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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    Where does the miller-B transfer look to set up? From SC coast to off Hatteras?
  2. CaryWx
    Remember it's the NAM at 84. Overall set up more reliable than p-type specifics/locations and amounts right?
  3. CaryWx
    I'll defer to you here certainly Matt but are you seeing severe ice in the Triangle?
  4. CaryWx
    Model blends. Less ice in he Triangle metro area?
  5. CaryWx
    Read back on Sunday where ROAB gets ingested more today
  6. CaryWx
    Both the ECMWF Ens (M) and (C) have improved for my area over last three runs. Small changes but certainly gotten better
  7. CaryWx
    I actually think things improved well for the Triangle on the 6z model outputs. Coupled with last night's runs there is less threat of a major ice storm and trend to more snow/sleet. 6z EPS shows a move towards gfs
  8. CaryWx
    maybe, but UK could cave tomorrow if euro holds on it's solution too
  9. CaryWx
    I'll just leave this here right now
  10. CaryWx
    UKMET is a snowbeast dream!
  11. CaryWx
    Bring the goods.
  12. CaryWx
    Noticed the 540 line on the CMC dancing over Wake co. Mixing a bit there you think?
  13. CaryWx
    Won't be up for it but would love the euro to tac back a little towards the gfs and cmc
  14. CaryWx
    Looks colder and less amped than the earlier euro run. Less precip. maybe? but still decent. Not overwhelming ice
  15. CaryWx
    Let's see the CMC
  16. CaryWx
    Well now we have suppressed and amped among the leaders in the LR. Maybe the midnight runs can sort it out but have a feeling it will be Tues night (Weds 0z) runs
  17. CaryWx
    Ok, confused again. Faster phase means more ice in central NC/SC right?
  18. CaryWx
    Let's see if the 18z gfs still has it (2 waves) that way. Any chance the euro has this wrong?
  19. CaryWx
    Sorry was referring to the path of the ULL 850 across Ga/SC and NC
  20. CaryWx
    It's that pesky 850 track though Beach
  21. CaryWx
    Here's the eps mean over last 4 runs. Seems to hold well still if I'm reading it right. Look at the 0-line. Last four runs of the ECMWF EPS valid 12z Saturday.
  22. CaryWx
    EPS is saving eastern NC right now. Operational euro way too amped as you can see the amounts on the control . EPS mean still looks fairly solid.
  23. CaryWx
    850 track screws a lot NC below I85 looks like?
  24. CaryWx
    yeah, but holy cow there's a heck of a lot more data than that. Pretty sure this is more than just "innocent cold fropa". Now who gets what kind of precip and where?--Sure that's only really known to the Gods right now.
  25. CaryWx
    Not really
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