CaryWx

ftfy

No, as of these runs it certainly is not.

I agree completely. Would also add not to bring it up as a contributing factor here either. Blame what's happening in the forecast models (Plenty showing on those currently to go around )

But you cannot blame climate change for every anomaly in weather behavior either Interesting you chose the word "scorching"

Geez! Everything is not climate change. You think they are up in the Sierra Nevada's right now grousing about lack of snow and some sort of climate change responsibility. Or deep dark Siberia? Unless of course you want to blame their excessive snow on climate change then I have no faith in the blame claim game here. You can attribute every abnormal or foul weather event to climate change. Makes it easy and convenient for the cc evangelists out there. Can we blame good comfortable weather stretches on climate change too? Maybe just pick any event in life that is not perfect. "Hey, woke up constipated this morning. I blame climate change."

Maybe. maybe not. you going to tell me in another generation upstate NY will be like Va? I doubt it.

it's too fast

No kidding. Go back and look at some of those projections for late Jan with high amp in phase-6. Never happened as I thought it wouldn't

Unless trolling. It's going to be in phase 8 albeit low low p8

verbatim run right? Nice for NC. Just outside the 10day

Think of it -- An 18z gfs ops run will lead the way! Just doesn't have a ring to it does it.

In fairness we should wait for Coach McGuirk's counter presentation data.

For Asheville?

We have decent blocking in Greenland coming up. -nao

Give it a few days

Runs are really starting to pick up on the displacement. Somebody may want to get their seatbelts clipped in the next couple weeks

Our area has another window coming up after that it's a crap shoot for sure

ops are finding it

Might enjoy the break if we are tracking a good one inside 7 days at that point

lol even Bermuda colder

18z GEFS looks better

a 1040 might knock you off the mountain.

You're referring the one in the OV showing up on the ensembles correct? I need it just a hair east and anchored.

Me as well. I hate counting on the "undermodeled" but is has and does happen with CAD