SACRUS

Shaping to be a splendid Sunday and making two great weekends back to back and longer ranger guidance hints a trifecta next weekend. Before then more of the same tomorrow (Mon) 9/20. By Tue a trough is digginng into the GL and a with a ULL cutting off by Wed (9/22) pushing a southerly flow along the EC. Clouds and humid with rain and potentially a soaking Wed late into and through Thu (9/23) wit >1.5 - 3 inches of rain widespread before the ULL pushes north and aloows the front to push through Fri (9/24). Should setup a fantastic first weekend of fall. Beyond there as we end Sep and open Oct it looks like ridging is likely to build back by Tue (9/28) and warmer overall returns.

9/18 EWR: 88 PHL: 87 LGA: 86 JFK: 86 TEB: 86 New Brnswck: 86 TTN: 85 BLM: 85 ACY: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 84

looks like we warm back up after any transitory cooldown in the Sep 23 - 25 period. We'll see if the guidance continues to show warmer for and by the final week of Sep. (9/227th

Sat 9/18 looks like the next shot at 90 for EWR, next week could feature too much onshore flow.

Onshore flow / low spinning east of Carolina https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

MMU: 87 HPN: 84 SWF: 84

9/15 EWR: 91 BLM: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 88 LGA: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 85 ACY: 85 JFK: 81 ISP: 81

9/15 EWR: 91 BLM: 89 PHL: 89 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 88 LGA: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 85 ACY: 85 JFK: 81 ISP: 81

9/14 PHL: 88 TTN: 84 ACY: 82 New Brnswck: 82 EWR: 81 LGA: 81 TEB: 81 NYC: 80 BLM: 79 ISP: 78 JFK: 78

The puppy days of late summer as we ride above normal overall into the longer range. After today's cooldown Wed (9/15) looks to reach 90 , especially in the warmer spots in what will end a 2 + weeks period without 90s. Beyond there - warm and we watch cut off lows from the ridge producing onshore and keeping it warm but next shot at 90s would likely come Sat or Sun (pending on clouds and easterly flow). Nicholas remnants look aimed at GL/OV but at some point those storms and precip comes east. ULL in the Atlantic nearby the coast as well. So we have to see how much of the period 9/18 - 9/22 is clouds and onshore and potentially showery, rainy.

9/13 ACY: 88 EWR: 88 PHL: 88 BLM: 87 JFK: 87 New Brnswck: 86 LGA: 86 ISP: 85 TTN: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 83

Smoke looks most prevalent into the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic currently https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

82 / 70, summer feel. Warmup ongoing with chance of 90s (last one 8/30) for many today and Wed in the warmer spots.

9/12 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 New Brnswck: 84 ACY: 84 BLM: 84 TTN: 83 JFK: 82 TEB: 82 NYC: 81 ISP: 79

Warm up on with next show at 90s, especially i the warmer spots Sun - Mon and Wed/Thu. Overall looking warmer than normal for the long range. GFS still back and forth with low undercutting the ridge next week bringing rain on various runs while the ECM is mainly well east of the coast with the low.

From 51 now up to 70 with bright sunshine. Just a gorgeous day ahead. We Warm things up tomorrow Sun (9/12) through Thu (9/16) with chance for 90s in the warmer spots adding to those 90s totals. Will have to deal with more rain from as low cut off under ridge brings rain and stiff onshore breeze later Fri (9/17) into next weekend 9/19. beyond there warmer overall and woudlnt shock me for a run at some more late 90s.

Clearing out and looking dry through Thursday (9/15). Just terrific weather today and tomorrow highs near 80 and low humidity. By Sun (9/12) through much of the next work wek warmer times coincide with ridging along the east coast and what played very similarly as the late july cool down / near or below normal week transitioning to a another sustained warm period is likely happening here for the next few weeks. Mon (9/13) - Wed (9/15) warm spots with 90s possible or likely as 850 temps get >16c. Some storms/showers Thu (9/16) and late next week may limit warmth before the ridge builds back next weekend 9/17 - 18 and beyond with overall warmer than normal into the second half/late month.

69 degrees front moving through and so far .27 in the bucket in CNJ. Front slow to clear today setting up and beautiful end of the week and this weekend. Fri (9/10) / Sat (9/11) gorgeous sunny days low humidity and highs near 80. Warmup starts Sun (9/12) and continues through next week. Ridge builds next chance at 90 in the warmer spots Mon (9/13) - Wed (9/15). Beyond next week and into next weekend 9/17, overall warm looks to be sustained.

82 / 57 now. Overall once past the front (rains / storms) on Wed and part of Thu am, looks very nice / overall dry the next 5 days near normal before the ridge rebuilds and warms up by Su (9/12) through what should be most of next week. 850 temps to approach >16c by next (Mon 9/13) - Thu (9/16) so the next shot at heat and 90s in the warmer spots. overall warmer than normal into the longer range / great beyond.

68 and today lining up as a gem. Low to perhaps a mid 80 in the warm spots. More of the same tomorrow before front arrives and trough into the east with rain and some storms. Cooler to near normal by the end of the week and next weekend (9/10). Warming trend look to arrive by Tue (9/14) with next shot at 90s. Overall Sep looking to end on the warmer side. Looking like a great stretch of weather.

Low of 54 now up to a gorgeous 68 degrees. Crickets and ragweed in full force. Partly cloudy today and temps near or low 80s (with enough sunshine) Sunday more cloudy with morning rain showers and from the overnight. It may clear later in the day but warm in the near 80 and dewpoints rising. Monday (9/6 Holiday) and Tue (9/7) warmer low / mid 80s before front and associated storms on Wed (9/8). Thu (9/9) - Sat (9/11) cooler and near normal before ridge builds east and offers the next shot at heat 90s in the 9/12 and into the following week 9/14 week period.

74/54 and a bit more sun but still plenty of high clouds. Just a really pretty day to golf or garden and any outdoor activities for that matter .

Lot more clouds now

Down to 53 last night after a gorgeous day in the upper 70s high of 79. This coming long weekend looks mostly very nice! More of the same today with many upper 70s and low 80s. Saturday a bit warmer and into the low 80s before warm front Sunday may keep us in clouds much of the day with some rain later that evening. Monday (9/6 Holiday) looks to clear and warm to the low or mid 80s a huge difference from the chilly Memorial day weekend 3 months ago. Ride the near normal trough till next Thu (9/9) before warming up by next weekend (9/10). Week of 9/13 looks to offer the next chance of 90s for the hot spots and some late season strong plus departures.

5.01 in the bucket just south of the heavier rains thankfully. California feel the next 3 days before it warms up Sun (9/5) which may remain cloudy then holiday Mon (9/6) into the low / mid 80s. Cooler / near normal until 9/10and the subsequent week when ridging builds into the east and we warm back up and perhaps the next chance at heat / 90s . Bet on wet and warm still looks good overall.