SACRUS

5/27 EWR: 80 PHL: 80 New Brnswck: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 78 NYC: 78 BLM: 75 ISP: 75 ACY: 74 JFK: 73

75/40 just amazing today.

Interesting progression as the trough builds down from the NE - SW(ish) 6/4 - 6/9. Will see beyond there if the ridging into the plains shifts east. Looks dry but youd think some showers and storms would pop with that look in early June. Dryness should allow 850s >15c to touch 90 Thu and Fri this week.

69 and sunshine. Gorgeous day on tap with upper 70s to near 80. Still wonder if some of the clouds make it north tomorrow or Monday, ff not, more sunshine, 70s to low 80s and dry. The rain will stay south. As the ULL moves out Tue, the flow comes around to the NW/W and we warm up to upper 80s and 90s to open the month Thu / Fri. Trough back in next weekend but guidance likely keeps it near normal/cooler but dry. Trough pushes through by the middle of the forst week of Jun and the next shot of meaningful rain in the period 6/4 - 6/9. RIdging coming east way beyond there. What was forecast over the northeast - check out the SE SC/GA/NC area. Looks tropical almost

5/26 Gorgeous day and a great weekend on tap EWR: 76 New Brnswck: 75 PHL: 75 TEB: 74 JFK: 73 TTN: 73 LGA: 73 BLM: 72 ISP: 72 NYC: 72 ACY: 69

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (1965) NYC: 95 (1880) LGA: 94 (2010) Lows: EWR: 44 (1967) NYC: 42 (1967) LGA: 45 (1972) Historical: 1771 - A famous Virginia flood occurred as heavy rains in the mountains brought all rivers in the state to record high levels. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1917 - A tornado touched down near Louisiana MO about noon and remained on the ground for a distance of 293 miles, finally lifting seven hours and twenty minutes later in eastern Jennings County, IN. The twister cut a swath of destruction two and a half miles wide through Mattoon, IL. There were 101 persons killed in the tornado, including 53 at Mattoon, and 38 at Charleston IL. Damage from the storm totalled 2.5 million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1984 - Thunderstorms during the late evening and early morning hours produced 6 to 13 inches of rain at Tulsa OK in six hours (8.63 inches at the airport). Flooding claimed fourteen lives and caused 90 million dollars property damage. 4600 cars, 743 houses, and 387 apartments were destroyed or severely damage in the flood. (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southwest Iowa spawned five tornadoes and produced up to ten inches of rain. Seven inches of rain at Red Oak forced evacuation of nearly 100 persons from the town. Record flooding took place in southwest Iowa the last twelve days of May as up to 17 inches of rain drenched the area. Total damage to crops and property was estimated at 16 million dollars. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - There was "frost on the roses" in the Upper Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachian Mountain Region. Thirteen cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Youngstown OH with a reading of 30 degrees. Evening thunderstorms in North Dakota produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Jamestown. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms in produced large hail in eastern Oklahoma during the pre-dawn hours, and again during the evening and night. Hail two inches in diameter was reported near Prague, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 70 mph near Kenefic. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from eastern Colorado to western Arkansas and northeastern Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned three tornadoes, and there were eighty-eight reports of large hail or damaging winnds. Evening thunderstorms over central Oklahoma spawned strong tornadoes east of Hinton and east of Binger, produced hail three inches in diameter at Minco, and produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Blanchard. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2009: Northeast of Anchorage, Alaska, two hikers climbed a ridge to see a developing storm better. Lightning knocked the couple unconscious. Regaining consciousness, they called emergency services as the woman was unable to walk. The man's shoes looked as though they had melted.

Up to 63 and more bright sunshine on a NE wind. 70s today and Sat (5/27) before Sun (5/28) and Memorial Day (5/29) touch 80. Overall dry and ULL is over the southeast/Carolinas. I guess the proverbial other shoe didnt drop this holiday weekend. It does look like all rain and even clouds stay south of the area as the low exits early next week. Cooler at the beaches with onshore E/ENE flow this weekend. Next week continues dry and stronger onshore flow knocks temps down to near 70 Tue (5/30) before jumping back up to near 80 Mon (5/31). The month opens warm as flow goes NW/NNW with next shot at 90, especially in the warmer spots Wed - Fri. Beyond there the trough kind of back in from the North by next weekend 6/4. We'll see how much rain is possible between then and 6/8.

Records: highs: EWR: 93 (1991) NYC: 95 (1880) LGA: 95 (2007) Lows: EWR: 42 (1956) NYC: 41 (1925) LGA: 44 (1967) Historical: 1896: An estimated F5 tornado hit Oakwood, Ortonville, and Thomas, Michigan. Forty-seven people were killed, and 100 were injured. Trees were debarked "even to the twigs, as though done by the careful hand of an experienced artisan." Parts of houses were found up to 12 miles away. 1917 - A tornado ripped through southeast Kansas, traveling 65 mph. The average speed was a record for any tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1955 - Two tornadoes struck the town of Blackwell, OK, within a few minutes time during the late evening. The tornadoes killed 18 persons and injured more than 500 others. Early the next morning a tornado virtually obliterated the small community of Udall KS killing 80 persons and injuring 270 persons. More than half the persons in the community were killed or injured by the tornado. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1975: On Raccoon Lake, Indiana, lightning struck the motor of a speedboat and traveled up the control wires, killing the driver. The 38-year-old man was knocked into the water by the bolt. His wife and two children, also in the boat, were not injured. 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned fifteen tornadoes in West Texas. One thunderstorm spawned a powerful tornado near Gruver, TX, along with golf ball size hail and 75 mph winds. A man on a boat on Lake Bistineau in northwest Louisiana was struck and killed by lightning, while the other three persons in the boat were unharmed. The man reportedly stood up in the boat and asked to be struck by lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed in the Upper Midwest. Marquette, MI, reported a record low of 26 degrees. Thunderstorms in the north central U.S. produced wind gusts to 62 mph at Idaho Falls, ID, and produced 4 inches of rain in less than four hours in northern Buffalo County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a strong cold front produced severe weather from Oklahoma to Ohio through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned nine tornadoes, and there were 155 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at Dittmer, MO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 MPH caused twenty million dollars damage at Rockville IN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Evening thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Kansas and Missouri, and there were three dozen reports of large hail or damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced hail two inches in diameter at Cole Camp, and wind gusts to 72 mph at Rosebud. Heavy thunderstorm rains produced flash flooding in central Missouri. Flood waters swept through Washington State Park southwest of Saint Louis, and nearly one hundred persons had to be rescued from water as much as twenty feet deep. The flood waters swept away a number of vehicles, some were carried as much as four miles away. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2008: A rare, large and destructive EF5 tornado created a 43-mile long path across Butler and Black Hawk counties in Iowa. This tornado killed eight people, injured dozens and caused several millions of dollars in damage. The tornado was nearly three-quarters of a mile wide as it moved through the southern end of Parkersburg. A third of the town was affected by devastating damage with nearly 200 homes destroyed. This storm produced the first EF5 tornado in Iowa since 6/13/1976 and only the third EF5 tornado to occur in the United States in the past ten years.

Up to a cool 58 but bright sunshine. Coolest day of the lot today. Looking like a rare dry whole Memorial Day extended weekend. Unless the ULL exits north of the carolines. 70s Fri (5/26), Sat (5/27) and Sun (5/28) - onshore flow / NE flow will keep the beaches chilly. Wamer by Mon Memorial day (5/29) : 80s. As the ULL pulls out and winds come around NW/W we get a 2-3 day warm up May 30 - Jun 2nd or 3rd with some chance at 90 in the warmer spots by the middle of next week. Next shpt at meaningful rain 6/2-6/3. Front and trough push into the NE by next weekend (6/3) as ridge goes up into the Rockies / N Plains states.

5/24 New Brnswck: 81 PHL: 81 EWR: 81 TTN: 80 TEB: 79 LGA: 77 NYC: 77 BLM: 74 ACY: 73 ISP: 70 JFK: 69

Up to 81. Latest guidance maintaining a dry next 5 days and memorial day weekend. Looking near normal overall, coller Thu (5/25) back near 70 or below. Warming into the 70s Fri (5/26), Sat (5/27) and Sun (5/28). Warmer by memorial Day (5/29). Still wonder if the ULL throws more clouds into the area. Next week looks warmer through Thu before front / trough comes in with Ridge into the Rockies / Plains.

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (1964) NYC: 94 (1964) LGA: 94 (1964) Lows: EWR: 43 (1931) NYC: 43 (1963) LGA: 45 (1963) Historical: 1882 - An unusual late season snow blanketed eastern Iowa, with four to six inches reported around Washington. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1953 - The temperature at Hollis OK soared from a morning low of 70 degrees to an afternoon high of 110 degrees to establish a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1968: One of the costliest hailstorms in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma history pummeled the city on this date. Hail the size of baseballs fell over much of the city, resulting in more than 40,000 insurance claims over the 90,000 square mile path of the storm. The final cost was more than $20 million. The parent thunderstorm also caused flash flooding that left 2 to 4 feet of water in some underpasses and a lightning strike that started a fire that killed two people. 1987 - It was a busy day for thunderstorms in the central U.S. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Shreveport LA and golf ball size hail at Marfa, TX. Hobart, OK, received 3.55 inches of rain in the morning, and another 4.03 inches of rain that evening. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced 8.5 inches of rain in two hours north of Potter, and 7.5 inches of rain in ninety minutes north of Minatare. Thunderstorms in Colorado produced five inches of hail at Greeley. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the eastern U.S. Golf ball size hail was reported in Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina and Ohio. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Severe thunderstorms developing along a cold front resulted in 98 reports of large hail and damaging winds in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley. Golf ball size hail caused a million dollars damage around Buffalo City, WI, baseball size hail was reported at Northfield and Randolph, MN, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 95 mph at Dunkerton, IA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather continued in the south central U.S. Pueblo, CO, equalled their May record with a high of 98 degrees, and the high of 106 degrees at Midland, TX, marked a record six straight days of 100 degree heat. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - A cold front crossing the western U.S. produced snow over parts of Oregon, California, Nevada, Idaho and Utah, with five inches reported at Austin NV, and four inches at Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Strong winds behind the cold front sharply reduced visibilities in blowing dust over central California, and two multi-vehicle accidents resulted in one death and eighteen injuries. In northern Idaho, a cloud-burst washed tons of topsoil, and rocks as large as footballs, into the valley town of Culdesac. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1997: David McWilliams Ludlum was born 1910 in East Orange, NJ - He is responsible for researching and publishing much of the early history of weather at the beginning of America. David died May 23, 1997, in Princeton, New Jersey. He was an American historian, meteorologist, entrepreneur, and author.

Onshore winds from 50 now up to 60. Cooler today before warming back near 80 in the warmer spots tomorrow Wed (5/24). Then back cooler Thu (5/25) near 70. ULL / Cut offs one goes north and east the other backs west and to the south. Caught in the middle as ridge builds over the top with easterly/southerly flow Fri (5/26) - Memorial Day (5/29). Onshore flow and likely overall near normal, coasts and beaches may be cooler. The ULL soes move through near the region at some point between Memorial Day and next Wed. We'll see if we can sneak a vey warm day to open next month and if ridging can establish cleanly more east.

62 and sunny with smokey skies. Dry and near normal this work week. Mid 70s today , coller Tue (5/23) near 70. Near 80 Wed (5/24) before cooler on Thu (5/25) and Fri (5/26). Low ride Memorial day Weekend. ULL cuts off over the Northeast (north of previous guidance) by Fri / Sat (5/27). Ridge pushes above and below causing onshore flow. A second cut off into the Southeast (which was previously forecast on guidance earlier last week's long range). That slowly moves out just south of the areas by early next week on the euro and slower on he gfs by next monday through the region. Overall - onshore flow and we'll see how much of the clouds and rains make it in during the weekend. Beyond there - look for a push of warmth by early / middle of next week.

Should see more sunshine and late PM highs as temps push up

Can bet on it. We'll see if the heat follows this mess.

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (1996) - cooler summer thereafter NYC: 93 (1996) LGA: 93 (1996) Lows: EWR: 42 (2002) warmer summer thereafter NYC: 40 (1907) LGA: 45 (2002) Historical: 1860 - A swarm of tornadoes occurred in the Ohio Valley. Tornadoes struck the cities of Louisville, KY, Cincinnati, OH, Chillicothe, OH, and Marietta, OH, causing a million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1881: Clara Barton and a circle of close friends found the American Red Cross. 1895 - The temperature at Norwalk, OH, dipped to 19 degrees to set a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1949: A violent tornado crossed the Mississippi River from the St. Louis area into Wood River, then to Roxanna. This tornado damaged or destroyed 300 homes in these two towns, killing five people. Four people died in a destroyed restaurant in Palestine, Illinois; one body was recovered from a tree. A tornado causing estimated F4 damage killed five people and injured 55 in St. Louis and St. Charles counties in Missouri and Madison County in Illinois. This tornado was part of an outbreak that produced four different tornadoes and was responsible for five deaths and 57 injuries. 1896 - The mercury soared to 124 degrees at Salton, CA, to establish a U.S. record for May. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1980 - The temperature at Williston ND reached 102 degrees to set a record for May, and the next day the mercury hit 106 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms, developing along a sharp cold front crossing the central U.S., produced 60 mph winds and golf ball size hail at Sedalia, MO, and drenched Hagerstown, IN, with six inches of rain in one hour. Temperatures soared into the 90s ahead of the cold front. Paducah, KY, hit 94 degrees for the second day in a row. Light snow blanketed Montana, with three inches reported at Butte. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms swept across southern Louisiana during the morning hours spawning six tornadoes, and producing wind gusts to 88 mph at Jennings. Thunderstorms also produced five inches of rain in two hours at Lake Charles, causing local flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms moving southeastward across the Central Plains Region into Oklahoma and Arkansas produced severe weather through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned just four tornadoes, but there were 243 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Baseball size hail was reported at Augusta, KS, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 98 mph at Johnson, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across the southeastern U.S. for the second day in a row. Severe thunderstorms spawned five tornadoes, including one which injured a person at Richmond KY. There were eighty-seven reports of large hail or damaging winds, with hail three inches in diameter reported at Austin TX. Thunderstorms produced up to five inches of rain in Macon County GA, and heavy rains left nearly eight feet of water over roads near Stepstone KY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2001: Golfers participating in a golf tournament at the Majestic Golf Course in Hartland, Michigan received an urgent message on the G.P.S. on their carts. The message, relayed from the clubhouse, was that a tornado was bearing down on the course. Most of the golfers made it to safety in the clubhouse, although some had to take shelter on the course. Only one golfer suffered a minor injury. The F2 tornado damaged 70 cars in the parking lot along with numerous golf carts and a pontoon boat.

GFS much less (ugly) but it's Memorial Day and the uglier solution is prone to prevailing. :-) We'll see. Euro had the cut off down in the southeast a few days back but had been persistent there would be something undercutting the ridge. Looks like trough into the PNW/WC eyond Memorial Day with flatter flow and some ridging pishing east once the cut off / ULL is sorted out.

0.95 in the bucket. Clearing out now for a nice day upper 70s. Overall dry and normal stretch coming up the next 5 days. Highs generally near 70 or low 70s. Today and Wed (5/24) warmest day of the next five. Models had been hinting for a while the ridge builds east but cuts of Memorial day weekend. The last few runs show ULL over the Northeast steering a low through the area Sat (5/27). We'll see how it evolves - looking like southerly / onshore flow and if the low is steered as the Euro shows could be 24-36 hour ugly Fri-Sat. Beyond there, ridging pushes through and warmth builds down and into the area.

0.79 in the bucket. Rain winding down and pressing east. Some showers as the front passes through later likely. E of GSP and points into the city and LI/CT getting the heavier totals. thru 3PM JFK: 1.06 New Brnswk: 0.77 LGA: 0.47 TEB: 0.39 NYC: 0.35

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Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1962) NYC: 99 (1962) almost made the sole century mark recording in May LGA: 96 (2016) Lows: EWR: 39 (2002) - the heat was on not too far or long thereafter this 4 day cold stretch NYC: 38 (1976) LGA: 43 (1976) Historical: 1780 - The infamous "dark day" in New England tradition. At noon it was nearly as dark as night. Chickens went to roost, and many persons were fearful of divine wrath. The phenomena was caused by forest fires to the west of New England. (David Ludlum) 1915: A spring storm came to an end after producing widespread snow. Total snowfall from the storm included: 17.6 inches in Scottsbluff, Nebraska, 8 inches at Cheyenne, Wyoming, 7 inches at Chadron and 3.9 inches in North Platte, Nebraska. 1955 - Lake Maloya NM received 11.28 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1975 - Thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 110 mph in Minnesota, between Fridley and Hugo. Fifty persons were injured. The hail and high winds destroyed fifty mobile homes, and a dozen aircraft, and also destroyed a third of the Brighton Elementary School. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Texas produced thirteen inches of rain northwest of Lavernia. The heavy rain, along with golf ball size hail, destroyed eighty percent of the crops in the area, while high winds toppled trees. Golf ball size hail was also reported south of Dallas and around San Antonio. Up to eight inches of rain drenched Guadelupe County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in southwest Texas produced hail as large as tennis balls around Midland, with the hail accumulating up to a foot deep. Showers and thunderstorms in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region produced 3.5 inches of rain near Schuylkill PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front spawned ten tornadoes from Illinois to Tennessee during the afternoon and night. Snow, wind and cold prevailed in the Northern Plateau Region and the Northern Rockies. Dixie, ID, was blanketed with nine inches of snow, winds gusted to 87 mph at Choteau MT, and the temperature at Crater Lake, OR, dipped to 11 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms deluged Hot Springs AR with thirteen inches of rain in nine hours resulting in a devastating flood. Two waves of water, four to six feet deep, swept down Central Avenue flooding stores and the famous bathhouses on Bathhouse Row. Water released from Lake Hamilton devastated the area between it and Remmel Dam. The 500 foot Carpenter Dam Bridge across Lake Catherine was completely washed away, as were cabins and mobile homes near the lake, many of which flowed right over the top of Remmel Dam. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

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60/59 with some showers in a line spread across moving NNW. Expecting .50 - 1.00 today with much more in eastern sections. Back to the overall dry stretch with normal temperatures tomorrow. Sun (5/21) back to the 80s n the warmer spots and near 80 elsewhere. Those that get some meaningful rain are the winners in what looks dry again for the next 7 days. The week looking mainly and near normal, next shot at 80 is Wed (5/24). Ridge does build east by Memorial day weekend but centers near KS and see ULL cut off and lots of onshore / southerly flow with heat going up north (similar to past years). At this time looks dry and the Euro keep the main ut off down south and keeps us near normal for Memorial Day weekend. Have been seeing hints of this for many days on guidance. Beyond there to close the month and open next month - heat looks to push down into the area