I think the ensembles are showing a storm going up west of the mountains transitioning vorticity to the coast for a coastal development...very common in these parts as you are all aware. If the antecedent cold is sufficient, that makes for a nice winter event in these parts...albeit possibly a tad sloppy or heavy...? Storm to Pittsburgh, overrunning precip; then coastal take over...hammer time! That model posted is 234 hours out...Thoughts?