hook and really heat things up...
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8/8
New Brnswk: 85
LGA: 85
TEB: 85
PHL: 85
TTN: 84
EWR: 84
NYC: 83
JFK: 83
ACY: 82
BLM: 79
ISP: 79 -
77/70 low clouds stingy as flow swings around to the N/NW later today. Clouds should burn off by the afternoon but we've seen this before and they tend to stick (literally) around longer. Tomorrow - Warming things up the next 4 - 5 days starting Sunday where the warmer spots should get to 90. Mon - Wed - 850 temps >16c and peaking Tue/Wed near 18c. >20C temps look go wide/north of the area into NYS and New England but still low/mid 90s here perhaps a stray upper 90s or two in the usual warmer spots.
By Thu 8/13 the massive ridge is building in the upper Mid west and GL into Canada creating a weakness into the Northeast. The W.estern Atlantic Ridge is near Bermuda and pending on its expansion it looks like a 3 - 5 day trip with onshore flow and pop up storms that could train with clouds. Perhaps a cooler day melded in with enough of a NNE flow but overall warm and wet 8/13 - 8/19. Beyond there in the long range built up heat is on its way east for the end of the month. WAR may build and link with Plains ridge.
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8/7
PHL: 84
NYC: 81
JFK: 80
ACY: 80
LGA: 80
TEB: 80
ISP: 80
EWR: 80
New Brnswck: 79
TTN: 78
BLM: 76 -
69/67 light rain and another cloudy/wet Friday a theme this past month or so. Cloudy/showers and potential storms today. Dry things out Saturday and begin a warmup Sunday with some of the hotter spots reaching a 90. Mon - Wed hot and 90s widespread but storms chances each day and need to watch clouds/cloud debris. 850 temps spiking >18c Tue/Wed so potential for strong heat 95+ if we an stay sunny. Beginning Thu (8/13) of Fri (8/14) ridge building over head and WAR position expanding west looks to cause some period of easterly flow before ridge pushes east or hooks with the WAR and more sustained heat returns towards week 3 of August with a potential very hot finish.
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8/6
PHL: 83
EWR: 82
LGA: 82
NYC: 82
New Brnswck: 82
TEB: 82
BLM: 80
TTN: 80
ACY: 79
ISP: 79
JFK: 79 -
Sun breaks now and up to a steamy 80/69.
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11 minutes ago, doncat said:
Wow big difference in relatively short distance...about 9" here during that period.
if you look back and see the big rain totals in NE-NJ in the future, you'd think it was a wet and terrible July. But you would need to look at the daily obs and see the big rains came by way of 3 or 4 big rainfalls (Fay, tstorms, etc)
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12 hours ago, LibertyBell said:
yeah this is nothing like the historic heat of 1993 and 2010. Those heatwaves were unlike anything I've ever seen before.
Tony, I see you referenced late August sizzling heat, do you think it could be similar to 1953? We've had a pattern similar to the 50s the last few years, with March being the snowiest month and a high number of TC.
Also, I see there were wind gusts of 96 mph (DE) and 109 mph (NJ) reported, were both of these in tornadoes? I wasn't aware that tornadic winds get reported in the same data as regular TC winds. In that case, wouldn't the 125 mph estimate for the EF2 tornado that was reported also get into the same dataset?
More 90s those years but this year overall coming close with a +2 June / +4 Jul and Aug looking +>1.5. Not sure on any confirmation of the below with winds or tornadoes. As far as the end of August timing looks potentially hotter relative to averages and actual's vs first half of Aug perhaps.
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70 with some rain and a few rumbles of thunder. This batch of rain looks to move out in the next 2 hours (by noon). A bit of a stormy few days (today/Thu - Sat) storms and clouds keep temps in the 80s. Sunday we start warming things up with the warmer spots a chance at 90 and to start the next potential heatwave. Mon - Wed widespread heat with hotter spots possible 95(+) as 850MB temps are forecast >18c. Storms possible so will need to track timing and clouds/debris clouds. By Thu ridge is building over the upper MW and flow will start to come around onshore what should be a few days as we get to the mid month period. Beyond there strong heat in the plains and MW and North looks to overspread and push a hot finish to the month.
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8/5
ACY: 90
LGA: 90
EWR: 88
PHL: 88
JFK: 88
TEB: 88
BLM: 87
New Brnswck: 87
TTN: 86
ISP: 86
NYC: 86
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
in New York City Metro
Posted
8/11
PHL: 90
New Brnswck: 90
LGA: 89
TEB: 89
NYC: 88
ACY: 88
EWR: 88
BLM: 87
TTN: 87
ISP: 82
JFK: 83