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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    Inside 8hrs which tends to be more reliable RAP or HRRR?
  2. CaryWx
    apples & walnuts. Poor comparison, but I'll just leave it at that.
  3. CaryWx
    So by that logic if no models were showing a warm nose in the area then mets would still forecast a warm nose somewhere?
  4. CaryWx
    Be nice if the 18z GEFS can also have the 850s south of Wake county
  5. CaryWx
    I stand corrected. It's an ensemble mean
  6. CaryWx
    Eric dropped this one in another place... It's also a mean at 36
  7. CaryWx
    12z gfs looks like nam-12km as well with 850s up in northern wake
  8. CaryWx
    The NAM looks like lots of mixing but maybe I'm not looking at the latest one.
  9. CaryWx
    RDPS colder? ICON less precip?
  10. CaryWx
    Agree, hadn't seen any predominant zr precip. proggs for Wake county. So not sure what RAL sees.
  11. CaryWx
    Yet there is this on their website too...
  12. CaryWx
    From WRAL...
  13. CaryWx
    Ice as in zr?
  14. CaryWx
    check the latest gefs numbers out there
  15. CaryWx
    I'm not seeing that across the models. Even the nam had a better cold press this last run
  16. CaryWx
    getting buried maybe
  17. CaryWx
    took slp more off the coast this run
  18. CaryWx
    That's fairly tolerable albeit some power hits.
  19. CaryWx
    I'll buy that... but better bet is mixy sleet storm or cold rain
  20. CaryWx
    The broad field depictions are suspect for sure
  21. CaryWx
    I don't have specifics but I've seen charts posted where it is rated pretty well. You are correct in 'what are the specifics it scores well in?' and at what range (which I mentioned here) No, I do not see a suppressed track verifying. I do suspect a further north (Va) centralized placement with this storm. Just been the case this season. All anecdotal thinking for sure, but wouldn't surprise me in the end.
  22. CaryWx
    I thought it had good verification scores. This would be range dependent though. 3-5days?
  23. CaryWx
    No 12z euro run for you!... Come back. 6hrs.
  24. CaryWx
    Wouldn't surprise me. This would be overrunning I believe.
  25. CaryWx
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