SACRUS
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77/ 70. Humidity is back and with it the clouds and storms the next 48 hours. Sun(7/2) and Mon (7/3) cloudy with some breaks of sun which will warm it quickly with 850s >18c hovering around the area. Storms will fire in the evening/ pm and some will be soakers. More widespread storms on Mon pm. The fourth looks mainly dry , partly cloudy and warm upper 80s to low 90s where the sun is out for longer periods. There is still energy passing through which could trigger isolated storms. Wed (7/5) - Fri (7/7) hotter and humid. Upper 80s to low 90s. Areas that get a 90 on the fourth could get seasons first heatwave by Thu. Fri storms come later and pending on timing and clouds, could allow a 3rd of 4th for some 90 degrees. Next weekend 7/8 - 7/11 more humid and storms chances caught between ridge shooting over the top into Canada and building southeast ridge. Storms chances but warm in between. Way beyond western Atlarntic ridge expanding west and could commence change to a longer warmer duration.
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Euro has some lingering storms into the fourth now so we'll see but looks scattered. When and where the sun is out Sun / Mon it will warm up quickly but some storms could be soakers. Sun : partly to mostly cloudy scattered storms becoming more widespread by the evening. Low to mid 80s. (upper 80s where sun is out) Mon (7/3): Partly cloudy scattered storms. Low to mid 80s . Stronger storms in the afternoon and into the night. Tue (7/4): Clearing warm with isolated storms. Upper 80s to low 90s.
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7/1 New Brnswck: 84 PHL: 84 TTN: 84 EWR: 83 TEB: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 83 BLM: 80 JFK: 80 ACY: 80 ISP: 80
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More clouds than sun approaching
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Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1963) NYC: 100 (1901) LGA: 97 (2018) Lows: EWR: 52 (1943) NYC: 42 (1943) LGA: 56 (1988) Historical: 1792 - A tremendous storm (a tornado or hurricane) hit Philadelphia and New York City. Many young people were drowned while out boating on that Sunday. (David Ludlum) 1911 - The high of just 79 degrees at Phoenix AZ was their coolest daily maximum of record for the month of July. The normal daily high for July 1st is 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1979 - It snowed almost half a foot (5.8 inches) at Stampede Pass WA, a July record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Lake Charles LA was drenched with a month's worth of rain during the early morning. More than five inches of rain soaked the city, including 2.68 inches in one hour. A thunderstorm in the southern Yakima Valley of Washington State produced high winds which downed trees up to six feet in diameter. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Twenty-six cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lows of 48 degrees at Providence RI, 48 degrees at Roanoke VA, 49 degrees at Stratford CT, and 48 degrees at Wilmington, DE, were records for the month of July. Boston MA equalled their record for July with a low of 50 degrees. Five inches of snow whitened Mount Washington NH. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low pressure system which was once Tropical Storm Allison continued to drench parts of Mississippi, Louisiana and eastern Texas. Late night thunderstorms produced 12.58 inches of rain at Biloxi, MS, in six hours, and 10.73 inches at Gulfport MS. Flooding in Mississippi over the first six days of the month caused 55 million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2002: San Antonio, Texas recorded 9.52 inches of rain on this day to set a new record for its greatest rainfall for the entire month of July.
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75 / 63 partly cloudy. Some storms into the DE/MD area. Looks warm and more humid today and scattered storms this PM. Not vert widespread. Sun (7/2) more clouds and more widespread storms especially at night. Where / when we get some sun t will warm up quickly but overall low - mid 80s and upper 80s in the sunnier spots, perhaps a few stray spots to 90. Mon (7/3) clouds and more storms, some soaker. Clears and heats up by the fourth mid morning. mid upper 80s and some of the warmer spots to 90s with enough sun. Wed (7/5) and Thu (7/6) very warm and more upper 80s to low 90s. Perhaps the warmer spots get their first hat trick / hearwave 4th - 6th. Front and storms by Fri (7/7). Overall warm / humid and increased storms chances by next weekend 7/8 - 7/12 with front and trough into the northeast. Way beyond ridgng looks to build into the southeast east of the current tendecny and with the W. atl Ridge expanding west could spell a much warmer, longer period by mid month.
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6/30 New Brnswck: 87 EWR: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 85 PHL: 84 TTN: 84 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 82 ACY: 82 ISP: 81
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Fri (6/30): Partly cloudy and Smoke haze : mid / upper 80s Sat (7/1) - Mon 7/3) : Partly to mostly cloudy warm, humid wit scattered storms Sat, widespread storms Sun evening and widespread strong storms Mon Pm into the overnigt. Clearing in the morning of the fourth. Dry (widely scattered thunder storms) warm upper 80s to near 90.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (2021) searing heat just 2 years ago NYC: 99 (1964) LGA: 100 (2021) Lows: EWR: 55 (1940) NYC: 53 (1919) LGA: 57 (1996) Historical: 1886 - The second destructive hurricane in nine days hit the Apalachicola-Tallahassee area. (David Ludlum) 1900: The combination of high winds and the presence of wooded fuel-filled cargo helped to spread fire on the Hoboken Docks in New Jersey. The fire began when cotton bales caught fire and spread to nearby volatile liquids. The fire killed at least 300 people and was seen in New York City. 1942 - The temperature at Portland, OR, hit 102 degrees, an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - The entire state of Pennsylvania was declared a disaster area as a result of the catastrophic flooding caused by Hurricane Agnes, which claimed 48 lives, and caused 2.1 billion dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hot weather prevailed in the Pacific Northwest, with readings above 100 degrees reported as far north as southern British Columbia. Yakima, WA, reported a record high of 100 degrees, while temperatures near the Washington coast hovered near 60 degrees all day. Thunderstorms prevailed from southwest Texas to New England. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph at Gettysburg, PA, killed one person. High winds and large hail caused more than five million dollars damage to property and crops in Lancaster County, PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms in eastern Kansas drenched Worden with 12.21 inches of rain, and a wall of water two to four feet deep swept through Lone Star, KS, flooding every home in the town. Up to ten inches of rain was reported southeast of Callaway, NE. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 75 mph at Winfield, KS. Seventeen cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Duluth, MN, with a reading of 36 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Winnfield, LA, reported 22.52 inches of rain in three days, and more than thirty inches for the month, a record for June. Shreveport LA received a record 17.11 inches in June, with a total for the first six months of the year of 45.55 inches. Thunderstorms also helped produce record rainfall totals for the month of June of 13.12 inches at Birmingham AL, 14.66 inches at Oklahoma City, OK, 17.41 inches at Tallahassee FL, 9.97 inches at Lynchburg, VA, and more than 10.25 inches at Pittsburgh, PA. Pittsburgh had also experienced a record wet month of May. (The National Weather Summary) 1999: Mount Baker, Washington closed out a record snowfall season both for the United States and the verifiable world record as the seasonal total from July 1, 1998, to June 30, 1999, finished with 1,140 inches.
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wont take much with the furnace nearby. Park is a jungle it will take 95-100 degree heat elsewhere to get the park to 90 (bad reference point in summer)
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75/ 66 P cloudy and smoke haze (smaze). Dry and warm today and we continue a reprieve from the tropics. July opens not too bad warm / humid and scattered late storms before a stormier Sun (7/2) and Mon (7/3). When and where the sun is out it will warm or heat quickly with 850 temps >18c throughout the area. Southerly flow and heat spell some strong soakers late Sun and Mon especially. Storms and low pressure moving out by Fourth of July. Warm and drier 7/5 - 7/8 as it looks now with next shot at 90s with hot edge of the TX/OK , Southern Plain heat into the areas >16c. Beyond : overall warm and humid and the western Atlantic ridge looming by and expanding west spells a longer warmer stretch.
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75/ 66 P cloudy and smoke haze (smaze). Dry and warm today and we continue a reprieve from the tropics. July opens not too bad warm / humid and scattered late storms before a stormier Sun (7/2) and Mon (7/3). When and where the sun is out it will warm or heat quickly with 850 temps >18c throughout the area. Southerly flow and heat spell some strong soakers late Sun and Mon especially. Storms and low pressure moving out by Fourth of July. Warm and drier 7/5 - 7/8 as it looks now with next shot at 90s with hot edge of the TX/OK , Southern Plain heat into the areas >16c. Beyond : overall warm and humid and the western Atlantic ridge looming by and expanding west spells a longer warmer stretch.
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6/29 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 TEB: 85 PHL: 85 BLM: 84 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 82 ACY: 81 ISP: 80
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Looks like a humid, warm and at times stormy Fourth of July extended weekend. Low - mid 80s, worst most widespread storms Sun PM and Mon PM into the morning of the fourth. Sat: Patly to mostly cloudy , humid near 80 / low 80s. Scattered storms. Sun : Partly cloudy, warm / humid low - mid 80s (warmer where the sun is out longer) widespread storms later at night Mon (7/3) : Cloudy with potential strong widespread storms PM / evening into the overnight Tue (Fourth of July) : becoming partly cloudy, warmer mid 80s . scattered storms persist in areas but not a washout.
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Smoke (thickest) visible into SNJ and DE/Mar/VA/C
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Mon (7/3) PM into the overnight looks widespread, could see some heavy rain. Fourth looks to clear or have leftover debris and mor scattered showers, much like yesterday id expect.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2021) NYC: 101 (1934) LGA: 98 (2021) Lows: EWR: 56 (1968) NYC: 52 (1919) LGA: 59 (1995) Historical: 1904: Tornado hits Karacharov Village area of Moscow killing about 24 people. 1931 - The temperature at Monticello FL hit 109 degrees to establish an all-time record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1954 - Hurricane Alice dumped as much as 27 inches of rain on the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas. The Rio Grande River at Laredo reached a level 12.6 feet above its previous highest mark, and the roadway of the U.S. 90 bridge was thirty feet below the high water. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes Region, with reports of large hail and damaging winds most numerous in Ohio, Indiana and Michigan. Thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Michigan. A tornado near Clare MI was accompanied by softball size hail. In Colorado, an untimely winter-like storm blanketed Mount Evans with six inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Alpena, MI, reported a record low of 39 degrees while Jackson, MS, equalled their record for the month of June with an afternoon high of 105 degrees. Thunderstorms in the central U.S. soaked Springfield MO with 3.62 inches of rain, a record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern and Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms in Colorado produced softball size hail at Kit Carson, while pea to marble size hail caused ten million dollars damage to crops in Philips County, CO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: "The Corn Belt Derecho of 1998" in the following states NE, IA, IL, IN, KY. A derecho which originated in far southeast South Dakota moved across Illinois during the afternoon and evening and continued as far east as Ohio the next morning. Every county in central Illinois sustained some damage, as these severe thunderstorms passed. Winds gusted in the 60 to 80 mph range, with some localized microbursts producing winds more than 100 mph. Significant damage occurred in the microburst areas, including the towns of Morton, McLean, LeRoy, and Tolono. In Tolono, 22 cars of a southbound 101-car Illinois Central freight train were blown off the tracks. It was unknown how many vehicles were picked up by the wind, but 16 cars were turned over, and another six derailed but remained upright. The train was en route to Centralia from Chicago with a load of mixed freight, including plastic pellets and meal. The freight cars empty weighed about 60,000 pounds, while a full one weighs about 260,000 pounds. Overall, 12 people were injured, and damage was estimated at around $16 million.
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71 / 60 and a brief reprieve from the higher humidity and storms the next 40 hours or so. Sunny/ worst of the smoke is south of the area and clearly seen over SNJ into the DelMarVa. Low / mid 0s today and a dry out day. Much of the same Fri (6/30) to close the month. Sunny mid 80s perhaps some upper 80s as warmer surge comes in from the TX/Southern Plains ridge. Holiday weekend. Warmer / humid and storm chances return Sat (7/1) - Tue (July Fourth AM). A surge of very humid and hot airmass over the region with 850 temperatures forecast >18c will heat things up when its sunny and fuel evening storm Sat and Sun (7/2). Mon (7/3) looks most widespread in the evening and overnight. July fourth will continue warm and humid with scattered storms around still. Beyond there warmer drier 7/5 - 7/8 period before next trough into the northeast. Overall warm and still storm chances could popup. 7/9 and Way beyond The W. Atl Ridge coming west would allow a period of much warmer to get into the region.
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6/28 EWR: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 85 LGA: 84 JFK: 83 ACY: 83 New Brnswck: 82 NYC: 82 ISP: 81 TTN: 80 PHL: 80
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Flow does look to shove the plume more south and west - hoping so. I havent looked much but imagine canada is getting into the rains / storms s well and helping to quell the fires.
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Continues to look Florida-like into the Holiday weekend with humid, storm chances and warm condiitions. The fourth looks to dry out by morning from Mon 7/3 pm and evening to overnight storms. Sat: P. cloudy , scattered storms (mainly evening) : low - mid 80s Sun: P cloudy, sacttered storms : low 80s (perhaps more cloudy) Mon: P - m cloudy storms in the PM and evening (widespread) : near 80 Fourth of July : Morning scattered storms and clouds clearing , warm : mid 80s
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Yes there were periods of sun here as well, i meant first fully dry day with partly to mostly sunny conditions expected since 6/19.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2021) NYC: 96 (1991) LGA: 96 (2021) Lows: EWR: 53 (1970) NYC: 54 (1995) LGA: 55 (1995) Historical: 1788 - The Battle of Monmouth in central New Jersey was fought in sweltering heat. The temperature was 96 degrees in the shade, and there were more casualties from the heat than from bullets. (David Ludlum) 1892 - The temperature at Orogrande UT soared to 116 degrees to establish a record for the state. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1923 - A massive tornado hit Sandusky, OH, then swept across Lake Erie to strike the town of Lorain. The tornado killed 86 persons and caused twelve million dollars damage. The tornado outbreak that day was the worst of record for the state of Ohio up til that time. (David Ludlum) 1924: An estimated F4 tornado struck the towns of Sandusky and Lorain, killing 85 people and injuring over 300. This tornado is the deadliest ever in Ohio history. 1975 - Lee Trevino and two other golfers are struck by lightning at the Western Open golf tournament in Oak Brook, IL. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - The temperature at Wichita Falls, TX, soared to 117 degrees, their hottest reading of record. Daily highs were 110 degrees or above between the 24th of June and the 3rd of July. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the north central U.S. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced wind gusts to 70 mph and baseball size hail at Arapahoe, and wind gusts to 80 mph along with baseball size hail at Wolback and Belgrade. Six cities in the Ohio Valley reported record low temperatures for the date, including Cincinnati, OH, with a reading of 50 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Showers and thunderstorms brought much needed rains to parts of the central U.S. Madison, WI, received 1.67 inches of rain, a record for the date, and their first measurable rain since the Mother's Day tornado outbreak on the 8th of May. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Evening thunderstorms deluged Winnfield LA with eleven inches of rain in four hours and fifteen minutes, and Baton Rouge LA reported 11 inches of rain in two days. Totals in west central Louisiana ranged up to 17 inches. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Northern High Plains. Two inch hail broke windows in nearly every building at Comstock, NE. Thunderstorms in North Dakta produced two inch hail at Killdeer, and golf ball size hail at Zap. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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2.47 here. Go from the stretch of dryness / sunny to this is par for course with these hung up patterns. The tendency for weakness into the northeast is persistent and we'll see how much the TX/S plains ridge comes east and north next week and the western atlantic ridge can expand west. It looks stormy nxt week but not as (wet) as this week.
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Smoke in Ohio and WPA on the move later today into our region tomorrow. We'll see how much haze or orange it does to mute the first sunny day in 9 days.
