michsnowfreak

I agree. a classic la nina is stormy here in the lakes but I cant count on anything as the weather does what it wants. In fact every fall it's the same thing, it's fun to look at forecasts and speculate but we know it's full of unknowns

i stay out of it but ill say this. I tested positive Friday. I mask up everywhere in public, so I must've caught from a family member or friend (a friend did test positive, so thinking it's him but we definitely didn't have symptoms when we hung out). Fortunately I'm doing ok and my main symptoms are extreme fatigue, mild fever, and headache. Like many say it feels like having the flu, and actually I had the flu once as an adult and that was worse for me. I am already feeling a bit better today, still run down but I feel fortunate and confident that I will continue to improve. I certainly have to stay quarantined because if I gave it to someone else who's immunocompromised the result could be terrible for them. It's full of unknowns and yes most people like me will be fine but it's still not worth taking unnecessary risks in my opinion.

I rarely do

Euro doesn't look great but I don't consider +1-1.5C a blowtorch. As always it's gonna come down to storminess and if la nina lives up to its name there should be fun times.

If you want to talk verbatim, remember plus 1 to 1.5ﾟC is the departure of +1.8 to +2.7°F. That's nothing for northern areas.

I'm all for deleting that thread. no one is changing anyone's mind amd it just causes bickering.

Decent winter. good on snowcover but there were a few thaws. This was a good storm, broke the big snowstorm drought of the '30s-50s.

I'm thinking the already ahead of schedule fall color may get some acceleration this week with the cool shot.

I suppose I could take a blend of all 3 as well, but it's crazy how different my take in Michigan is compared to yours in New York. 95-96... Horrible screw zone. Cold and dry. Great if you like to ice fish 05-06... The definition of front loaded. Lots of snow from Thanksgiving to Christmas. A mild mess after New Year's. 07-08... Stormy, stormy, stormy with tons of snow.

Amazing comparison shots.

Same in southern Michigan. Seems like it's going to be an early peak everywhere. Haven't done any peeping yet but took a few pictures while out and about yesterday (see attached). Just a month ago I was planning a possible trip to Connecticut the 3rd week of October. Now that looks like it will be late almost everywhere. Taking a trip to northern Michigan the 1st week of October, hope that's not too late. Despite the drought, my brother is reporting some decent color showing up in Connecticut, not all dull as feared.

While it's normal to have bits of color showing up by now, I cannot recall this much color this early. The trees are turning fast and some of the colors are vibrant. Just took these today while out and about.

I just noticed last night's run stopped at 384, but the night before went to 840. Only the 00z though.

Did anyone else notice that the 00z GEFS now goes to 840 hours!?

My memory of that specific storm is kind of vague since I personally was never on the wintry side of it, but wasn't that the storm where they were predicting an epic ice storm for some areas that just did not materialize? Dont remember the snow aspect. We ended up with very heavy rain which ended as freezing rain then a dusting of snow.

Do you know what kind of trees you have nearby? There are some species of trees which do seem to be on the less impressive side no matter what, but when everything is mixed in together it's a great color show.

Romulus is definitely more rural, but the problem with any airport is all the concrete runways. If you are driving just south and west of DTW airport property, particularly on a radiational cooling night, watch your car thermometer absolutely tank, with a temperature reading much lower than the official temperature which is being taken just a spit away.

this is an interesting take since the modeled October outlook is sort of the opposite....warmer than average west and near average to possibly below average east. But who knows....seasonal forecasting is tough.

We've had a lot of vibrant color years for the most part but last year was quite dull but with an explosive but brief nice finale.

Color definitely seems early. I'm supposed to be headed out to the Jackson area later so it will be interesting if I see some good color on the road trip there. Went Apple picking the other day and you can already see some good color starting. here's a freeway shot lol.

My brother said the color is popping in Willimantic, sent me a picture, looked pretty good although it was just one picture so I can't dismiss the idea of a less than stellar color season there. Color exploding here in Southern Michigan, I'm thinking a vibrant peak that will be about a week earlier than average.

It does seem like lately the Spring green up has been running late and the fall color show has been running late. Neither one extremely so, but on the order of 1 or 2 weeks. What's interesting though is this just goes to show you that the weather does play a factor somewhat, is it appears 2020 will have had a late Spring green up but an early Fall color show. I have always heard that sunny, dry, mild days and clear, dry, cool nights are the perfect recipe for excellent vibrant fall color. So I'm all for it remaining dry. Right on cue after the weather we've had the past few weeks, the trees are not only seeming to turn rapidly, but the color seems quite vibrant.

meh, not sure. Both ORD and DTW are not in the city propers, they are in suburban areas.

That was crazy lol. It was apparent early on that totals were going to bust big, but rather than change the advisory to a warning they just kept upping the accumulation forecast.

Based on what bo said and my own observation, I'm thinking statewide the color show is going to be at least a week ahead of schedule. I was planning a 3 day getaway up North but had to rearrange my schedule to make it earlier, going to northeast lower October 7 to 9. By now, it is common to have hints of color here and there, but I cannot believe how much color has exploded here in Southeast Michigan. And it's a pretty, bright color too. Seems like a vibrant, early peak is on the way. The extended stretch of sunny, mild days and cool nights really has helped.