CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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Thanks for the deep dive.
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Yeah at range this is good stuff! Be a bit before it's resolved more precisely
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Is this like some kind of "blue horseshoe" comment from the Wall Street movie
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We're analyzing long range patterns in prime climo while I'm sitting at 65 degrees. How about you?
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Weather regions should not be drawn by political or metropolitan boundaries rather geographically and atmospherically. However geo political are more readily accepted and easier to view.
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The "frustration" is a miss on even our annual average much less a drought coming up on 2yrs in a row. And now looking at +300hr models for even a simple favorable pattern. You can understand this, right?
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Larry, Where's the mjo going to be you think during this time? 8-1-2? I know that's in the noise range currently
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Well, how many wait staff do you really need in this restaurant?
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Ya still think so?
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Agreed but the larger feature indices are all we have to go on. Granted many have low score verification, especially in the noise range
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We have two imo. Early first couple (few?) days in Feb and then a period between the 14th and 21st but that's airing it out
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Me as well. For the mjo I don't look too far beyond 7 days for the mean. Even there it has tightened ever so slightly in the last few days closer to the center circle in it's rotation That phase 7 curl back to 6 at day-14? Yeah, not sure we are going to see that.
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It miller B's just a little too far north and late
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We still have time but now looking like February for sure which gets close to if not at winter 4th qtr.
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The mjo will be aligned when we get out to 23rd or so with what should actually be happening in our region. From the 26th on though I'm curious how fast it moves to near the CoD or over to 7/8 space.
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ensembles await
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squashed ain't bad
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Southeast Sanitarium - Winter 23/24 Edition
CaryWx replied to eyewall's topic in Southeastern States
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Will the cold make it over the apps though
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How long did those nino's hold though? Isn't ours weakening fast? Read we are headed quickly towards a nina in Spring.
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It's in it's warm phases now isn't it?
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Brick's gonna want some NIL $$
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18z gfs says look at my fantasy
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Southeast Sanitarium - Winter 23/24 Edition
CaryWx replied to eyewall's topic in Southeastern States
While I'm in the camp of solidly waiting a couple of weeks before looking at this winter (from a pattern whole) more critically I suggest holding off on the 2am looks until we are actually tracking a storm.
