michsnowfreak

Since Feb 2018, Atlanta has had a total of 0.6" of snow. To say they were due is an understatement.

I knew it was bad almost everywhere in the north, but didnt realize it was that bad in spots. As a casual browser from another region, I dont really know where everyone is so I always go by the first order stations for snow totals lol. Someone posted in the Lakes forum that theres an area of southern IA that has not had measurable snow yet this season, and we have a poster who lives on the Lake Superior shore near Duluth, MN and has bare ground. Im at 6.3" on the season but most of it has been small lake amounts, so Im doing cartwheels at our 2-4" forecast of some actual synoptic snow. Hopefully you get an inch or so out of the system even as it shears moving east. Pattern clearly looks better going forward for northern locales. I know people think it sounds like a broken record, but it really does.

I dont think Atl actually got 5" based on obs. Though they do have white ground. Im definitely not trying to rub salt in the wound, but is your sig up to date with only 2" on the season?

Honestly, 2-4" of synoptic snow with very cold temps and very frozen ground is not a bad call at all. Not sure about IWX, but GRR issues an advisory anytime a lake squall is possible, and it often looks silly. Then they will stick with an advisory when an actual storm rolls through with 4-7" lol.

Winter weather advisory for 2-4". Finally some synoptic powder!

That would be an interesting and very doable hybrid lol

The torch was certainly impressive. But it was essentially a 10 day warm spell in a 6 month stretch where below normal temperatures dominated, including some cold records. Easily the most recent extended cold period we've had.

I have mostly great memories of Feb 2018 here. The first half of the month was deep, deep winter with only the last week seeing a torch/bare ground. The warmth that gets talked about in Feb 2018 was much more extreme to the south (not at all uncommon in a Nina). Wonder if something similar happens this Feb?

Definitely potential down the road. January finishes cold, no doubt. But will this be a month where below normal temps are accompanied by below normal snow, or people look at their monthly total on 1/31 and laugh at how cynical they were early in the month?

Obviously temps will be cold...but wondering if its more of a fluffy powder or a sugary powder?

I wouldn't be worried about an op gfs run 10+ days out, that's for sure.

Chicago is bound to get something soon.

I noticed that. Will worry about that when the time comes, but a muted southeast ridge could be a good thing for those in the north, including snow starved new England. But that's so far in the future and there's a ton more cold coming, so I'll believe any big time warmup when I see it. We've been getting daily mood flakes and dustings that sublimate so the ground has remained mostly bare so its really frozen solid. Finally have some synoptic snow coming so took the Christmas decorations down outside and couldn't get a few of the stakes out of the ground lol.

Finally looking good for some synoptic snow here. Should see 2 inches or so Friday, more lake showers saturday, then a clipper Monday. Will be nice to lay down a blanket of snow onto the frozen ground as these daily mood flakes and dustings sublimate quickly in the cold dry air.

The clipper signal for Monday has been on the models/ensembles for days now, but qpf nothing crazy. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.

Midatlantic had no winter til yesterday lol

Definitely sublimation. We've seen it all week long with dusting that mostly disappear on the frozen ground.

This line always cracks me up too. I mean, it was kind of true last year, but no other year have I seen it like that. Cold and dry is still winter. Milder wet heavy snowstorms are still winter. At least IMO. It may not be the perfect winter, but its still winter.

I never understand the competition aspect of things, especially when areas that get way less snow than I do cash in. Its in a weather weenies blood i guess, but why would I worry about what someone else is getting? Do I worry about their weather when Im getting snow? No.

Actually some sun today. Dusted up 0.1" of snow yesterday, 0.8" on the month and 6.3" on season but its all lake dust that sublimates like crazy. Ground is rock hard frozen. Absolutely thrilled at the prospect of some synoptic snow Friday.

Just trying to give you a heads up, again I know you arent from the area. but if you want to just ride the "nothing will change" card, thats cool too.

Some of the positives of the projected pattern change. A much colder Canada (and a warming southern US) will likely produce a more traditional La Nina pattern. Its easy to forget as its cold out, but Canada is actually unseasonably warm right now. This would likely give a much more active northern stream and possibly even a Nina gradient, which can be a real treat. Often a storm tracking too far to your N & W will happen, but the pattern is so active you chalk up the L and wait for the next one. I can assure you, one rogue snowstorm well to the south in an otherwise sea of zzzzs with frozen, bare ground dominating the north is NOT a traditional Nina.

Welcoming a pattern shift, a more active northern stream, and a more traditional Nina with OPEN ARMS. Im sure many other of my fellow northern posters are as well. In the last 40 days, Detroit has seen snowflakes fall on 25 of the 40 days, totaling 5.8". This is what a cold/dry pattern gives you in the southern Lakes outside the snowbelt.

i always root for anything to benefit us. I dont really care about the northeast unless it affects us directly. Most of the east coast has been in a far worse snow drought than us the last several years. The glory days when the lower Great Lakes and northeast were getting season after season of above to well average snowfall and it was always "f*ck boston" and stuff like that is now about a decade removed. Just. Give. Me. Accumulating. Snow.

Since November, Detroit had had 15 days with a T of snow on the ground and 8 days with 1", and no days with 2"+. If we can score 2"+ this weekend id be thrilled.