SACRUS

yeah we were lucky in late April and some of us two weekends ago outside of that its been so dry in the area. We have become a So-Cal like pattern of late. We'll see of the trough and subsequent cut off increases rain chances Mon - Fri of this coming week.

11AM Roundup EWR: 88 New Brnswck: 87 TTN: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 83 PHL: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 83 ACY: 79 ISP: 77 JFK: 76

Show 91 as forecasted high likely get near or to the record high of 93 for the day at this pace and wind

Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1989) Lows: EWR: 48 (1946) NYC: 48 (1946) LGA: 48 (1946) Historical: 1889 - A great flood on the Potomac River in Washington D.C. took out a span of Long Bridge, and flooded streets near the river. The flood stage reached was not again equalled until 1936. (David Ludlum) 1917 - The temperature at Tribune, KS dipped to 30 degrees to establish a state record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1949 - A tornado northeast of Alfalfa OK circled an area one mile in radius. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck a house, broke a bedroom window, and jumped to a metal frame bed. A man was killed but his wife was unharmed by the lightning. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas and six tornadoes in Illinois. Thunderstorms in Illinois produced wind gusts to 70 mph at McComb and Mattoon. Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced 5.5 inches of rain south of Seguin, and up to eight inches of rain in Washington County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma produced hail more than three inches in diameter near Stilwater OK, and softball size hail in Jones County of north central Texas. Baseball size hail and 70 mph winds caused an estimated 100 million dollars damage around Abilene TX. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the south central U.S. through most of the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes, and there were 123 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 78 mph at Russell KS, and baseball size hail was reported at Denver CO, Cuthbert TX, and in Reeves County TX. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern New England produced wind gusts to 120 mph at Fitchburg, MA, causing five million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: Frostburg, Maryland on June 2, 1998, at 9:45 PM - This was part of a killer outbreak of tornadoes that moved southeast from Pennsylvania. The storm entered Garrett County, Maryland striking the town of Finzel. It then moved up and over Big Savage Mountain in Allegany County and ripped through the northern portion of Frostburg. It reached its peak strength as it crossed the ridge. Winds were estimated between 210 and 250 mph (F4 on the Fujita Tornado Damage Scale). This was the first tornado to "officially" be rated an "F4" in the State of Maryland. The National Weather Service adopted the Fujita Damage Scale in 1973. The total damage path of the Frostburg tornado was over 25 miles long (8 miles in Allegany County) and up to a half-mile wide. Along most of its path, it was producing winds over 125 mph (F2 or stronger). The damage path was continuous as it moved up and down over 2000-foot mountain ridges. The fact that no one was killed in Maryland was attributed to 5 to 10 minutes warning that was well communicated to people in Frostburg over television, radio, scanners, telephones, and sirens. People took quick action to move to their basements. A mother and child rode out the storm as it destroyed their house hiding under a table in the basement. They were shaken but unharmed. A jacket from a Frostburg home was found 25 miles away. A diploma was found near Winchester, Virginia, 60 miles away and a bill was found near Sterling Virginia (about 100 miles away).

75 / 57 here and a hot but dry one on tap. Hottest day of the next 9 likely on tap with widespread mid - upper 80s and 90s n the warmer spots on a N/NW flow. Recent dryness will aid in enhancing highs above guidance. Looks mainly sunny through much of the afternoon. Some late clouds and showers possible as winds come around to the NE and push much cooler air into the region. Perhaps a few record highs are possible on the over achieving warmth. It w Still be interesting to see Sat (6/3) and how much sun vs low marine layer keeps it in the 60s or 50s along the coats. Looks to clear Sun (6/4) and push back to the low 70s but could see clouds hang around and if so , lower temps then. Mon (6/5) - Fri (6/9) trough into the northeast with cooler / near normal temps but guidance brings little if any rain chances. We'll have to see if the cut off / ULL swings some more rain chances in the area. Warmer by later next weekend and into the following week. Nothing clear yet on any of the long range guidance but would see a migration with ridging pushing east or pieces of building heat come over the top more frequent later in the month.

6/1 TEB: 89 PHL: 88 EWR:88 New Brnswck: 87 NYC: 87 TTN: 87 LGA: 86 ACY: 79 BLM: 78 ISP: 77 JFK: 76

88 here. Overperformer

Interesting shot at record high at EWR Friday : 93 and then perhaps record low Sunday morning 48.

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1987) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1987) Lows: EWR: 46 (1945) NYC: 44 (1945) LGA: 46 (1945) Historical: 1812 - Apple trees at New Haven CT did not blossom until the first of June, the latest such occurrence during the period beginning in 1794. Snow whitened the ground in Cleveland OH and Rochester NY. (David Ludlum) 1903 - A strong tornado just 50 to 75 yards in width killed many persons around the Gainesville GA Cotton Mill. The tornado strengthened and widened near the end of its four mile path, killing 40 persons at New Holland GA. A total of 104 persons were killed in the tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1919: Snowfall of almost a half-inch fell at Denver, Colorado. This storm produced their greatest 24-hour snowfall recorded in June. Two temperature records were set: The low temperature of 32 degrees was a record low for the date, and the high of only 40 degrees was a record low maximum. Cheyenne, Wyoming recorded 1.6 inches of snow, which is one of only six times that at least one inch of snow has fallen at Cheyenne in June. 1934: June started off on a warm note as high temperatures surpassed the century mark across parts of the Midwest. Several locations tied or set a record high temperatures for June including: Rockford, IL: 106°, Mather, WI: 105°, Hatfield, WI: 103°, Mondovi, WI: 102°, Chicago, IL: 102° and Grand Rapids, MI tied their June record high with 102°. 1980 - A man from Falmouth ME was struck by lightning restoring his eyesight. The man had been blind and partially deaf since a truck accident in 1971. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Lower Ohio Valley produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Albert Lea Airport in southern Minnesota, and baseball size hail around Otterbein IN, Sarona WI, and Danville IL. Two inches of hail totally destroyed 5000 acres of corn and soybean north of Danville. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms drenched north central Texas with torrential rains, with more than 14 inches reported in Commanche County. Afternoon thunderstorm in New Jersey and Pennsylvania produced wind gusts to 70 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the afternoon over the Southern Plains Region produced severe weather through the evening and the night, spawning nine tornadoes. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Alpine TX, and baseball size hail at Balmorhea, TX, Fluvanna, TX, and in Borden County, TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1999: A tornado with an intermittent damage path destroyed 200 homes, businesses, and other buildings in the southern portion of St. James, Missouri. Of these, 33 homes were destroyed along with the St. James Golf Course clubhouse and two Missouri Department of Transportation buildings. The tornado then moved east, south of the downtown St. James area and intensified. F2 to F3 damage occurred with a 200 to 300-yard damage path. Several homes and farm buildings were severely damaged or destroyed. Further north, severe thunderstorms produced many tornadoes around central Illinois. The most intense tornado touched down in Montgomery County south of Farmersville and moved into southwest Christian County. One person was killed when a semi-trailer overturned at a rest area on I-55. Across eastern parts of the state, high winds up to 70 mph caused damage to trees, power lines, and some buildings. The Mattoon area also reported flooding from these storms, producing $3 million dollars in damage.

72/57 and on way to a warm start of the month in the low perhaps mid 80s . Some 12-15 hours of heat Friday, coupled with recent very dryness, should get 90 / low 90s in the warm spots on a N-NW flow. Flow turns around to ENE/NE by Friday overnight into Sat (6/3) perhaps a stray storm. Saturday ugly with clouds, drizzle and temps hung up in the upper 50s / low 60s. ULL looks positioned e/ne of the area through the weekend. So Sun (6/4) may clear out a bit but still cool. Trughing into the northeast 6/4 - 6/8. Keeps it cooler than normal overall by a bit and we'll see if rain chances materialize. Beyond there warming with the ECm most pronounced.

5/31 TEB: 80 PHL: 80 TTN: 79 EWR: 78 New Brnswck: 77 NYC: 77 ACY: 74 LGA: 74 ISP: 74 BLM: 71 JFK: 70

71/41 gorgeous california style weather.

back into the 80s to open the month Thu (6/1) and some stray 90 degree readings Fri (6/2) before a sharp change as strong NE flow pushes backdoor front through on Sat (6/3). Sat may stay in the low 60s or lower with clouds and drizzle (ugly day). Sun (6/4) perhaps a bit to clear out and remaining cool. Trough builds down next week ECM a bit flatter, GFS cuts off low and spins waves around it with rain chances next Tue - Wed (6/7). Beyond there heights are rising by the 9th and warmer push into the area. ECM much more robust on potential above normal, GFS closer to normal till md month.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2022) - hot one a year ago NYC: 96 (1939) LGA: 96 (1987) '87 a very warm May overall Lows: EWR: 44 (1938) NYC: 46 (1938) LGA: 50 (2021) Historical: 1830: Shelbyville, Tennessee was turned into "a heap of ruins" as a tornado moved east through the center of the town. This tornado destroyed 15 homes and 38 businesses along with churches and other public buildings. Losses were estimated to be as high as $100,000. A book was said to be carried seven miles away. 1889 - The Johnstown disaster occurred, the worst flood tragedy in U.S. history. Heavy rains collapsed the South Fork Dam sending a thirty foot wall of water rushing down the already flooded Conemaugh Valley. The wall of water, traveling as fast as twenty-two feet per second, swept away all structures, objects and people. 2100 persons perished in the flood. (David Ludlum) 1941 - Thunderstorms deluged Burlington KS with 12.59 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Severe thuunderstorms spawned forty-one tornadoes across the Lower Great Lakes Region and southeastern Ontario which killed 74 persons. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in New England produced wind gusts up to 90 mph at Worcester, MA, and Northboro, MA, and hail an inch and a half in diameter at Williston, VT. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The afternoon high of 94 degrees at Portland, ME, was a record for the month of May. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Hot and humid weather prevailed in the eastern U.S. Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Cape Hatteras, NC, reported their first ninety degree day in May in 115 years of records. "Dust buster" thunderstorms in northwest Texas drenched Amarillo with more than three inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather and torrential rains in northern Indiana, northern Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Saint John IND was drenched with four inches of rain in two hours, and Woodland MI was deluged with two inches in twenty minutes. Pittsburgh PA reported a record 6.55 inches of rain for the month of May, with measurable rain reported on twenty-five days during the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from northwest Texas to southeastern Louisiana. The thunderstorms spawned sixteen tornadoes, including thirteen in northwest Texas. One tornado hit the town of Spearman, TX, causing more than a million dollars damage, and seven other tornadoes were reported within twenty-five miles of Spearman. Thunderstorms over northwest Texas also produced baseball size hail at Monahans, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Paducah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2013: The 2nd of the top 10 weather events for 2013 was EL Reno, Oklahoma tornado of May 31, 2013. Part of the multi-day storm outbreak caused $2 billion in damage. The EF3 that traveled through the western suburbs of Oklahoma City was the largest tornado ever observed with a width of 2.6 miles. It took eight lives including four tornado chasers.

A bit warmer today mid / upper 70s before back into the 80s to open the month Thu (6/1) and some stray 90 degree readings Fri (6/2) before a sharp change as strong NE flow pushes backdoor front through on Sat (6/3). Sat may stay in the low 60s or lower with clouds and drizzle (ugly day). Sun (6/4) perhaps a bit to clear out and remaining cool. Trough builds down next week ECM a bit flatter, GFS cuts off low and spins waves around it with rain chances next Tue - Wed (6/7). Beyond there heights are rising by the 9th and warmer push into the area. ECM much more robust on potential above normal, GFS closer to normal till md month.

5/30 PHL: 76 NYC: 72 TEB: 72 TTN: 71 EWR: 70 New Brnswck: 70 LGA: 69 ISP: 68 ACY: 68 BLM: 66 JFK: 66

Wouldnt surprise me if it's off by more than 20 degrees and Saturday is stuck in the 60s, perhaps midnight / wee morning highs but Sat and potentially Sunday look cool and mistu.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1987) NYC: 97 (1987) LGA: 96 (1987) Lows: EWR: 39 (1947) - latest below 40 reading. NYC: 42 (1884) LGA: 48 (2021) Historical: 1879 - A major outbreak of severe weather occurred in Kansas and western Missouri. In Kansas, tornadoes killed eighteen persons at Delphos, and thirty persons at Irving. Two tornadoes struck the town of Irving within a few minutes time virtually wiping the small Kansas community off the map. The second tornado was perhaps two miles wide, and exhibited multiple vortices. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1927: The Kentucky River peaks during a massive flood that killed 89 people and left thousands homeless. Torrential rains caused this unprecedented flood. 1948 - A railroad bed acting as a dam gave way during a flood along the Columbia River destroying the town of Vanport, OR. The nearly 19,000 residents escaped with little more than the clothes on their backs. (David Ludlum) 1948 - Twenty carloads of glass were needed in Denver, CO, to replace that destroyed by a severe hailstorm. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the eastern U.S. Eighteen cities, from Virginia to Ohio and Michigan, reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Baltimore, MD, and Washington, DC, and 98 degrees at Newark, NJ, were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Memorial Day heralded heavy snow in some of the mountains and higher passes of Wyoming, closing roads in Yellowstone Park. McDonald Pass, MT, was blanketed with eight inches of snow, while the temperature at Miles City, MT, soared to 94 degrees. A "supercell" thunderstorm in west Texas produced baseball size hail in Bailey and Lamb counties, and up to five inches of rain in less than an hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the Upper Ohio Valley during the day. A powerful (F-4) tornado injured three persons and caused a million dollars damage at New Providence, IA. Baseball size hail was reported at Blue Earth, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front spawned fourteen tornadoes in northeastern Texas during the late afternoon and evening hours. The thunderstorms also produced baseball size hail near Marshall, wind gusts to 77 mph at Commerce, and up to five inches of rain. Thunderstorms over southwestern Kansas produced up to six inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Up to 62 off of lows in the lower 50s. Smoke visible and encroaching in C-LI heading SSW at a good clip. Cooler onshore flow today with most in the low 70s. A bit Warmer tomorrow md 70s before back to the 80s to open June Thu (6/1) and perhaps a stray 90 on Fri (6/2) as flow pushes down some warmth on NW flow. It's a quick warm up As the weekend turns much cooler and pending on guidance perhaps some rain/clouds to make Saturday (6/3) a raw one. Trough digs down into the NE and subsequent cut off between 6/6 - 6/9 should bring cooler / and next meaningful rain perhaps the next deluge. Beyond there heights looks to rise in the east and warmup into Mid month.

5/29 PHL: 82 NYC: 79 EWR: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 78 ISP: 77 New Brnswck: 76 ACY: 76 BLM: 75 JFK: 75

Natural air conditioning on that ENE wind , 74 now from 77 but cool feel

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1987) NYC: 97 (1969) LGA: 95 (1987) Lows: EWR: 40 (1936) NYC: 43 (1902) LGA: 48 (2021) Historical: 1947: An unprecedented late-spring snowstorm blasts portions of the Midwest from eastern Wyoming to eastern Upper Michigan. The heavy snow caused severe damage to power and telephone lines and the already-leafed-out vegetation. 1951 - A massive hailstorm, from Wallace to Kearney County in Kansas, caused six million dollars damage to crops. (David Ludlum) 1953 - A tornado, 600 yards wide at times, killed two persons on its 20 mile path from southwest of Fort Rice ND into Emmons County. Nearly every building in Fort Rice was damaged. The Catholic church was leveled, with some pews jammed four feet into the ground. (The Weather Channel) 1982: Two significant tornadoes ripped through southern Illinois. The most severe was an F4 that touched down northeast of Carbondale, Illinois then moved to Marion. The twister had multiple vortices within the main funnel. Extensive damage occurred at the Marion Airport. A total of 10 people were killed, and 181 were injured. 648 homes and 200 cars were damaged or destroyed, with total damages around $100 million. 1987 - Thunderstorms in West Texas produced softball size hail at Lamesa, and hail up to twelve inches deep east of Dimmitt. Thunderstorms also spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas, including one which injured three persons at Wolfforth. Thunderstorms deluged the Texas Hill Country with up to eleven inches of rain. Severe flooding along the Medino, Hondo, Seco, Sabinal and Frio rivers caused more than fifty million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A powerful cold front brought snow and high winds to parts of the western U.S. Austin, NV, was blanketed with ten inches of snow, and winds gusted to 75 mph at the Mojave Airport in California. Strong southerly winds and unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the north central U.S. Glasgow, MT, equalled their record for the month of May with a high of 102 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Wintry weather gripped parts of the northwestern U.S. for the second day in a row. Great Falls, MT, was blanketed with 12 inches of snow, which pushed their total for the winter season to a record 117.4 inches. Six inches of snow whitened the Cascade Mountains of Oregon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from north central Colorado to the northern half of Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, and there were seventy reports of large hail or damaging winds. Midday thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Hobart, OK, and produced up to three and a half inches of rain in eastern Colorado in four hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

71 and mostly sunny. On way to upper 70s / low 80s and a gorgeous Memorial Day. Slip back nearer to 70 tomorrow with stronger onshore flow before moderating Tue (5/31). Still cant imagine we dont see a cloudier than forecast day tue as ull moves nearby and out. June opens warmer by Wed (6/1) and Thu (6/2) with shot at 90 in the warmer spots, coupled with recent arid conditions. more of a NNE flow by the weekend cools it back off as trough backs in 6/4 - 6/9 but overall near normal. Have to see if rain chances or meaningful rain increases in the period. Beyond there once more W/NW flow established should see warmer overall.

5/28 EWR: 80 New Brnswck: 80 TEB: 79 NYC: 79 PHL: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 76 ISP: 74 BLM: 72 JFK: 71 ACY: 71

Made it to 80 now down to 77 with mainly overcast skies.