NorthShoreWx

Very low. Even in the best modern winters there were no more than ice flows. Maybe 90 or 100 years ago or longer. That's fast moving salt water ... difficult to freeze.

Yeah, trying to associate ratios with surface temps is a fools game. I've seen some of the best ratios right at 32. Bxstormwatcher...no offense intended

That intersection is 8 road miles for me; less for the proverbial crow. There's some pretty good hills just to the sw of the interchange.

Not sure precisely where you are, but my best guess is 7 or 8 miles tops (maybe less) as the crow flies. Plus I'm only at 122 feet. Spots near you are up to 300. I'll gladly take the foot. Molte grazie. Addendum: either way, our streets are going to look the same in a few days, and it will be a good look.

You might be right. I'm saying what I think will be the after effect of it it in a few days. There's more than one way to get there. When it comes to forecasting snow amounts and tricky p-types, I'm a bit of a snowflake

I'm usually reluctant to do forecasts because I am not schooled in forecasting...unless I am very confident in the forecast. Here is my high confidence forecast: In a few days the north shore of LI will look like it had 14" of snow a few days ago. 13/-3 now

That very 80s.

I've been finding today that adding 3 hours to his model start times is about right for here. I still appreciate the posts.

It's within the realm of possibility, but if I was a betting man (which I am not because that is verboten in this thread ) I would bet against it for at least 90% of the island.

Downhill in teh Catskills will be great. I'm looking for some nice skiing in the woods on LI. I'm not one to stick to the trails.

That's the one thing that will ruin the skiing for me. Sleet is fine; punching through crust sucks.

There is going to be 1 - 1.5" of LE region wide, all of it frozen (except maybe the Jersey shore and that whole area of dixie). This will be the most wintry week we have had in years, and it will look and feel it. Should be pretty cool. I'm waxing up my BC skis.

Slim chance of that. I'll take the under.

15° here. The dewpoint is -6°! Todays min/max was 10/18. I was tempted to start a separate obs thread for tomorrow, but I figured one of the kids would want to do that. They like that. It's like when we let them put the envelope in the collection plate at church.

I can still hear the music that went with that.