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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. Congrats Knurd. Hows the weather up here?
  2. Looks like potential storm next week for NC is waning. Just not our winter around here in Jan-Feb 2019
  3. Yes a lot of upcoming activity to be resolved. This will be something to watch for in coming days as late Feb getting some game on in the models.
  4. Looks like it miller B's itself from central Alabama to off Norfolk. Need it more suppressed
  5. Thanks CR, but most of the blame I'm reading is attributed to the EPO and MJO. Sounding like they are core and without them we cannot count on other indices to pull us through.
  6. Is anyone seeing any real chances for anymore winter? All I see are some small brief cold snaps and a reloading transient pattern that primarily lets the SER dominate.
  7. All I see on that map is our area locked in a maximum security prison cell with a brutal SER.
  8. Is this what the models and weeklies were actually showing last month for the east? Is that why the prognosticators were calling for something that has yet to show up?
  9. https://www.wral.com/2018-was-4th-warmest-but-next-5-years-could-break-records/18173754/
  10. Wow! Six more hours of winter...until the 18z
  11. Yep, believe winter's over for most of us on this forum unless the models are waaay wrong.
  12. Well, they got this week's 'warming' right at 150hrs out so there's that.
  13. Cary on? Maybe for Marion, but down here in the flat lands it's coming to a close soon. "blackberry winters" are the end-of-April/early-May. Not really winter just a few bleak cool days and near frost chilly nights to draw up and dry the blackberry blooms, nicely readying them for the coming early summer fruit production
  14. You mean FV3 because I'm not seeing squat for the SE on 12z gfs run yet
  15. 18z gfs tries to bring a storm into northern NC on Tuesday as well but mostly north. Odd movement of surface low to off the coast.
  16. GFS also showing no real cold coming back in either. Confidence in getting another decent snow storm in NC growing very low now for remainder of this winter in my view. Getting close to throwing the bloody towel in.
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