Jump to content

SACRUS

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,279

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SACRUS

  1. SACRUS
    63 / 57 and a little breezy. Looks like another fabulous summer day / weekend overall as ULL tracks well north and east. Perhaps some stray showers and afternoon clouds in eastern sections . upper 70s near 80 today (some low 80s in the warmer sunnier spots). Fathers day looks marvelous sunny / dry and low 80s (mid 80s in the warmer spots). 6/19 - 6/26 Cut off down into the Carolinas / South (reminiscent of Memorial Day Weekend) looks to keep much of the rain and clouds south / well south of the region as we repeat the pattern of weakness under the ridge forcing generally onshore ENE / E flow. The flow does spin around to a warmer W /NW later this week which could push temps into the mid / upper 80s Thu (6/22) and Fri (6/23). Rockies ridge pushing heat into the Souther plains texas and up into Canada. By next weekend a more southerly flow should introduce clouds, humidity and storms chances. Beyond there to close the month we are looking for heat to spread down and the next trough to back and cut off into the GL/OV (ala early /mid June). This should allow a much warmer to hot finish to the month. Way beyond - the Western Atlantic Ridge is pushing west and perhaps a more humid / summery pattern to open the month.
  2. SACRUS
    6/16 EWR: 82 LGA: 82 TEB: 81 New Brnswck: 80 BLM: 79 NYC: 79 ISP: 79 JFK: 78 ACY: 76 TTN: 75 PHL: 73
  3. SACRUS
    Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1952) NYC: 97 (1891) LGA: 96 (1991) Lows: EWR: 52 (1950) NYC: 52 (1927) LGA: 55 (1961) Historical: 1806 - A total eclipse of the sun was viewed from southern California to Massachusetts. (David Ludlum) (5 minute total eclipse https://www.greatamericaneclipse.com/19th-century/ ) 1895: Heavy rain fell in portions of central Arkansas, damaging several roads and bridges. At Madding, east of Pine Bluff, 6.12 inches of rain fell in six hours. 1917 - The temperature soared to 124 degrees at Mecca climaxing the most destructive heat wave of record in California history. (David Ludlum) 1944 - A tornado in Sioux City, IA, traveled an odd course. It spun in one place for about twenty minutes, made a U-turn, traveled southeast for about three miles, then traveled south, east, north, and finally east again. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Temperatures soared above 100 degrees in the Upper Midwest, reaching 104 degrees at Lincoln, NE. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 96 mph at Valley City, ND, and baseball size hail near Red Oak, IA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - After a brief respite, hot weather returned to the Northern High Plains Region. Late night thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Polson and north of Lake Seeley. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Daytime thunderstorms produced severe weather from northern Florida to the Middle Atlantic Coast. The thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes, and there were 138 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 87 mph caused twenty million dollars damage at Columbia SC. Strong thunderstorm winds killed one person at McLeansville NC. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1992: A devastating tornado ravaged portions of southwest Minnesota. Commonly referred to as the Chandler-Lake Wilson tornado, this tornado destroyed more than 75 homes, with another 90 houses, 10 businesses, a church, and a school damaged. In addition, the tornado caused over $50 million in property damage, resulting in more than 40 injuries and one fatality. Based on a detailed damage assessment by the National Weather Service, it is estimated this F5 tornado packed winds over 260 mph as it tore through the residential area of Chandler, Minnesota. This was the only F5 tornado to occur in the United States in 1992. 2014: The Pilger tornado was the most intense of the family of tornadoes produced by the supercell. This tornado developed about 6 miles southwest of the town of Pilger and moved northeast, directly striking the city. Initially narrow and relatively weak, the tornado significantly intensified as it neared the Elkhorn River and moved into town. The tornado cut a path through town, destroying numerous homes and businesses. The tornado was responsible for 1 fatality in the town of Pilger and several injuries before moving northeast and weakening. During a weakening period, the tornado again intensified, producing additional violent damage 4 miles northeast of Pilger. Finally, the tornado narrowed, weakened, and turned east, wrapping around the developing Wakefield tornado before dissipating. Click HERE for more information from the NWS Office in Omaha, Nebraska.
  4. SACRUS
    74 / 56 Partly sunny but that will be fleeting as clouds and showers are approaching out of EPA. Scattered storms some strong (plenty of details and discussion). Sat looking better but we will have some lingering clouds and scattered showers. Fathers Day (6/18) look amazing near 80 / low 80s. As the ridge and heat build and expand out of the Rockies / southern Plains / TX into the GL and EC, trough backs in and cuts off below into the VA/ Carolinas. Starting to see a more similar progression as we did Memorial Day where we have strong onshore to keep heat west and north of us, but latest guidance (and we'll have to track trends) keeps bulk of the rain south of us. Id still go near / below normal and rain chance 6/19 - 6/26 but tendecies could keep us shielded. Beyond there ridge and heights build into east and flow comes around to the south/ south west with next warm and heat potential to close the month. Western Atlantic Ridge may come west to open the month. Both ECM and GFS have tropical lows in the way out there but more to come. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif
  5. SACRUS
    6/15 ACY: 82 EWR: 82 JFK: 80 PHL: 79 BLM: 79 New Brnswck: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 79 TTN: 79 ISP: 78 NYC: 77
  6. SACRUS
    Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (1994) NYC: 96 (1994) LGA: 96 (1988) Lows: EWR: 48 (1933) NYC: 48 (1933) LGA: 54 (1951) Historical: 1662 - A fast was held at Salem MA with prayers for rain, and the Lord gave a speedy answer. (David Ludlum) 1879 - McKinney ND received 7.7 inches of rain in 24 hours, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1896 - The temperature at Fort Mojave, CA, soared to 127 degrees, the hottest reading of record for June for the U.S. The low that day was 97 degrees. Morning lows of 100 degrees were reported on the 12th, 14th and 16th of the month. (The Weather Channel) 1953 - Dust devils are usually rather benign weather phenomena, however, two boys were injured by one near Prescott AZ. One of the boys suffered a black eye, and the other boy had two vertabrae fractured by wind-blown debris. (The Weather Channel) 1957 - East Saint Louis was deluged with 16.54 inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the state of Illinois. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the northwestern U.S. A tornado damaged five homes and destroyed a barn near Salmon ID. It lifted a metal shed 100 feet into the air, and deposited it 100 yards away. Hail an inch and a half in diameter caused ten million dollars damage to automobiles at Nampa ID. (The National Weather Channel) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region spawned five tornadoes around Denver, CO, in just one hour. A strong (F-3) tornado in southern Denver injured seven persons and caused ten million dollars damage. Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 97 degrees at Portland ME was a record for June. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast States. The thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes, including strong (F-3) tornadoes which injured three persons at Mountville PA and four persons at Columbia, PA. There were 111 reports of large hail and damaging winds, including wind gusts to 80 mph at Norfolk, VA, and Hogback Mountain, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1991: The second largest volcanic eruption of the 20th Century began as Mt. Pinatubo injected 15 to 30 million tons of sulfur dioxide 100,000 feet into the atmosphere. 343 people were killed in the Philippines as a result of the eruptions, and 200,000 were left homeless. Material from the explosion would spread around the globe, leading to climate changes worldwide as the sun's energy was blocked out and global temperatures cooled by as much as one degree Fahrenheit. 1992 was globally one of the coldest since the 1970s.
  7. SACRUS
    70/ 53 and mostly sunny. Another fabulous day on tap. Near / low 80s and mostly sunny / breezy. ULL spins around and brings the next (repeat of wed) chance of storms Fri (6/16) and lingering Sat (6/17). Fathers Day looking very nice to split the weekend with (repeat of Tue/Thu) near / 80s and sunny. Building ridge in the Rockies / Southern Plains builds east and into Southern Canada. A weakness under the ridge closes off in the W VA/ Carolina area 6/19 - 626. Onshore flow - how long will it go. With low a bit north of where it was memorial Day weekend means clouds and showers nearby in the period especially in southern NJ. Winds will eventually shift southerly mid/late next week and more widespread rain as the low eventually lifts north and out. Could see totals 2- 4 inches over the 7 day period or more where storms are stongest and slowest. Clos of the month heat heads south into the area. We'll see f the W/ Atlantic Ridge shoves west and more persistent warmth comes to open the month.
  8. SACRUS
    6/14 ACY: 79 EWR: 79 BLM: 79 PHL: 77 TEB: 77 New Brnswck: 77 LGA: 76 NYC: 76 TTN: 75 ISP: 72 JFK: 72
  9. SACRUS
  10. SACRUS
    Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (1988) NYC: 99 (1956) LGA: 99 (1956) Lows: EWR: 49 (1978) NYC: 49 (1875) LGA: 51 (1978) Historical: 1903 - The Heppner Disaster occurred in Oregon. A cloudburst in the hills sent a flood down Willow Creek, and a twenty foot wall of water swept away a third of the town in minutes, killing 236 residents and causing 100 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1961 - The temperature in Downtown San Francisco, CA, soared to 106 degrees to establish an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thirty-two cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 97 degrees at Flint, MI, tied their record for June, and the high of 101 at Milwaukee WI marked their first 100 degree reading in 32 years. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to South Texas, drenching McAllen with 3.2 inches in one hour. A thunderstorm soaked the town of Uncertain with 2.3 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirty cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from the Central Gulf States to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region during the day and into the night. There were 62 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds caused 28 million dollars damage in Montgomery County MD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
  11. SACRUS
    72/60 and mostly sunny (for now) as clouds and showers are to the EPA border. Showers some storms this morning into the afternoon. Clouds and rain should cap temps in the md 70s. Thu (6/15) a warmer redo of Tue , mostly sunny and stunning near / low 80s. Fri (6/16) a redo of today perhaps a bit more widespread showers and storms as the ULL moves through Upstate NY into SNE. Storms and clouds stubborn and lingering into the split of the weekend with most of Sat cloudy with showers / storms. Probably some breaks in the clouds at times but not a great day. Fathers day looking dry and very pleasant near 80 / low 80s. 6/19 - 6/26 Ridge and heat continues to build into the Rockies, TX / Southern Plains, as the ridge builds and heat pushes over the north into Southern Canada, a cut off trough into the W Carolinas/VA pushes an onshore flow into the area. This is more reminiscent of Memorial day low a bit north. So clouds and showers are closer by especially southern sections but some nicer / drier days in between. The brunt of the rain axis looks south into VA/NC/MD. We'll see. The Southern Cali pattern continues but have seen similar Junes progress this way with big heat into Canada before building down and then the W/ Atlantic Ridge builds west, Beyond, as this cut off and associated lows lifts out and the flow comes around to the N/NW heat into Southern Canada could setup the next warm period to close the month. We'll see if the tendency is to cut off another trough into the Northeast. But overall a warmer look as there isn't much cool air around outside the onshore flow. spinning wheel.
  12. SACRUS
    6/13 EWR: 83 LGA: 81 TEB: 81 JFK: 80 BLM: 80 ACY: 79 New Brnswck: 79 PHL: 79 ISP: 78 NYC: 78 TTN: 77
  13. SACRUS
    Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2017) NYC: 96 (1961) LGA: 101 (2017) Lows: EWR: 51 (1982) LGA: 51 (1982) NYC: 51 (1953) Historical: 1889 - Forest fires in northern Wisconsin and northeast Minnesota were in the process of destroying millions of dollars of board feet of timber. (David Ludlum) 1907 - The temperature at Tamarack, CA, dipped to 2 degrees above zero, the lowest reading of record for June for the U.S. The high that day was 30 degrees. Tamarack received 42 inches of snow between the 10th and the 13th. On the 13th the snow depth was 130 inches. (The Weather Channel) 1984 - Severe thunderstorms struck Denver deluging the city with five inches of rain, and leaving up to six feet of water in some places. Softball size hail smashed windshields and ripped through metal cars. Snow plows had to be called out. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including International Falls, MN, with a reading of 92 degrees. Mason City IA and Waterloo IA reported record highs of 100 degrees. Thunderstorms in the northeastern U.S. produced golf ball size hail around Hamilton Square NJ, along with high winds which tore the roof off a hospital causing a million dollars damage. Averill Park NY was deluged with 1.64 inches of rain in fifteen minutes. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern and Central Plains Region. Forrest NM was deluged with 5.5 inches of rain in ninety minutes. Temperatures soared into the 90s across much of the eastern half of the nation, including New England. Northern Illinois reported a record twenty straight days of dry weather. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern Plains Region to the Carolinas during the day and night, and continued to drench parts of Texas and Oklahoma with heavy rain. Oklahoma City reported 13.41 inches of rain for the first thirteen days of the month, and Fort Worth TX reported 29.56 inches for the year, a total more than 13 inches above normal. Severe drought continued to rage across South Texas. (The National Weather Summary)
  14. SACRUS
    0.50 here to wake up the frogs. 00Z guidance a bit less rainfall through Day 10 than prior guidance but still looks wetter.
  15. SACRUS
    65 / 54 and clearing partly sunny. One the way to a gorgeous day. Near / low 80s for most. Wed (6/14) more clods and scattered showers and storms as ULL moves through the Catskills. Thu (6/15) a repeat of Tuesday with mostly sunny and near / low 80s. Friday is similar to Wed with clouds and showers moving through and cooler. The weekend split looks reversed clouds and lingering storms and showers before a splendid fathers day (6/18). The period 6./19 - 6/26 ULL # 4 , 5, 6 and where will they cut off under the building ridge. Latest guidance favors the Ohio valley and into western VA / Carolinas with strong onshore flow into the area. We'll have to see the eventual progression but this keeps the area capped near / below normal and pending o location(s) of these cut offs and tendency for weakness into the E to back troughs in, could spell rain chances. Beyond there we'll see if the building furnace into the Rockies and S plains/ TX//OK ejects pieces to end the month o a hotter note. Watching for the Western Atlantic Ridge to build west as we close the month.
  16. SACRUS
    6/12 TEB: 86 PHL: 84 TTN: 84 New Brnswck: 83 LGA: 81 EWR: 78 BLM: 78 ACY: 78 NYC: 78 JFK: 76 ISP: 76
  17. SACRUS
    Some clearing and further fuel maybe. Up to 80/67 here.
  18. SACRUS
    Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2017) NYC: 93 (2017) LGA: 96 (2017) Lows: EWR: 47 (1951) NYC: 48 (1979) LGA: 49 (1979) Historical: 1881 - Severe thunderstorms spawned more than half a dozen tornadoes in the Lower Missouri Valley. Five of the tornadoes touched down near Saint Joseph MO. In south central Kansas a tornado nearly wiped out the town of Floral. Hail and high winds struck Iowa and southern Minnesota. In Minnesota, Blue Earth City reported five inches of rain in one hour. (David Ludlum) 1915: An estimated F4 tornado moved northeast from northwest of Waterville, Iowa crossing the Mississippi River two miles south of Ferryville, Wisconsin. A man and his daughter were killed in one of three homes that were obliterated southwest of "Heytman," a small railroad station on the Mississippi River. 60 buildings and eight homes were destroyed in Wisconsin. This tornado caused approximately $200,000 in damage. In addition to this tornado, another estimated F4 tornado moved northeast across Fayette and Clayton Counties in northeast Iowa. One farm was devastated, the house and barn leveled. Heavy machinery was thrown 300 yards. Clothing was carried two miles. 1947 - A heavy wet snow blanketed much of southern and central Wyoming, and gave many places their heaviest and latest snow of record. Totals included 18.4 inches at Lander, 8.7 inches at Cheyenne, and 4.5 inches at Casper. (11th-12th) (The Weather Channel) 1948: The Columbia River Basin flood peaked on this date in the Northwest. The flood produced the highest water level in the basin since the flood there in 1894. The damage estimate for the 1948 flood was $101 million, and 75 lives were lost. 1969 - Record late season snows covered parts of Montana. Five inches was reported at Great Falls and east of Broadus. Billings, MT, tied their June record with lows of 32 degrees on the 12th and the 13th. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The state of Utah was beseiged by floods and mudslides. Streets in downtown Salt Lake City were sandbagged and turned into rivers of relief. The town of Thistle was completely inundated as a mudslide made a natural dam. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced softball size hail around Fremont and Ames, and 3.5 inches of rain in less than one hour. Four and a half inches in less than an hour caused flooding around Ithica, NE. A tornado destroyed a mobile home near Broken Bow, NE, injuring both occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville with a reading of 40 degrees. Drought conditions continued to intensify across the eastern half of the nation. Rainfall at Nashville, TN, was running 12.5 inches below normal. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Tennessee Valley to the Central Appalachians in the afternoon and evening, and produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Texas during the evening and night. Thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, and there were 164 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Amarillo, TX, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Denton TX. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Tucumcari NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - A tornado in Hammond, Wisconsin damaged 22 homes and produced $3.6 million in damage (Associated Press).
  19. SACRUS
    71 and muggy Dewpoint at 64. Mostly cloudy, although there could be a some sun poking through a bunch of times. Storms this afternoon and overnight into the overnight. 0.50 - 0.75 with some spots getting over an inch in the heaviest storms. Tue (6/13) clears and it is a gorgeous day low 80s. Wed more clouds / scattered storms as the ULL slowly lifts out of the northeast. Thu (6/15) looks like a carbon copy of Tue /low 80s and mainly sunny conditions. Fri (6/16) looking like a copy of Wed with clouds and scattered storms. The coming weekend looks split with a clear / sunny Sat (617) and more clouds and showers fathers day. Beyond there. Ridge flexes into the Rockies / S Plains and as t comes east a trough cuts off under the burgeoning ridge and it sets up ULL #4 with 5, 6 potentially lingering through 6/25. The period 6/19 - 6/25 looks similar to Memorial Day weekend only the cut looks poised to impact the N Mid Atlantic / Northeast as ridge / heat build into Canada. We'll see how it progresses but potentially onshore flow (how long could it go) and how much rain can reverse the dryness. We've seen similar progressions with near normal / cool Junes before the heats builds down to end June.
  20. SACRUS
  21. SACRUS
    6/11 PHL: 89 TTN: 88 New Brnswck: 87 ACY: 87 EWR: 85 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 BLM: 82 NYC: 82 ISP: 78 JFK: 76
  22. SACRUS
    Made it to 88 ahead of the clouds. COuld see more breaks between 3 - 5pm
  23. SACRUS
    Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (2000) NYC: 95 (1973) LGA: 96 (1984) Lows: EWR: 46 (1980) NYC: 46 (1972) LGA: 46 (1972) Historical: 1842 - A late season snowstorm struck New England. Snow fell during the morning and early afternoon, accumulating to a depth of ten to twelve inches at Irasburg VT. Berlin NH was blanketed with eleven inches of snow during the day. Snow whitened the higher peaks of the Appalachians as far south as Maryland. (David Ludlum) 1842: A late-season snowstorm struck New England. Snow fell during the morning and early afternoon, accumulating to a depth of ten to twelve inches at Irasburg, Vermont. Berlin, New Hampshire was blanketed with eleven inches of snow during the day. Snow whitened the higher peaks of the Appalachians as far south as Maryland. The latest date for the occurrence of a general snowstorm in our period over northern New England and northern New York came in 1842 on the morning of 11 June. Zadock Thompson, a professor of natural history and the Queen City's longtime weatherman, commented: "Snow during the forenoon's boards whitened and the mountains as white as in winter." 1877 - The temperature at Los Angeles, CA, reached 112 degrees during a heatwave. It would have been the all-time record for Los Angeles but official records did not begin until twenty days later. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - Heavy showers brought 1.64 inches of rain to Phoenix AZ, a record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - South Texas endured another day of torrential rains. Up to twelve inches of rain drenched Harris County, and nearly ten inches soaked Luce Bayou, mainly during the afternoon hours. Thunderstorm rains left seven feet of water over Highway 189 in northern Val Verde County. Flooding caused nine million dollars damage in Real County. A thunderstorm at Perryton, TX, produced golf ball size hail and 70 mph winds, and spawned a tornado which struck a mobile killing one person and injuring the other four occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including El Dorado, AR, with a reading of 48 degrees. Canaan Valley WV and Thomas WV dipped to 30 degrees. Flagstaff AZ was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 30 degrees. Coolidge, just 180 miles away, was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 105 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central and southeastern U.S. during the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes, including one which tore the roof off a restaurant at Bee Branch, AR, injuring six persons. The tornado tossed one car into the restaurant, and another car over it. Temperatures soared into the 90s across much of Florida. Lakeland reported a record high of 99 degrees for the second day in a row. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990: One of the most expensive hailstorms in U.S. history occurred as $625 million of damage was caused along the Colorado Front Range from Colorado Springs to Estes Park. Golf to baseball sized hail fell along with heavy rain. 60 people were injured in the storm.
  24. SACRUS
    66/57 and a SSW wind with partly cloudy skies and a warmer with highs in the low perhaps mid 80s depending on clouds arrival. ULL #3 is cutting off over the Great Lakes and will slowly progress east over the next 5 days. A low with in the cut off torugh will push through later Mon (6/12) and Tue (6/13) bringing a widespread .50 - 0.75 or more rain to the area. First meaningful widespread rain since May 20th (outside the isolated storms last Tue). Overall near normal the ret of the week with highs upper 70s / near 80 Wed (6/14) and low 80s Thu (6/15). Chances for clods and scattered showers storms Wed. Cut off lifts out by the end of the week. Beyond there the Euro flattens the flow and warms it up gradually by fathers day (6/18) into the following week. We'll see if the weakness and tendency for cut off into the east shifts more north. Strong ridge and heat build into the Rockies and S plains and pieces ejecting east the final 9 - 10 days of June. GFS and ECM control had some su tropical in the way beyond.
  25. SACRUS
    6/10 ACY: 83 PHL: 83 EWR: 83 TTN: 82 New Brnswck: 82 JFK: 80 BLM: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 NYC: 78 ISP: 76
×
×
  • Create New...