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michsnowfreak

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Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. michsnowfreak
    Thanks, its beautiful out
  2. michsnowfreak
    this morning it felt like mid winter. wind chills in the teens, snow blowing and drifting. It was just a bad track for the northwest suburbs.
  3. michsnowfreak
    Finished with 4.2", the jackpot of SE MI as expected per late model runs. DTW had 3.8". North and West just saw 1 or 2".
  4. michsnowfreak
    its gorgeous here on the far east side. probably over 3.5 now. winter wonderland
  5. michsnowfreak
    light wet snow all day today didnt stick until about an hour ago, should continue through tomorrow morning. not sure what to expect
  6. michsnowfreak
    all snow here but not sticking. can't complain as east side should get the best snow tonight.
  7. michsnowfreak
    rain/snow mix here. winter weather advisory in effect starting at 3pm. this will be a long duration precip event, probably at least 36 hours.
  8. michsnowfreak
    Decembers have been streaky. some very good and very bad ones the last few decades. All balances out. The OV has had some crappy Decembers since the beginning of climate records, although the feast or famine of recent years is something.
  9. michsnowfreak
    Nah, it just depends on the system. the east side has actually done better than northwest the last several snowfalls. it's clear with this one that the farther east you are the better.
  10. michsnowfreak
    Looks like a nice snowy start to December in eastern MI but it can't go much further east or it won't be lol.
  11. michsnowfreak
    Welcome aboard!
  12. michsnowfreak
    You can't call 11-12 in November lol. And the only time you will see Noaa's maps in blue is when an absolutely imminent cold snap is coming. This time in 2005 or 2016 it was a nice snowy outlook headed into the holidays. Meanwhile after new years...
  13. michsnowfreak
    I often wonder if it would be more fun or less fun to be a weather weenie in the days before we had access to all the weather models? I mean, an extended model shows a massive storm and you only get 7" of snow your "disappointed" . A model shows nothing, maybe a disturbance to your south, and you get 3" of unexpected snow, you're "excited".
  14. michsnowfreak
    I notice often unrealistic warm temperatures in those little urban center circles on forecast temp maps, especially GFS. I think they probably put something in their computer system to account for UHI, but it clearly overdoes things
  15. michsnowfreak
    it was 1966
  16. michsnowfreak
    computer guidance is near unanimous with showing above avg precip this winter following that general track.
  17. michsnowfreak
    Happy Thanksgiving to all!!! It may not seem like it in 2020, but many of us have a lot to be thankful for. Here's to a snowy winter!
  18. michsnowfreak
    Once we get the first post extrapolating past 84 hrs on the NAM, then you KNOW winter is here!
  19. michsnowfreak
    November 1950 started with record warmth. Temps on the 1st exceeded 80F in most areas...then BAM.
  20. michsnowfreak
    lol. still way too early to have confidence in any solution.
  21. michsnowfreak
    Same with DTX; they mention a possible winter storm, very unusual for them this far out as they are conservative
  22. michsnowfreak
    DTX just issued their winter forecast. Slightly above avg temps, above avg precip, near avg snowfall for December. Then average temps, above avg precip, and near to above avg snowfall
  23. michsnowfreak
    consistency of a storm is very good for so far out, of course where it goes no one knows. Unlike the rather last minute Detroit snowfall Sunday and Chicagos snow today, this one will be dissected all week. Let the model mayhem of the 2020-21 season commence!
  24. michsnowfreak
    it was the biggest snowstorm of the winter 1950-51 at Detroit with 6.3", but if I lived thru it in SE MI I'd be insanely jealous of further east lol. The biggest November snowstorm on record for Detroit is 9.2" set wayyy back Nov 11/12, 2019 lol.
  25. michsnowfreak
    Oh for sure. it was a very blah stretch of Novembers 2009- 0 (only 2nd Nov without a flake) 2010- T (slow start to an almost 70" season) 2011- 0.6" (this fell last day of November) 2012- 0.4" 2013- 1.2" (only 94" more to go lol)
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