Smoothed out but rain chances Wed evening, Thu evening and each of Fri - Sun could get some localized spots >2 inches plus where storms fire. The weekend looks mainly ok hot/humid but scattered storms so far.
Again the issue more with central park is its used for the center / mecca of NYC weather when reporting. So for example today's the first 90 degree day in NYC when in fact there have been between 2 - 4 already. First 100 degree day in 13 years when there have been more recently in NYC/NJ metro proper. Perception.
Make me affirm that had we not been cloudy highs would have overperformed yesterday and will have the same potential today as we are seeing - minus seabreeze affected sites.
Thurs is one of the days that will either be well below or way higher than projected for highs pending on the storms. Friday looks much a lock for onshore / cooler and cloudy day. Sat/Sun Flordiay style with sun hot quickly, weatch for storms.
Had posted last night that this ridge position and >594 DM is similar to Jul 18-19 2013 where all sites except the park got to 100. I think its closer to that , than last year's.
Both GFS/Euro maintain a warm and storm free 4th Mid 80s - low 90s area wide. Similar progressions - GFS a hair warmer. 276 hours out now.
2-3 : warm / humid mid 80s - low 90s
4th: warm / humid mid 80s - low 90s
5-6 : a bit wetter / storms possible