CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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ok, so who's gonna open the thread!
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Yes but not the NAM at 84hrs I suspect. Get it under 48hrs and in agreement with the Canadian then you might have something
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If only half those amounts came to fruition we'd be in deep kimchi
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Hello once again all for 2019-2020! I agree with Lithia. Winter's acoming. May not be for next week but overall not a bad pattern developing.
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Folks, about time for me to sign off for winter 2018-19. It's been low on the delivery scale. Congrats to those that got snow today and for our bit in early December. Hopefully next winter is better.
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This low wants to trend stronger albeit by small increments each run. We just need it to hug the coast a little more or longer maybe.
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1010 LP at 96 but a bit too far off shore
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Yep coming in snowier for NC at 90hrs
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Just got a little better on the gfs 18z. Here's that same frame now
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Be nice to have that for next Weds storm Thor
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The cold is also not sticking around as long next week. Very progressive. Been that way for a while now why should next week be any different
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I think given the Tues/Weds storm may likely stay suppressed we can stick a fork in this winter. Snow after the 15th will be hard if not impossible to come by. Yeah I know some of you talk about "awesome April", "magnificent May" and "jubilant June" or whatever but sometimes over is just OVER.
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snow's back! nice spread at 150hrs over central NC
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This. The PAC reload after a brief tease wasted a lot of winter
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I agree here. It's generally been the weeklies that have been trash, but even they began to re-align some by the late January outputs. Models in the 7-14 day have not been good. Inside 7? not bad
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Seems with the GFS that low is more of slightly inland coastal hugger across SC then off the NC capes. Cold does not really come down until after it has passed. Yesterday it was further south and pulling in cold
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let's see where the euro goes
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Just hope there's not a northwest trend where that core ends up in Roanoke, Va.
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Which is why I look for support from other models. There's regional support for a storm and some cold air but nothing like the latest gfs is showing I don't think.
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12z gfs still showing the storm next Tuesday
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Any support from the 12z euro?
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Have we really seen a low track across Florida suppressed all winter where we remained cold? Doubt this will happen. We get cutters (west) much more in this scenario and hope it does not trend that way
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Yeah there is one more shot looks like between March ~2nd-5th. Have a feeling at best it will be like yesterday and today in the Triangle. Just the way this winter has gone.
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Was it over your head?
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You know it's a bad winter for the SE when places like Vegas out west (avec palm trees) get snow.
