CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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Not so much (snow) for the Triangle. Ice?
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Looking to see what 12z euro is going to do with its earlier predictions
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The jinx factor is still out there for Thurs storm That said we are beginning to track a second system for Sunday and that will bleed over since something (even if not much) will certainly come of the Thurs event now for NC
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Guessing they want to see if the NAM goes bonkers or even semi-bonkers towards this, before buying those solutions
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I wish the NAM would come onboard with the heavier amounts. I'd feel more confident.
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Need to bring that plains LP down to about Paducah. Not a lot to go in 5 days considering that last 24hr jump
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Not a great look for accumulating snow in the Triangle. Also, those temps are for 7am in the morning. (Essentially the overnight low) Need to see frz/below frz temps in middle of the day.
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Russians? I knew it!
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Maybe after 18z models come in or better yet after next 00z (27th) runs. Let's see who bites where. Cannot go on like this with so much differentiation
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Need this to trend south by ~100m. Just a 20mile per day shift will do it.
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or this...
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Enough to make me want to steal a peek at the midnight models
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Are you falling into that "I got my hopes up" camp now? C'mon son, kiss dat baby.
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I don't think anyone here is really believing that at least not in this thread anyway.
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Ha ha, Bullseye for me at 60hrs. Book it!
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I'll take some of what v16 is having. Wish it could be true
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loller at the contour following the wake county line.
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The MJO not going there until Feb 15th earliest. I read. That's getting close to winter overtime around here
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It would towel tossing for the RDU area. Quite frankly I'm expecting it but you never know.
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We'll know in 24hrs whether gfs is on to something here or is an outlier
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I'd like to see the euro continue it's slightly south trend next run. That coupled with the model spread of central/southern Va. to southern NC (suppressed) would have me feeling good at this range.
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Does look a bit faster on the trend but diving more south. Was in Ok panhandle. Now in se Ok.
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I wouldn't get caught up in amounts or spread just yet. The interactive system behaviors are still there and producing snow so that's important.
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hope gfs enscrambles support this run
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euro will tell the tale
