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michsnowfreak

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  1. michsnowfreak
    Ive said this many times, but Ill say it again. Without analyzing anything currently going on, one thing that stands out to me here is the frequency of cold/snowy Decembers in a nina/nina pattern. Whats more, those often immediately follow mild or warm Autumns. Is it a slam dunk? Absolutely not. But when isolating the nina years, the frequency of good Decembers is far above overall climo.
  2. michsnowfreak
    Don, are you leaning towards wet/snowy for the Great Lakes as are some of the other forecasts?
  3. michsnowfreak
    As I recall, September is considered to be, on average, the sunniest month of the year here. Always happy to welcome the BER months!
  4. michsnowfreak
    In other news. Picked up another 0.48" yesterday evening, for a 2-day total of 1.99". The impressive thing was not so much the rainfall total, but that it came over the course of 3 or 4 very impressive thunderstorms. The one last evening produced a nice wall cloud, per a fellow weather observers video, but I missed it as I was not in the area when it happened. This was on top of the squall line the day before that produced 50-75mph winds, and thunderstorms at 2am yesterday that woke me up (a rare occurrence for me).
  5. michsnowfreak
    March 2012 was obviously impressive, but I don’t recall any 90s in MI. The hottest temps in MI at the first order stations were: 86F at Detroit, 86F Flint, 87F Saginaw, 87F Alpena, 83F Sault Ste Marie, 85F Houghton Lake, 81F Marquette, 87F Grand Rapids, 86F Lansing, 82F Muskegon. With that said, March 2012 gets talked about plenty (rightly so), but I dont feel Feb 2015 gets NEAR its due. We do talk about the snowy/harsh winters of the time, but rarely is Feb 2015 singled out for its brutal cold, whereas March 2012 is brought up everytime orange shows up on a model map after Feb 1st. At DTW: Mar 2012: Monthly departure: +13.5F. Highest daily departure: +31F Feb 2015: Monthly departure: -13.9F. Highest daily departure: -29F (3 times).
  6. michsnowfreak
    True but supposedly the atmosphere is behaving nina like.
  7. michsnowfreak
    Very impressive 76 mph gust at DTW. It was windy here, but I'd estimate closer to 50-55 mph. Multiple storms gave me a 24 hour rainfall total of 1.51".
  8. michsnowfreak
    This summer was mostly pleasant here. In fact it should have been way hotter than it was. La nina summers, especially summers that transition from nino to nina, are traditionally scorching hot, which I was bracing for. Simply didn't happen. @mississaugasnow I was close in my guess. DTW hit 95 yesterday, which ties as the hottest temp of the year.
  9. michsnowfreak
    1970 is actually 54 years ago (I know thats what you meant when referencing Chicagos winter temps, because 1970 is THE gold standard for starting-point to overstate winter warming). When you look at period of record, Chicagos (1874-2024) avg winter temp has risen 0.3F, but their summer has risen 3.2F, although Chicago averages WAY LESS 90F+ days now than they did in the 1950s. Yes I am aware station location changes, something all stations face. And Im also aware of terrain, cement/dirt changes surrounding weather stations as well. Thats what happens when time doesnt stand still.
  10. michsnowfreak
    He clearly is not aware of TCC's posting style lol.
  11. michsnowfreak
    It was more impressive from a standpoint of being 3 weeks later, but id still say 1953 was more impressive in Chicago. At Detroit, its not even a contest. 1953 all the way. Chicago 2017 09-20: 92/62 09-21: 94/72 09-22: 94/71 09-23: 95/72 09-24: 93/70 09-25: 92/67 09-26: 92/70 Chicago 1953 08-24: 90/63 08-25: 95/66 08-26: 97/68 08-27: 97/70 08-28: 97/69 08-29: 98/70 08-30: 96/71 08-31: 99/74 09-01: 101/76 09-02: 101/75 09-03: 97/75 *** Detroit 2017 09-21: 89/67 09-22: 89/68 09-23: 91/65 09-24: 89/66 09-25: 90/68 09-26: 93/68 Detroit 1953 08-25: 92/64 08-26: 96/71 08-27: 95/69 08-28: 96/67 08-29: 96/71 08-30: 97/71 08-31: 97/71 09-01: 98/70 09-02: 100/76 09-03: 100/71 09-04: 91/61 ************************************** September 2, 1953 was an insane day for time of year in this neck of the woods: Detroit: 100/76 Alpena: 97/70 Cleveland: 101/73 Toledo: 100/72 Cincinnati: 102/72 Columbus: 100/68 Indianapolis: 100/67 Fort Wayne: 100/70 South Bend: 98/72 Peoria: 99/72 Chicago: 101/75 Moline: 99/71 Milwaukee: 96/74 Madison: 98/71
  12. michsnowfreak
    There was literally a historic heatwave ongoing at this exact time in 1953. It lasted 11 days. If that heatwave were to happen today EXACTLY the same, I cannot imagine this extremism of posts we would see. Also, how is heat and humidity highly unusual in August? . Many times August is the hottest month of the summer. Detroits 20 hottest temps on/after 8/25:
  13. michsnowfreak
    2007-08 was a fantastic winter snow-wise. Extremely, extremely active in the Great Lakes region from Dec-Mar.
  14. michsnowfreak
    1966-67 was the best winter of the 1960s in the midwest/Great Lakes. From a record snowy November, to the infamous Chicago blizzard Jan 26-27, then a cold/snowy Feb/Mar and a late April snowfall. Jan 1967 was indeed mild, but the record or near record warmth Jan 22-25 likely helped set the stage for the record winter storm Jan 26-27.
  15. michsnowfreak
    We had a few oppressive days in June where heat indexes neared 100F. The hottest temp was 95F on June 17th. Surprisingly, Detroit has logged 12 days of 90F+ this year (6 in June, 1 July, 5 August) but the other 11 were all between 90-92. Last year there was literally zero oppressive heat (only 2 days touched 90F, and just barely). We really get very few days in the mid-90s or higher anymore, something that was so common place 1930-1960. I can see Windsor from the Detroit River here in Wyandotte! Stay cool!
  16. michsnowfreak
    Idk. Maybe 93-94?
  17. michsnowfreak
    Its 90/75 at Marquette. Shocked they dont have a heat advisory in the UP.
  18. michsnowfreak
    Ridge overhead will make it very hot...but what in the world does "a completely different era of climate" have to do with anything? Like most midwest places, Chicagos greatest concentration of 90s was in the mid-20th century. Blame it on the dustbowl, blame it on todays humidity, blame on whatever you want, but it was easier to get the real hot temps back then than it is now. Annual 90+ days at Chicago 1930s- 19 1940s- 23 1950s- 28 1960s- 19 1970s- 21 1980s- 22 1990s- 16 2000s- 13 2010s- 19
  19. michsnowfreak
    Either scenario is fine by me. Really pulling for a good December here. Those are very common in Ninas and we are overdue.
  20. michsnowfreak
    So the early calls are a weak La Nina thats going to act like a strong one? Some of this stuff is so confusing lol.
  21. michsnowfreak
    @Stormchaserchuck1 has noted many times that the MJO is very hard to predict long-term.
  22. michsnowfreak
    The longest heatwave on record for this area happened from August 25 - Sepember 4, 1953. Detroit 8/25/53: 92/64 8/26/53: 96/71 8/27/53: 95/69 8/28/53: 96/67 8/29/53: 96/71 8/30/53: 97/71 8/31/53: 97/71 9/01/53: 98/70 9/02/53: 100/76 9/03/53: 100/71 9/04/53: 91/61
  23. michsnowfreak
    Awesome. Thanks for the suggestion!
  24. michsnowfreak
    August 1908 was cooler than avg but Sept 1908 warmer than avg.
  25. michsnowfreak
    I'm going to the Porkies Oct 6-9
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