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ValpoVike

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Everything posted by ValpoVike

  1. Estes is in a bowl shaped valley. There are no hotels nearby in any direction, so you are probably as close as you can get without sleeping in a car . Sometimes that little bowl makes a small difference, sometimes no effect.
  2. The para has been looking really weird for the past couple of runs. For example, going from Boulder up to Nederland the QPF actually drops with elevation. Generally a similar look up and down the front range. Odd. Maybe not as juicy column?
  3. Here is a link to a weather station and webcam from one of my neighbors, north of Estes Park by about 8 miles and in a prime spot to perform in this storm. A bit foggy currently. http://www.retreatweather.com/West-Image.php
  4. Tiny little mood flakes, but starting to pick up. Got a giant pot of chili on the burner, and prepped for the long haul
  5. With the way most of the models are trending this morning, I think a shot at 45-48". Especially north of town where elevations are about 8000'.
  6. Very thick fog up here. I live on a steep sloping hill side, and cannot see the bottom of my property which is about 300' down. Definitely getting moist out there.
  7. Even the 3km NAM is getting wetter. About the same increase for FoCo and the Larimer foothills, but holding steady south.
  8. 12z HRRR is ticking up for Denver and points north by an additional .5", and an additional 1" in the foothills. Does anyone have any ideas on why the Para GFS is outputting lower QPF in the foothills than those down along the urban corridor? Quite odd.
  9. Welcome to EP. Yes the fog has been thick since yesterday afternoon. Which hotel did you choose? Hint: Claire's downtown or the Notchtop have the best breakfasts :).
  10. It looks like the drug dealer came back to visit the GFS again... 18z Larimer county is again off the charts compared to 12z. Back to the old look of ~9". Fun to dream about, but I'll take half that (what is in the para) and be super happy and call it a day.
  11. Be sure to get food, or stay very close to downtown. I wouldn't want to walk or drive this weekend. None of the hotels have restaurants except the Stanley, but rooms there are $$$$. But it has a big tie into The Shining, which may be a good mood setter for an epic snowstorm. Let's avoid more in the thread, and PM if you have questions.
  12. I live just outside of Estes. It is about 1:30 in normal traffic. You should be able to get back down the canyon by Tuesday morning I would estimate. Edit- you will lose cell btwn Lyons and Estes Park. Solid no signal for that stretch.
  13. It's still simply insane in southern Larimer with 9"+ around the Estes valley. I really don't know what to think, so many times do you see fantasy numbers but they almost always resolve over time. The GFS just seems to be going increasingly bonkers. Chinook, what does your met insight say?
  14. For the past couple of days it has been consistent that if you want the maxima you should plan somewhere along Peak-to-Peak highway between Nederland and Estes Park. Allenspark looks really good, but this time of year not too many places to stay. Estes Park has a lot of hotels, along with great views, so that might work best for you.
  15. I live in an area that was severely impacted from Cameron Peak, and property owners have been actively working to remove debris from the streams and drainages. But, yeah there is concern.
  16. WPC seems to be placing their bets on a more southerly track. 72hr probs of >30" thru 12z Sunday looks a lot like the GFS QPF maps in terms of location. The light blue is 50-60% prob, which is crazy.
  17. Well, 00z juiced up again. Even the para.
  18. I haven't had a chance to really look at it, but it appears that the Euro is not as deep. Even Wyoming is lower.
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