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michsnowfreak

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Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. michsnowfreak
    There are many things that shake up patterns. SSW talk is definitely overrated. Imo the most useful time for a cold/snowlover in the midwest to have a SSW would be mid-late or late winter. It can produce midwinter cold when climo is slowly warming up. But before mid December? Useless. Just stay away from any prolonged torches and roll the dice as we head deeper into winter.
  2. michsnowfreak
    Do you have a link for the weeklies site? I always just use wxbell
  3. michsnowfreak
    96.2" here. Water content in snowpack was over 4" in feb.
  4. michsnowfreak
    The last 10 years have had 4 White Christmases (2016, 2017, 2020, 2022). Since 2000 exactly half the Christmas mornings have been white.
  5. michsnowfreak
    Surprisingly despite a stretch of anemic Decembers, we have been able to keep pace with our 50/50 White Christmas avg.
  6. michsnowfreak
    DT can definitely be a trip, but he is somewhat subjective unlike coldmisers like JB or some of the warmistas you'll see on the main weather forum of this board that forecast with nothing but their biases. Ive said it many times before and will say many times again...we will have harsh winters again, but we will never have another 2013-14. It was a harsh winter for all in the midwest and northeast, but SE MI was basically ground zero.
  7. michsnowfreak
    Yes. Actually, there were a few decent wintry periods in Jan, Feb, & early Mar 2016. Nothing great, but better than some other super ninos. But Dec 2015 was absolute torch. Nov was warm too, tho we did luck into a snowstorm locally.
  8. michsnowfreak
    Two totally different winters tho. 14-15 was overall a harsh winter, 15-16 mild.
  9. michsnowfreak
    Believe me....I'd love to be wrong. But 2013-14 was a once in a lifetime winter.
  10. michsnowfreak
    We did hit avg in 2020. But without a doubt Dec has been the month of the snow season that's been lagging it's avg over any other month.
  11. michsnowfreak
    In 2014 & 2015 it got so cold many people had frost on the inside of their window sill edges. In 2019 I remember the trees creaking like old doors and I did the toss boiling water in the air thing and saw it turn to steam. That kind of cold is interesting but definitely dangerous.
  12. michsnowfreak
    I don't disagree. Nor do I need -30° temp departures in Michigan in January lol. I'm a snowlover so anything around average is fine. We saw that kind of cold in 2014, 2015, and 2019. Fortunately each time we had good snowpack in place, but during the infamous arctic outbreaks of 1899 & 1934 we only had a half inch to 1 inch of snow on the ground while deep snow was in place at much further south locales.
  13. michsnowfreak
    I still don't think bamwx was meaning that map to verify literally.
  14. michsnowfreak
    A lot of model signals are showing a colder than avg Jan. I'm liking the looks of that month...but we aren't repeating 2013-14 lol
  15. michsnowfreak
    True. Although in mid January too much cold can cause suppression, unless you get a great clipper pattern. Regardless I'm liking the looks for here (and don't think it looks bad in the east either).
  16. michsnowfreak
    I was looking at this, looks different than yours.
  17. michsnowfreak
    Yes, and they really get cold week 6. Usually you dont see such strong departures (warm or cold) in the later weeks from the main weeklies (the control run is another story).
  18. michsnowfreak
    Feb 1, 2015 comes to mind as a widespread storm with totals well over a foot, but several others do as well.
  19. michsnowfreak
    It'll come! The snow season statistically has about 93% more to come here lol.
  20. michsnowfreak
    Very well explained video!
  21. michsnowfreak
    Wow very nice. Just a dusting on the ground here. We have had 9 days this season with T - 1" on the ground but no more yet. Im waiting for those piles!
  22. michsnowfreak
    Once again 2013-14 & 2014-15 are mentioned.
  23. michsnowfreak
    We made it to December 5th before the first appearance of the word futility. About on par with most years I'd say
  24. michsnowfreak
    So true. Even as I am the "weatherman" to my family and friends and they ask me "how much do you think we will get?", when it comes to daily weather, no matter how many times I warm against it, Ill hear "this morning my phone showed cloudy tmrw now it shows a snowflake" (referring to the weather app which changes everytime you refresh it).
  25. michsnowfreak
    Just got a half inch here, which compressed a bit with the 40mph wind gusts, though I wasnt expecting much. Unlike the Nov 29 event, this part of SE MI did not look to be in a good spot. First biting cold morning of the season, low at DTW was 19F but wind chills hovered just above 0 and untreated roads were icy.
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