NorthShoreWx

If that is how you gage climate, then the climate wasn't the 70s and 80s either. There has been no other such period in the record going back to 1869 with such low snowfall in NYC. The closest to that had more than 25% greater snowfall than the 70's and 80s.

Whiteout conditions in Smithtown, January 23, 2016: I skied over to the town golf course for those who know the area.

Meanwhile, in Ireland:

Ah, there they are. I prematurely canceled drinking emoticons.

Hmmm. Quiet here too. Here's to snowier times <damn, there's not even a beer emoticon any more> Inconceivable!

without editing. Getting nervous this was spot on.

The dong of Damocles. Be careful out there.

Bad karma emanating from weather forums.

Since we're in nostalgia mode, here is more from 1996, including additional maps at the bottom: https://www.northshorewx.com/19960108.html PS, I was in Pine Hill yesterday (very close to the base of Belleayre Mountain) and there is almost no snow left in the Catskills, including at elevation. Snow on the ski trails is a ribbon of slush. I'm hoping to ski at the end of next week, but I might be skiing on grass if no improvement.

1/13/78 ice storm: https://www.northshorewx.com/19780113.html

That was a reference to an expression from an old regional (mostly joking) argument and is indeed based on the low water content of most lake effect snow, rather than the processes that form it. I've spent some time in lake belts, and if you've ever cleaned 6" of snow with barely a tenth of an inch of SWE off of your car, you'd understand the genesis of the expression. But yes, fake effect is real snow. I'm pretty sure some of the really mammoth lake dumps can run into inches of water equivalent, but most are relatively light.

Fake snow.

Happy Snow Year!

Another 30° + temperature spread on 12/30 in north Smithtown. Low was 31, high was 62. 62 didn't last long, but the run-up was glorious. As of 11:45pm, temp is 41°

Kind of reverse here. I keep the car in the garage. When I took it out at 12:30, the car and the garage interior were still at 40. I opened the windows to let the 60 degree outside air warm the inside of the car.

High temp here was 16 at 1:15. Down to 13 now. Could be problematic with local ponds which really have only had skim ice at best before yesterday.

Friday 12/23 in Smithtown Min 8 Max 59 Range 51 degrees. Storm total rainfall 0.40" Snowfall: Trace Minimum temperature Christmas Eve morning was 7.

OES on LI on a south wind:

A 240 wind might do it. Any north of that and you'll have to watch it from the beach, other than some tea kettle flakes. Where I am, it would take a thread the needle around 215 (I've seen it once, but that wind was closer to 180). New London County and southern RI over to the cape might get a wintry treat.

When OKX updates the p-type but not the temps: Extended Forecast for Smithtown NY Click here for hazard details and duration Wind Advisory NOW until 10:00pm Fri Wind Advisory This Afternoon This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 62. Wind chill values between 15 and 20. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 22 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=183&y=176&site=okx&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=183&map_y=176#.Y6YZunbMJhE PS Max here was 59. Down to 29 as of 4:15. Another 30 degree swing day (and counting)

Meanwhile, HRRR continues to insist on a coating of snow the length of LI between 5 and 8pm (west to east)

0.40" total rainfall In Smithtown. If this had been a snowstorm, we'd be fuming about dryslots.

We already had a 30 degree swing here on Thursday 12/22. From 26 shortly after 12am to 56 at 11:55 pm. Looks like we'll do it 2 days in a row.

Old man winter pulling everybody's chain. We had our big model snowstorm a week ago then it pushed west. Chicago's was just 2 or 3 days ago. I think they got an inch...and I believe a flash freeze with that. Nothing more than light accumulations in the lakes states outside of the snowbelts which will eventually do well.