buckeyefan1

There’s a mini flizzard imby at the moment

I’m old and forget names if I don’t see it often enough

Glad you decided to post

I’m not sure our thoughts have agreed this closely in almost a decade I don’t know whether to be scared or stoked. I’m going with the latter

GSP.... .SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 100 PM Sunday...A broad area of hipres will build across the Glakes region and push east thru the period. This will provide clearing conds across the FA early Tue and deep layered dry air will persist thru the day as an upstream h5 ridge axis crosses the southeast states. Winds remain rather gusty across the higher NC mtn elevations early Tue and will begin to subside as the flow veers ne/ly throughout the day. Min temps will be noticeably colder than Mon/s lows as a cP airmass mixes in and drops temps to arnd freezing over the non/mtns and a few degrees colder across the mtn valleys. Very good isol will be had during the day, but with llvl CAA maintained, max temps will be held abt 8-10 degrees below normal. This new airmass will set the stage for a likely wintry event Tue night as a dynamical upper low quickly impinges upon the region. Expect a primary sfc cyclone to develop across the nrn GOM and traverse NE thru the period. The associated h85 flow will bring moist WAA advection, which is noted in well defined warm noses on the latest soundings. The models have trended a little colder with the sfc layer air and for now have only bumped temps down a degree or two. This brings freezing and below wetbulb temps into the Upstate, where a mix of -fzra/ra may occur along the I-85 corridor and more predominantly -fzra north across the NC/SC border and into most of NC thru mid morning. The warm nose will be weaker across the NC mtns and expect the better freezing rain accums east over the NC fthills and NW piedmont. Too early for specific values as any change in sfc temps and the timing of the warm nose will make for sigfnt diffs wrt p/types. But for now, this looks like an advisory level event with marginal warning criteria possible along the srn BR escarpment. Snowfall amts should remain low-end as most of it shud fall as sleet, so will expect only an inch or so across the nrn NC mtns and higher peaks. There remains some uncertainty with the breakdown timing of the llvl wedge, so have low-end chance PoPs persisting into Wed evening. Min temps will again be quite cold with readings arnd freezing over all locales, while max temps struggle in the lower to mid 40s.

Still looking icy I see. The next few days will be interesting to see how well the models play ‘catch up with the cad’

I agree I agree

Something is brewing next week. Will it be ice, snow or a frigid rain? Stay tuned for tomorrow’s edition of how the models run

Congrats Ga and NC! Can’t get the cold air over the mts for the upstate, so lock it in

The cut off low the euro spit out looks a bit interesting

I was wondering if it was actually snowing. Yay!! Mood flakes Edit to say...sprinkles with thunder in Fountain Inn

I remember that We had a pretty good winter after we did. Maybe we should do it again

That’s not unrealistic here in the south. Just wait until you have to crank the a/c up just to have a fire, even though you are using no heat logs

Blasphemy O’really

I agree with this and expect a flip back the first half of January

25 degrees when I got to the barn this morning and an absolute perfect 59 degrees to end my day

Woooo hooooooo!!!

^^^^^^^^ I second what eyewall said

Congrats to everyone enjoying the first flakes of the year! Love all the pictures

I hope all the GA peeps are enjoying their flizzard

The gfs was soooooo close to phasing the Friday system

And so it begins