SACRUS

80/63 now

73/59 and the hotter period commences as the ridge builds in. Warmer spots start a heatwave today, most others tomorrow. Easterly flow around center of the strong/record ridge keeps the area on the fringe of the record heat Tue/Wed with most highs low to mid 90s coastal/metro areas but increased DT's keep it feeling oppressive. Flow comes around more SW by Thu and 850 MB temps 19c - 22C should allow near record or record challenging highs mid upper 90s in the warmer spots. First shot at showers/storms as weak front nudges down the ridge Fri night (6/21) and Sat (6/22), but still hot. GFS has closed low near GA/SC which could be of interest if stuck or caught undercutting ridge late week. Stronger push of heat Sun (6/23) and Mon (6/24) ahead of the stronger front and trough push more high heat and humidity. Brief reprieve from the heat before ridging builds back later in the month.

Dewpoint temps rising to 61, still cool/comfortable 65/61

Highs: PHL: 86 ACY: 81 TTN: 80 New Brnswck: 79 NYC: 78 TEB: 77 EWR: 77 JFK: 76 LGA: 76 ISP: 74 BLM: 71

Up to 79 now down to 75.

Thu /Fri could challenge some records here.

Gorgeous 76/ 50 right now. Happy Fathers day

Add 3 for LGA and 5-6 for EWR/New Brnswck areas. This next weekend, pending on clouds will be as hot

Its a bit out there but the longer term has a more humid look by the end of the month.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1981) NYC: 97 (1891) LGA: 96 (1991) JFK: 92 (1962) Lows: EWR: 52 (1946) NYC: 52 (1927) LGA: 55 (1961) JFK: 55 (1965) Historical: 1806 - A total eclipse of the sun was viewed from southern California to Massachusetts. (David Ludlum) June 16, 1806: The great American total solar eclipse occurred from California to Massachusetts, nearly five minutes in duration. 1895: Heavy rain fell in portions of central Arkansas, damaging several roads and bridges. At Madding, east of Pine Bluff, 6.12 inches of rain fell in six hours. 1917 - The temperature soared to 124 degrees at Mecca climaxing the most destructive heat wave of record in California history. (David Ludlum) 1944 - A tornado in Sioux City, IA, traveled an odd course. It spun in one place for about twenty minutes, made a U-turn, traveled southeast for about three miles, then traveled south, east, north, and finally east again. (The Weather Channel) 1972: Agnes was first named by the National Hurricane Center on June 16, 1972: It would go on to make landfall between Panama City and Apalachicola, Florida, on the afternoon of June 19. Hurricane Agnes would later cause catastrophic flooding in the mid-Atlantic states, especially Pennsylvania. Agnes caused over 100 fatalities. 1987 - Temperatures soared above 100 degrees in the Upper Midwest, reaching 104 degrees at Lincoln, NE. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 96 mph at Valley City, ND, and baseball size hail near Red Oak, IA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - After a brief respite, hot weather returned to the Northern High Plains Region. Late night thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Polson and north of Lake Seeley. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Daytime thunderstorms produced severe weather from northern Florida to the Middle Atlantic Coast. The thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes, and there were 138 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 87 mph caused twenty million dollars damage at Columbia SC. Strong thunderstorm winds killed one person at McLeansville NC. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1992: A devastating tornado ravaged portions of southwest Minnesota. Commonly referred to as the Chandler-Lake Wilson tornado, this tornado destroyed more than 75 homes, with another 90 houses, 10 businesses, a church, and a school damaged. In addition, the tornado caused over $50 million in property damage, resulting in more than 40 injuries and one fatality. Based on a detailed damage assessment by the National Weather Service, it is estimated this F5 tornado packed winds over 260 mph as it tore through the residential area of Chandler, Minnesota. This was the only F5 tornado to occur in the United States in 1992. 2014: The Pilger tornado was the most intense of the family of tornadoes produced by the supercell. This tornado developed about 6 miles southwest of the town of Pilger and moved northeast, directly striking the city. Initially narrow and relatively weak, the tornado significantly intensified as it neared the Elkhorn River and moved into town. The tornado cut a path through town, destroying numerous homes and businesses. The tornado was responsible for 1 fatality in the town of Pilger and several injuries before moving northeast and weakening. During a weakening period, the tornado again intensified, producing additional violent damage 4 miles northeast of Pilger. Finally, the tornado narrowed, weakened, and turned east, wrapping around the developing Wakefield tornado before dissipating.

heavy rain shifts from FL west to TX next week - lookw like the C-GOM the following

Midway through June (15th) depwith a >+5 next 7 days coming up EWR: +4 JFK: +3.9 PHL:+3.4 LGA: +2.4 NYC: +2.3 TTN: +2.1

70 / 49 and a truly lovely day shaping up. Upper 70s to near 80. Strong ridge builds in Mon with the start of the heatwave in the warmer spots, others get there Tue. Ridge now forecast to peak at 600DM just near NJ shore on Wed (6/19). Peak 850 MB >20C comes Thu (6/20) - Mon (6/24) with upper 90s or more and reords being challenged. One of the stronger ridges as bluewave pointed out in our area 2013 (July) , 2001 (August), 2011 (July). Looks like a trough swings a front through in the 6/25-26 timeframe before ridging builds back. Flow is pumping tremendous moisture into the GOM starting in TX then slowly moving east into the Mssspi valley. Looking warm to humid to close the month under higher heights.

Highs: EWR: 85 PHL: 84 New Brnswck: 83 ACY: 83 BLM: 82 TEB: 82 LGA: 82 JFK: 82 TTN: 81 NYC: 80 ISP: 78

Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (1994) NYC: 96 (1994) LGA: 96 (1988) JFK: 93 (1988) Lows: EWR: 48 (1933) NYC: 48 (1933) LGA: 54 (1951) JFK: 51 (1965) Historical: 1662 - A fast was held at Salem MA with prayers for rain, and the Lord gave a speedy answer. (David Ludlum) 1879 - McKinney ND received 7.7 inches of rain in 24 hours, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1896 - The temperature at Fort Mojave, CA, soared to 127 degrees, the hottest reading of record for June for the U.S. The low that day was 97 degrees. Morning lows of 100 degrees were reported on the 12th, 14th and 16th of the month. (The Weather Channel) 1953 - Dust devils are usually rather benign weather phenomena, however, two boys were injured by one near Prescott AZ. One of the boys suffered a black eye, and the other boy had two vertabrae fractured by wind-blown debris. (The Weather Channel) 1957 - East Saint Louis was deluged with 16.54 inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the state of Illinois. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the northwestern U.S. A tornado damaged five homes and destroyed a barn near Salmon ID. It lifted a metal shed 100 feet into the air, and deposited it 100 yards away. Hail an inch and a half in diameter caused ten million dollars damage to automobiles at Nampa ID. (The National Weather Channel) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region spawned five tornadoes around Denver, CO, in just one hour. A strong (F-3) tornado in southern Denver injured seven persons and caused ten million dollars damage. Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 97 degrees at Portland ME was a record for June. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast States. The thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes, including strong (F-3) tornadoes which injured three persons at Mountville PA and four persons at Columbia, PA. There were 111 reports of large hail and damaging winds, including wind gusts to 80 mph at Norfolk, VA, and Hogback Mountain, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1991: The second largest volcanic eruption of the 20th Century began as Mt. Pinatubo injected 15 to 30 million tons of sulfur dioxide 100,000 feet into the atmosphere. 343 people were killed in the Philippines as a result of the eruptions, and 200,000 were left homeless. Material from the explosion would spread around the globe, leading to climate changes worldwide as the sun's energy was blocked out and global temperatures cooled by as much as one degree Fahrenheit. 1992 was globally one of the coldest since the 1970s.

76/ 58 and on to a very nice weekend. Monday ridge builds in with near 90 Mon - and low - 90s Tue/Wed (NNE wind component) by Thu the ridge is building south with a more WNW flow and mid upper 90s. Overall warm - hot. Trough / transient by the 24-25th with ridge and warmth building out beyond.

Highs: EWR: 91 BLM: 90 ACY: 90 PHL: 90 TTN: 88 New Brnswck: 88 LGA: 87 TEB: 86 ISP: 86 NYC: 85 JFK: 79

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (1988) NYC 99 (1956) LGA: 99 (1956) JFK: 95 (2005) Lows: EWR: 49 (1978) NYC: 49 (1875) LGA: 51 (1978) JFK: 52 (1980) Historical: 1903 - The Heppner Disaster occurred in Oregon. A cloudburst in the hills sent a flood down Willow Creek, and a twenty foot wall of water swept away a third of the town in minutes, killing 236 residents and causing 100 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1961 - The temperature in Downtown San Francisco, CA, soared to 106 degrees to establish an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thirty-two cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 97 degrees at Flint, MI, tied their record for June, and the high of 101 at Milwaukee WI marked their first 100 degree reading in 32 years. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to South Texas, drenching McAllen with 3.2 inches in one hour. A thunderstorm soaked the town of Uncertain with 2.3 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirty cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from the Central Gulf States to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region during the day and into the night. There were 62 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds caused 28 million dollars damage in Montgomery County MD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

0.14 / 27 mph gust high of 89

76 / 65 partly sunny clouds nearby with showers and storm by the afternoon. Upper 80s to stray 90 if enough sun. Clears out and the weekend looks fine with no rain and low 80s as trough moves through. Mon begins the warm up near 90 and start of a heatwave in the warmer spits. Hot Tue into next weekend with peak heat in our area by Thu. NNE wind components under a 600DM ridge tue - wed gives way to a more NW flow and >20C 850MB heat as ridge pushed down south a bit. Looking overall warm to hot beyond to close the month. as ridge rebuids. Gulf tropical activity cold increase.

6/13 Highs EWR: 89 PHL: 87 TTN: 87 TEB: 87 New Brnswck: 87 ACY: 85 LGA: 85 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 ISP: 80 JFK: 78

85/ 55 and on way to near 90 or 90 in the hot spots. Tomorrow clouds and showers could get in the way of appetizer 90s in the warmer spits. Dry / warm weekend ahead of the oncoming heat next week. Overalll hot the next week to 10 days. Recent dryness will enhance maximums. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

Highs ACY: 84 EWR: 81 PHL: 80 New Brnswck: 79 TTN: 78 LGA: 78 TEB: 78 ISP: 76 NYC: 76 JFK: 75 BLM: 74

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2017) NYC: 93 (2017) LGA: 96 (2017) JFK: 92 (2017) Lows: EWR: 47 (1951) NYC: 48 (1979) LGA: 49 (1979) JFK: 49 (1980) Historical: 1881 - Severe thunderstorms spawned more than half a dozen tornadoes in the Lower Missouri Valley. Five of the tornadoes touched down near Saint Joseph MO. In south central Kansas a tornado nearly wiped out the town of Floral. Hail and high winds struck Iowa and southern Minnesota. In Minnesota, Blue Earth City reported five inches of rain in one hour. (David Ludlum) 1915: An estimated F4 tornado moved northeast from northwest of Waterville, Iowa crossing the Mississippi River two miles south of Ferryville, Wisconsin. A man and his daughter were killed in one of three homes that were obliterated southwest of "Heytman," a small railroad station on the Mississippi River. 60 buildings and eight homes were destroyed in Wisconsin. This tornado caused approximately $200,000 in damage. In addition to this tornado, another estimated F4 tornado moved northeast across Fayette and Clayton Counties in northeast Iowa. One farm was devastated, the house and barn leveled. Heavy machinery was thrown 300 yards. Clothing was carried two miles. 1947 - A heavy wet snow blanketed much of southern and central Wyoming, and gave many places their heaviest and latest snow of record. Totals included 18.4 inches at Lander, 8.7 inches at Cheyenne, and 4.5 inches at Casper. (11th-12th) (The Weather Channel) 1948: The Columbia River Basin flood peaked on this date in the Northwest. The flood produced the highest water level in the basin since the flood there in 1894. The damage estimate for the 1948 flood was $101 million, and 75 lives were lost. 1969 - Record late season snows covered parts of Montana. Five inches was reported at Great Falls and east of Broadus. Billings, MT, tied their June record with lows of 32 degrees on the 12th and the 13th. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The state of Utah was beseiged by floods and mudslides. Streets in downtown Salt Lake City were sandbagged and turned into rivers of relief. The town of Thistle was completely inundated as a mudslide made a natural dam. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced softball size hail around Fremont and Ames, and 3.5 inches of rain in less than one hour. Four and a half inches in less than an hour caused flooding around Ithica, NE. A tornado destroyed a mobile home near Broken Bow, NE, injuring both occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville with a reading of 40 degrees. Drought conditions continued to intensify across the eastern half of the nation. Rainfall at Nashville, TN, was running 12.5 inches below normal. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Tennessee Valley to the Central Appalachians in the afternoon and evening, and produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Texas during the evening and night. Thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, and there were 164 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Amarillo, TX, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Denton TX. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Tucumcari NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - A tornado in Hammond, Wisconsin damaged 22 homes and produced $3.6 million in damage (Associated Press).

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/CMCNA_0z/test8.gif