CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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gfs or para?
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Ross, As always thanks for jumping in... Assume you mean euro ensembles have differences with respect to other model ensembles and not 'stark differences' among their own individual panels. Haven't looked. If I'm not mistaken though it was the euro that saw this signal originally several days ago before the other models caught on. So we got that hope going for us.
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If those GL lows weren't such a fixture most of the time I would tend to have more faith in this v16 run
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21:1????
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Makes me almost want to stay up for the 0z euro
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You think the CAD might be underdone at this range?
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Could end up being a Hwy-1 and US 74 points north and west for NC. At least to included sleet and ice. Depends on how stoutly the CAD is driven south.
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We have over 200hrs to go my friend. Hope it doesn't end up in Ohio.
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Looks somewhat to be progressively building in around that time too.
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This looks like a storm moving into a deepening CAD event that pushes south. If that is to be believed just need timing to work. 6-12hrs faster for either the CAD or slower for storm arrival and this would be a decent hit in a lot of NC.
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MJO drives it. In many cases (depending on what you what to see happen) it's the kabal force measure on how these indices will behave.
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That signal has been there for about 3 days now right? Give or take a day.
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That's the one I'm not going to sleep yet on. Possibilities out there for supportive temps are not totally out of the picture. At least not yet anyway.
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I dunno about the "back end of winter" buckeye but believe the next period will be good. February overall is still up in the air but have to admit the first week looking better.
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Yep, Also would like to see NAM inside 40hrs or so. Not bad at 56 right now if seeing that right.
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Nope
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Perfect for Roanoke to Richmond
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Is this all one storm next week just the models haven't nailed down the right day yet possibly?
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This precip event also overperformed based on forecasting as well. Never supposed to get this much last night I believe.
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That almost sounds like a country song.
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Didn't you get the memo today? It's winter cancel
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This wasn't our storm
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Is there a slp off the coast?
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Also looks like snow deepening all the way down to Chester SC. That's below Rock Hill
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Yeah I'm trying to figure out how this is going to translate for the Triangle. I may be too far north if it goes due east.
