SACRUS
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67 / 65 still an onshore focus keeping the June gloom cloud magnet overhead the brunt of the morning into early afternoon. Once the sun returns heats up quickly to the mid / uppper 80s. Those with more prolonged periods of sun could touch 90. Scattered storms overnight. Sunnier Sunday heats up upper 80s to low 90s in the hot spots again with scattered storms overnight. Mon looks the hottest of the week (till the 6/7th) with enough sun ahead of any storms, low perhaps some mid 90s in the hot spots. Tue storms may be abit more in coverage, otherwise hot/humid with in/out sun. Wed - Sat : Looks like a nice stretch (perhaps the nicest) of the summer beach days , dry, sunny, warm mainly mid - upper 80s with a mainly clear and dry fourth of July. Euro is coolest for the 4th/5th keeping the area low 80s or lower. Beyond there hotter towards the 7th and we'll see how the ridge lines up , overall hotter. 6/28 - 7/1 : Hot/humid possible storms (focus Sat PM, Mon PM / Tue) 7/2 - 7/5 : Warm, dry , clear mainly 80s 7/6 - 7/7: maybe a bit wetter 7/7 - beyond : Turning Hotter
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I attached the readings in the post above as a pdf for EWR. Similar coold downs for sure and lower minimums in 1953
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'66 was a mid Jun - mid July focused heat summer, 1983 was hot throughout Jun-Jul-Aug / early Sep,1 953 was similar but had share of cooldowns culminating in the record torch late Aug-early September heat. EWR-66-53-83.pdf
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The Euro op has 600 DM ridge center in MO/KS at H 288
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High so far here is 69
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2.05 inches of rain between the 29- 30 , 1994 at EWR
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Most in the area north of PHL had overnight Wed - Thu or were mtached in the pm.
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Again, not ideal when convective in nature focus this evening/ overnight, Sat evening, Mon PM / Tuesday. Looks drier Wed - Fr (4th)
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6/26 Highs PHL: 92 ACY: 90 EWR: 86 NYC: 85 JFK: 85 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 New Brnswck: 84 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 BLM: 79
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6/26 Highs PHL: 92 ACY: 90 EWR: 86 NYC: 85 JFK: 85 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 New Brnswck: 84 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 BLM: 79
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Even central park on Monday may make a run at 90, 850 MB temps spiking to >18c , looks p cloudy.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (1966) NYC: 101 (1966) LGA: 97 (2003) JFK: 98 (1963) Lows: EWR: 52 (1940) NYC: 55 (1940) LGA: 56 (1972) JFK: 54 (1965) HIstorical: 1881: Intense downpour of 2.34 inches in Washington, DC. was recorded in 37 minutes. 1901 - There was a rain of fish from the sky at Tiller's Ferry. Hundreds of fish were swimming between cotton rows after a heavy shower. (David Ludlum) 1915 - The temperature at Fort Yukon AK soared to 100 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1923" Boston, Massachusetts recorded its lowest pressure 29.26 inches of mercury for the month of June. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1957 - Hurricane Audrey smashed ashore at Cameron, LA, drowning 390 persons in the storm tide, and causing 150 million dollars damage in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi. Audrey left only a brick courthouse and a cement-block icehouse standing at Cameron, and when the waters settled in the town of Crede, only four buildings remained. The powerful winds of Audrey tossed a fishing boat weighing 78 tons onto an off-shore drilling platform. Winds along the coast gusted to 105 mph, and oil rigs off the Louisiana coast reported wind gusts to 180 mph. A storm surge greater than twelve feet inundated the Louisiana coast as much as 25 miles inland. It was the deadliest June hurricane of record for the U.S. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1978: Worst thunderstorm in 20 years wind gust greater than 70 mph in the Washington, DC. with over 1000 trees down in DC. and 100,000 homes with no power. (The Washington Post) 1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of Nebraska produced severe weather in north central Kansas after midnight. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph damaged more than fifty camping trailers at the state park campground at Lake Waconda injuring sixteen persons. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Beloit and Sylvan Grove. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - The afternoon high of 107 degrees at Bismarck, ND, was a record for the month of June, and Pensacola, FL, equalled their June record with a reading of 101 degrees. Temperatures in the Great Lakes Region and the Ohio Valley dipped into the 40s. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Ohio Valley to western New England. Thunderstorm spawned six tornadoes, and there were 98 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Tropical Storm Allison spawned six tornadoes in Louisiana, injuring two persons at Hackberry. Fort Polk LA was drenched with 10.09 inches of rain in 36 hours, and 12.87 inches was reported at the Gorum Fire Tower in northern Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1992: A severe thunderstorm dropped hail to golf ball size near the top of WA’s Sherman Pass; accumulations to 8 inches. 2 motorcyclists were injured in separate accidents due to the hail-clogged highway. Several cars slid into ditches. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 1994: Waste Isolation. Pilot Plant, New Mexico: High temperatures in the Southwest as New Mexico sets its hottest temperature ever: 122°F the state record.All-time record temperatures for the state tied at Tipton, Oklahoma: 120°F. 1995: The Madison County Flood on June 27, 1995, was the worst flash floods Virginia had seen since the remnants of Camille dropped up to 30 inches of rain one night in Nelson County in August 1969. The Nelson County flood ranked as one of the nation's worst flash floods of this century and resulted in the deaths of 117 people. The Madison County flood killed one person.
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67 / 58 clouds . 24 hours remaining in the June gloom / onshore flow. Flow comes around Sw - tomorrow. Much warmer. Sat - Mon and with enough sun the hotter spots get to 90 or above, especially Monday with another area of 850 MB temps >18c crossing through. Storms bring locally > 1 inch and perhaps up to 2 inches focus later tonight, Sunday night and Tuesday afternoon. Beyond there the drier / warm 3rd and 4th. The 5/6 weekend is a mix pending. Beyond there into the week of the 8th hotter. 6/27 : Cool / onshore showers 6/28 - 7/2 : Warm - hot / humid, storms (focus Fri PM, Sun PM, Tue PM) 1-2 inches locally 7/3 - 7/4 : Warm / Dry fourth 7/5 - 7/7 : could be wetter / humid 7/8 - beyond : turning hotter
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67 / 58 clouds . 24 hours remaining in the June gloom / onshore flow. Flow comes around Sw - tomorrow. Much warmer. Sat - Mon and with enough sun the hotter spots get to 90 or above, especially Monday with another area of 850 MB temps >18c crossing through. Storms bring locally > 1 inch and perhaps up to 2 inches focus later tonight, Sunday night and Tuesday afternoon. Beyond there the drier / warm 3rd and 4th. The 5/6 weekend is a mix pending. Beyond there into the week of the 8th hotter. 7/3 - 7/4 : Warm / Dry fourth 7/5 - 7/7 : could be wetter / humid 7/8 - beyond : turning hotter
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12z was similar - GFS/Euro a bit cooler the 5th-6th
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69 / 57
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breaking out into some sun here in CNJ as well
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Sun contingent Even Tue (7/1) /Wed (7/2) pending on clouds/rain could push 90 in the hot/sunnier spots. Thu/ th fourth look warm as well.
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42 hour cool down.
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76 / 65 / 84 was the high before the cloud deck came n.
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79 / 70 as we goto a So-Cal marine layer the next 42 hours.
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June gloom rolling NE - SW
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GFS went drier for next wekeend, while the ecm is still stormy/wet 7/5 - 7/6, this weekend looks like storms focus Sat pm/evening, less so on Sunday.
