81 / 63 after a low of 68. On way to some drier more comfortable lower 90s today before the strong blast of heat come through Thu (8/4). 850 around or >20C tomorrow and Fri(8/5). Believe storms and clouds come in later Friday after mid/upper 90s and perhaps a century mark in the warmer / drier spots.
Then is Miami style pattern later Friday and Sat (8/6). Pop up storms warm /humid where it stays sunny it will approach or exceed 90 / low 90s with high heat index otherwise plenty of clouds and storms as we are sought of caught between the rim of the eastward extent of the Rockies/ Plains Ridge and the western rim of the expanding Western Atlantic Bermuda High. Storms could ease up on Sunday (8/7) but would expect some soakers then Mon (8/8) more heat and humidity before front comes through Tue (8/9).
Beyond that overall warm pattern with rising heights building in by later next week Fri (8/12) from the Rockies / Plains ridge.
It has been extraordinarily dry and this week will only add to that. Would have been nice if yesterday was a soaker wth the way it was locked in clouds all day.
Even if the boundary sets up north and west this weekend, we should see much increased Florida style pop up storms later Friday through and into Mon (8/8). I would be surprised if there werent some decent down pours this weekend / flood watches.
76/71 here after a late high of 77 yesterday. Next heatwave is on today for most location with mainly some lower and mid 90s. Warm/dry / hot spots could see 95+ today. More of the same Wed (8/3) much of the day then the blast of >20c 850 temps blast in later in the day with Thu (8/4) ad Fri (8/5) with temperatures surging into the mid . upper 90s with some of the warmer and hot spots up to 100. The Western Atlantic Ridge is building west again by Friday and encompasses much of the area by Saturday with the Rockies and Plains Ridge building and expanding into the North East. They dont fully merge per latest forecasting and create a weakness and boundary between them. Look for Florida style weather by later Friday (8/5) and into this weekend Sat (8/6) and Sun (8/7). When and if its sunny more heat and 90s potential each daybut couds / storms could get in the way. Will need to see how and where the front sets up and crawls east. Beyond there by next week Mon (8/8) the front looks to clear and some more heat , with continues pop storms chances through Wed (8/10) before front / trough move into the northeast by 8/11 and 8/12, Way woud expect overall warm and to at times hot as more of the heat from the Rockies/Plains builds east and may meet with the WAR.
Still looking like that Wed - Fri in my opinion, 3 days of strong heat. Weekend, if enough sun could be very hot as well but it looks like a more cloudy, humid / stormy one. Will see. This will be interesting to see how it progresses.
Later Friday (8/5) and through the coming weekend looks a bit difficult to forecast in advance. Could see a hung up boundary between the building WAR and the rim of the Plains ridge. Not sure where that setsup and how long it linger before a more sw flow develops into next week. One does see mich increased and improved widespread rain chances, even if that front / boundary is west, pop up Florida style storms are looking likely.
E/NE flow and clouds slow to erode. 80 looking to be out of reach. I remember the 2015 streak of plus 80s lasting tino September.
http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif
A nice 0.51 in the bucket overnight. Clouds stuck all day and keeping it near 80. Perhaps the first sub 80 high for many since June. Once past today the heat is on Tue (8/2) through Fri (8/5) with 850 mb temps surging to >20c by wed, Thu and Fri. Look for many mid upper 90s and 100s in the warm spots similar to last go around. Friday will see more southerly flow and humidity and with it starts the more Florida style pattern as the Western Atlantic ridge expands west. A bit of a weakness between the W.AR and the Rockies / Plains ridge over the coming weekend Sat (8/6) and Sun (8/7) could mean best widespread rain chances in a while and potential for rainouts for the Mets. Beyond there continued overall warm into next week Mon (8/8) and humid.
Monday (8/1)opens cloudy and potentially wet with storms and some rain ahead as warm front noses through. The Western Atlantic Ridge is expanding west by the middle of the week Tue (8/2) and Wed (8/3) which will merge with the Rockies / Plain ridge at tmes. A warm to hot to at times very hot pattern from 8/2 and onward. Strong heat this weed Wed (8/3) through Fri (8/6) with 850 mb temps >18c , peaking at >21C. A more southerly flow will pump the humidity next weekend Sat (8/6) and offer a more Florida style pattern with storms , warm and humid. Beyond there overalll continues warm as the Rockies / Plains Ridge rebuilds and more heat is ready to spread east by the The (8/11).