ValpoVike

Well, bummer! On the bright side - you may actually see snow in Ohio

It has been the second weird summer monsoon in a row....where up here we are hoping for only light rain, showers or storms have been coming several times a week, and the grasses are still green. While elsewhere outside of certain spots in the foothills could use as much rain as possible. The exact same thing happened last year.

Yes, thankfully. Up here we had a nice hour or two of light showers which had no impact on the burn scars.

I just logged .57” in 17 minutes. It was insane. I even had a mini landslide on my driveway.

The atmosphere is remarkably juicy this morning. My dewpoint is at 56 which is an oddity at this elevation. Today definitely has potential to be bad for those near or downstream from the burn scars.

It turns out that yesterday was indeed too much rain for the burn scars, especially the CP scar. Two people lost their lives in the Buckhorn area. In my neighborhood those along the Miller Fork were flooded.

So far, it has been a successful monsoon season in Central Larimer county. Today may be a bit too terrific for the burn scars, but we'll see...

Finally some sensible weather today. Sitting at 74 currently, while Saturday never achieved more than low 60s and I don’t believe it got out of the 50s on Sunday.the moisture has been very welcome though.

Radar estimates from NWS were 0.6" on the cell between GH and Poudre. This was over a drainage that was completely burned in CP, and last summer this amount of precip would have caused signicant flash flooding in my neighborhood. No impact at all from Friday's deluge, which is very good to see. Perhaps last year's aerial seeding is proving to be of benefit for the Poudre and GH/Drake areas where they got hammered with FF's during monsoon last summer...and especially on the Poudre where there was loss of life from a burn scar runoff event.

Wow, what an awesome lightning show last night. It started around sunset with intense lightning visible from up here down around Loveland, and then a cell popped between Glen Haven and the Poudre Canyon that lit up the sky at least until midnight when I finally fell asleep. I haven't had that much fun storm watching in a long time.

Is that Cameron Pass? All of the smoke, including smell, from Arizona yesterday had many up here on edge. It was nothing of course, but indeed a good reminder to those up in the mountains that summer is here and to be careful.

In Germany on a work trip, but wife sent pics of snow!!?? What the heck...

Crazy how fast it melts in May. A few years ago we received 44” on May 19th and by the end of the following day it was all gone and 75 degrees

It is a challenge to estimate this snowfall, but I think we likely received 16”. Although the most depth that I measured was 9.5”. Good accumulation Thursday overnight that melted…more on Friday that melted…and a very decent amount last night. I think my 6500’ call was busted. edit: my weather station logged 1.51” precip since Thursday.

I am around 5", but it has been holding there since about 8am. It seems like the rate of snowfall is matching the rate of melting.

Does anyone have access to Euro Kuchera data? It looks like GFS is around 12:1 ratio and I am interested in seeing what the Euro says. I think 12:1 is quite generous.

Ha! The NWS is doubling down on my 6500' call Key Messages ➔ Red Flag Warning in effect today ➔ Significant heavy, wet snow Fri-Sat. ➔ Most confident in heavy wet snow above 6,500 ft elevation ➔ Much uncertainty remains for elevations below 6,500 ft in terms of snow accumulation

7300'

I called 6500' in an earlier thread this week. Sticking with it

I am watching Friday closely. I tend to get a bit excited when I see this kind of upslope scenario especially in May. Up here we have had some huge May storms with this set up.

I agree on the eclipse, it was spectacular. I got a really great time lapse of it, but sadly the video file is much too large to post here.

I think it is unlikely. Probably not an issue until around 6500 ft. But anything can happen.

Two of our Firefighters from our small volunteer dept are down there working it as members of the Alpine Hotshots. Lots of good professionals all around I am sure. Unfortunately I think this is going to be all too common in the coming months across this sub forum.

Sorry to hear this man. I totally understand what you are going thru...been there. A threatening wildfire is huge stress, but a long duration threat is a whole different level of stress. I had Cameron Peak fire two years ago hang in the mountains to our west for 3 months before it roared down. Thankfully it all worked out and no personal damage, but the stress of potentially losing a cherished home is intense...almost PTSD level. Hang in there and know that there are a lot of very dedicated professionals doing all that they safely can. EDIT: Also the biggest thing your family can do (if you can still access the property) is to mitigate around the home. Take out any trees near the house, cut down any grass, and remove plants from around the home. Also, clear the immediate area around the home of anything that can burn (furniture, firewood, junk, etc). This really made a difference in our neighborhood, where fire blackened all around many homes but they didn't burn due to successful mitigation.

I logged .44" overnight. The interesting thing is that I missed the snow line somewhere between 100'-200'. My neighbors above me had a decent coating this morning, while I had wet yard and deck. I'll take the moisture any way I can get it though. For the storm next week mentioned above, the plains amounts seem crazy high, but perhaps the amounts in the higher elevations are not too crazy. The Euro has a similar look, albeit slightly lower in the mountains and a lot lower in the plains...especially along and south of the WY border. Will be interesting to look at this again late in the week to see if it holds...we can get some impressive snows in early May, but temps are a real tricky thing.