NorthShoreWx

Except for the wind really cranking, that subsidence was kinda boring. Back into good rates now Depth on the snow stake hasn't increased since about 9:30, despite having a couple of hours of approx. 2" rates during that time. Safe to say we have at least the 13" on the stake and probably a good bit more. I was happy with my 9am obs, but since then measuring this one is a royal mess. No idea how to get an accurate number now. The stake is near my boards on flat ground in the most open spot I have. My neighbor has more of a hill in front of his house and the "waves" on his lawn look a little like swells on the ocean. My lawn has more uniform snow depth, but clearly a lot of that snow is going somewhere else.

Excellent timing

Like 14 or 15 hours during the Blizzard of 1978:

Two more videos from Smithtown @ approx 10:37am

Nearly 13" here so far. S+, 17° Some video:

I measured snowfall at 9am (three boards) and averaged out 11.4". Placement of the boards must have been pretty good because there was only about an inch difference between the high and low measurement. It's been pounding pretty good since then and looking out the window, we're past 12" on the snow stake. 10am temperature is 17° Snowflakes have been smallish. I doubt ratios are much better than 10:1, but will have to figure that out later. Smithtown, NY 40.88, -73.21

Alright, I went out for one more observation before bed. 3.5" as of 1AM (1.1" in the past hour). 28° , moderate snow / blowing snow 3.5" storm total Smithtown. NY

This live webcam reminds me of driving at night in a snowstorm. The kind when you get home and close your eyes and still see snow in the headlights for about an hour:

Smithtown, NY Midnight (12am 1/29) 28°, moderate snow, Viz ~ 3/8 mile, Can hear the wind gusts through the trees from inside. 2.4" storm total. Averaging from 3 boards. Liking what I am seeing on radar and out the window...this has been more fun since I stopped looking at models. I'm thinking it even looks kind of promising for the HV, especially east of the river but possibly west too...unless that is going to get eroded by dry air. Gonna turn in soon and get a few hours (if I can sleep).

Smithtown, NY 11:30PM 29, moderate snow About 1.5" down Getting windy. Occasionally gusting to around 25 mph.

Feels like I've read this before: HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NCEP...NWS...WASHINGTON DC 2:27 PM EST FRI MAR 02 2001...PRELIMINARY VERSION. ... WE NOW HAVE HIGHER CERTAINTY THAT THERE WILL INDEED BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MAJOR STORM ALONG THE EAST COAST...MAYBE EVEN A BLIZZARD...IN THE DAY 2-3 PERIOD. THE VERY STRONG BLOCK NW OVER THE SOUTHERN DAVIS STRAIT WILL DRIFT WESTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT DAYS...BUT CONTROL THE WEATHER OVER NOAM THE ENTIRE TIME. CONCERNING THE EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS...MODELS ARE GROUPED INTO THREE SCHOOLS OF THOUGHT. THE ECMWF HAS NOW JOINED THE AVN/MRF NOGAPS IN FORECASTING STRONG CYCLOGENESIS EAST OF CAP HATTERAS IN THE 60-72 HOUR PERIOD...POSSIBLY EVEN A SNOWSTORM OF HISTORICAL PROPORTIONS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

Steady very light snow for hours here. 30° Dusting on some of the evergreens, base of the trees, etc, but not on most of the ground. Must be that March sun.

Pixie dust here with variable skycover from bright sunshine through overcast.

but its soooo beautiful...

I do too. He's been offline 24 hours, which normally isn't a long time. Hope he and family are ok and we are just being noodges.

12:1 would be a coup. I'd take that and run like a thief.

Lost my dad 4 years ago. He was a lot older and able to tell stories from the winter of 1934 through Hurricane Donna in 1960. He wasn't really a wx weenie, but had some cool memories that fascinated me as a kid.

On a slightly different topic, is any of the precip showing on the radar now hitting the ground? It looks fairly impressive, but I can't find any surface confirmation from ASOS sites or mping.

Very sorry for your loss. Keep those wonderful memories forever. Prayers for you and your family.

Disclaimer: It was a bust in my neighborhood. I only measured 15" The Smithtown public report of 20" was a slant sticker.

I recall that one verifying. Different perspectives. ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... ORIENT 30.0 807 PM 1/27 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTHAMPTON 29.0 615 PM 1/27 PUBLIC MATTITUCK 26.9 404 PM 1/27 TRAINED SPOTTER MEDFORD 25.6 100 PM 1/27 PUBLIC ISLIP AIRPORT 24.8 100 PM 1/27 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER NORTH PATCHOGUE 24.1 1235 PM 1/27 PUBLIC WEST BABYLON 24.0 600 PM 1/27 PUBLIC OAKDALE 23.5 120 PM 1/27 PUBLIC MILLER PLACE 22.0 130 PM 1/27 PUBLIC FLANDERS 22.0 204 PM 1/27 TRAINED SPOTTER PORT JEFFERSON STATI 22.0 600 PM 1/27 PUBLIC LINDENHURST 21.6 530 PM 1/27 TRAINED SPOTTER FARMINGVILLE 21.5 330 PM 1/27 TRAINED SPOTTER HOLBROOK 21.5 100 PM 1/27 PUBLIC EAST NORTHPORT 21.0 715 PM 1/27 PUBLIC SHOREHAM 21.0 413 PM 1/27 PUBLIC COMMACK 20.0 1030 AM 1/27 PUBLIC DEER PARK 20.0 1230 PM 1/27 PUBLIC SMITHTOWN 20.0 1240 PM 1/27 PUBLIC UPTON 17.1 100 PM 1/27 NWS OFFICE

Wouldn't surprise me at all. But if it's meeting criteria in bands that pass relatively quickly, it might not meet the 3 consecutive hour threshold on either wind and/or visibility. That's why they use expressions like "near blizzard" and "blizzard-like". But it probably will meet criteria somewhere on LI and eastern NE and its not out of the question father west.

Gusts count: "Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater"

We all owe the mods a beer.

I believe Doria in 70 or 71 hit the NNJ/NYC area as a strong TS. David in 1979 brought enough wind (gusts 60+) to cause a death in a Brooklyn factory when a window blew in on a worker. Doria may have made a landfall near NYC while David was a fast moving transitioning extratropical/TS racing north inland after making landfall as a Hurricane down south.