TheSnowman

I’m a Gal of Fame Weenie…… Yes…… But Holy Crap Dude .

Congratulations to Delaware and Southern NJ for stealing our 24” Blizzard.

Translation - CORY YOU GET TOTALLY FOOKED AGAIN. YES..... AGAIN!

It’s 37° and Moderate Rain Here. Right was going to be light then 2” of Snow. I’ve NEVER seen a storm that Sword & Machetes ONLY CT to NH to kill the remaining snowpack. What a ridiculously strange radar to add to the Rest of this highly strange winter. Fk This F- Winter. Here comes Jackass to leave a Poop Emoji for my comment.

Euro OTS. Euro AI though… NOT BAD. GFS is now all of a sudden OTS GFS AI though.. STILL a scraper of a big storm

You Truly Are Exactly as your name states. Amazing how that works. I don't know how many Bleeping times I have to go through the Hell I've gone through the past 10 years with weather, and this winter specifically. But keep rubbing it in. You aren't becoming a World Champion or even Town Champion at Anything in life by doing so. NAM 3K / 12K / 32K for what it's worth All Look like Dog Poo for Both this storm Tomorrow and Friday.

1. Which Major Players are NOT showing it? 2. How many times has the GFS or Euro shown a Major Storm almost exactly the same way for 8 tim’s in a row? I can’t Believe the negativity on this thing. The only fun here is Kevin and I are on the same page for Once.

The 12z GEM has a Historic Blizzard. The 12z Ukie has a Historic Blizzard. The 12z CMC has a Historic Blizzard. The GFS has had a Historic Blizzard for 2 straight Days Every Run. The Icon has it. And you people in here are acting like Nothing is coming and it’s basically worthless to track.

Great Winter!? Are we in different universes in the worm hole?? No Snow October / November = Horrible Brown Christmas = Horrible We had 5” through Mid-January = Historically Bad We have had 2 storms 6” through Mid-February = Bad 40” through Mid-February, 21” below Climo = Bad I give it a C- Even had I BEEN HERE for the Big Storm. It’s a Full F- for me personally.

Hahahahahahaha!!! Tell us you Hate dealing with the Mid-Atlantic without telling us Ray.

And if you’re in RI, just 1 mile South, you’re Screwed. AGAIN.

Our Shakespeare Weather Friend Typhoon Tip: PRO: EPS mean being more aggressive than the operational version at this range is typically a red flag .. CON: however, to the straw man, having the ens mean more impressive than operational was also prevalent at this sort of range prior to the end January phantom bomb too. It didn't end well for the ensembles. Particularly in the EPS back then. CON: If it were not for the -PNA canvas I'd have less issue with this has value. PRO: The 00z CMC ensembles being hugely more bullish than the prior 12z mean is. PRO: While the 00z GEFs were still not very interested, the 06z made a significant step toward more concern. I don't think that's a trivial or unimportant. PRO: Sneaky aspect about the pattern foot ... the flow is both progressive, while relaxed in gradient. Of the two, the latter is a bigger positive than the former takes away. It's interesting ( actually ) to see that concurrent physical state in the field, but there is in fact less 60N to 35 N ambient gradient, which allows for more timely/delicate wave harmonics to get set up. This whole system seems to be nested in that favorable temporal dimension ... any later in date or early, it doesn't avail of that and ends up probably sheared/stretched and annoying. CON: Seasonal dearth of coastal storm types. This doesn't intrinsically instruct this thing for or against occurring, but the consistent no-gos do suggest something's going on that is preventative - identifying what that is, and if it is less effective in this case would be interesting. Lastly ... kind of a PRO. The hemispheric PV is either explicitly anchored, or implicitly attempting to do so, depending on guidance sourced and cycle/run, on our side of the NH. This is also somewhat sneaky and unnoticed, but it matters because if it were situated over on the other side while a very robust -PNA ... ongoing, we probably don't have any of this in the first place. 50/50... We could certainly see a strong system miss, or impact.

Loving my PNS right now. You NEVER see that in RI. 7 Days Straight of precipitation.

Bombs out over Mid-Atlantic and the Fish but the fact it’s still showing a SUB-970 Bomb run after run is so encouraging. Even with it out to Sea, it drops 15-20 hahaha.

Wouldn’t be Surprised. I’ll say it again and again; 4 TIMES this winter, people got more snow East And West And North And South of Me. Impossible. But here we are. Last time was the Mini-Fujiwawa a week ago. 12z: And for 7 Runs In A Row in the GFS, There it Is!

Well, Let’s try This Again since it worked SO WELL LAST TIME! (even though you guys freaked out about me starting a thread) Yes, Once Again I’m off on a trip for gigs, this time in NYC, leaving Saturday, and coming back Tuesday. And you know what happens when TheSnowman goes away while Losing his mind for a storm? The Models Continue to show a Monster Possible Right in the muster of that time frame, with the possibility of a Sub-970mb Low And 24”-36”. The GFS, GEM, and UKIE are All on board as I type this. The EURO has a strangled storm currently OTS; is it Still the dreaded Dr. NO? Let’s track A Potentially TRUE, Historic, Snowstorm and Blizzard. Unlike that overrated SWFE you guys just had.

Uncle UKIE 00z with 24”-30”!!!!

I’m just giving you the update for whenever you’re latest map comes out

40.5" in North Cumberland, RI. And there's no way I'm winning to those around me. I've lost in Every storm but the January 18th one. 4 of them in All 4 directions. Can't be only 28-33 around me.

OH YEAH BABY The GFS now 5 RUNS in a Row with a Historic Bomb!!!! Just a little south this time.

Sorry I speak facts. Ray went from a random enthusiast to the single greatest long term forecaster I know in the country. Just like me calling All of you guys out for when I ask an Actual meteorological question, and you guys make up BS Jokes to poke fun at me and refuse to answer. We’re 13 Years removed from the Fujiwawa and I Still HAVE ZERO answers for how that final snow map happened from anyone. But it is Rather Scary that this is a 3-run in a row GFS 00z 6z 12z for a 2-3 For Blizzard for Monday and Ray is NOT on Board.

38° to 42° with Rainers is going to be a Net GAINER for many?

Yup. And Plus I’ll be driving to NYC and DC on the 21-25 so perfect timing for something good to happen here.

GOD! Everyone on this thread is Ready for Spring on February 14th!?!? After 3 Horrifying winters in a Row? And now EVEN TIP IS DONE!? What the HELL has happened in here!! (Lesser Clothed Ladies was funny) And TorchTiger SUCKS. Truly, What are you doing on a Snow Weenie Board with That mentality!?

Fantastic Event Memory; Dang!!