pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Not tryin to be a d!ck....just sayin...the limb was a rather large one to go out on.....that's all..
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Not sure if any were buyin into the early week mauler, as the pattern has been and looks progressive until later next week. Then we have a legit window of opportunity for something to come at/under us, and not be a post frontal pop. and even then if one believes an op run, we scorch again before the mauler i shared above takes a run at us.
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Good guess or logical climo one?? That's like saying I think I'll need to pee after a 6 pack of beer.
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I love the cloudy grey days of autumn...
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If there is a simple way to underachieve, its keeping cloud cover east of the mtns. in late fall especially. I'm gonna hope for a bust, but the winds SHOULD win out eventually. Me hopes not.
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Its coming pal....KPIT is searchin for sunscreen.
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nice work. added to favorites.
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While I agree on progressive in nature, there still is troughiness showing up. Moreover, trough looking to go a bit more neg tilt on nooner GFS suggests that GFS and Euro are seeing similar trends at 500mb
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regarding the mid next week "warmup" yesterday todays look at "best" ridging prior to troughier look that happens post Turk Day.
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Yesterdays run todays run
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Going back through the last couple days....it's been showing a progressive-back n forth look until later next week when we might be on the norther side of a trough for a few days and maybe more.
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Meh. We've known midweek was going to warm. Other than the warmies....not sure how much diff there is between 60-63 for the rest of us. 12z changes are just noise at this point. If you want to discuss the weekend, the Friday trough is sliightly more deep and the ridging after, a little less ridgy. Blizz's holiday weekend cooldown still looks on target (GFS Op and Ens guidance).
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saw 28 frosty degrees just outside of town on way to work. Yesterday and today feel great. True late autumn weather and new woodstove is burning. Midweek warmup is how autumn rolls, but if the Blizz maps have any verification, it will really feel like the holiday season. I'm down w/ that.
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that sure is a nice look. Been away for a while and just getting back into the swing of things. Thanks for making my Tuesday start out well.
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Mad Elf...... Thats some badass elf beer. LOVE it.
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you make a valid point...
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Sure was. I miss bats....bigly...
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woudnt have it any other way.... Truth told, i'm headed to cabin on Monday night and have friends and my son/his friends coming up for some time afield and just being together. Seems to rain whenever we are up there for a weekend. Worse things for sure, but I'm old enough to not enjoy sitting in a treestand while raining and 40 deg. is no longer the "fun" it used to be. I'll do it, but rather begrudgingly.
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Hoping it doesnt get crazy warm..plenty of time for changes....32 op runs to view....good or bad. No matter, I just want a dry weekend. Thats all I'm asking for.
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agreed. I saw 28 3 days in a row. Thought my digital car thermometer was stuck.....lol. I'm happy to see growning season done, but more happy to see skeeters, ticks other pesty bugs dead.
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wow. Didnt realize it was that late.
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Maybe i need glasses.... yesterdays view for thursday todays view for same timestamp someone tell me what I'm not seeing?
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You'll see it in the laurels, and I'll see it in NC Pa as I'll be in the mountains much of next week. Cabin is in good spot for upslope events off the lakes. If look holds should feel like early winter....NW flow should keep that cloudy/cold look anyway (in Mtns).
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Not disagreeing w/ your assessment, but I'm just suggesting that any Op run at 7+ days needs viewed w/ a notable dose of skepticism. Thats all. Op runs still capable of notable swings at 5+ lead time. For me 5+ is almost always more Ens over Op runs and to that end, 7-10 is really my Ens window.
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YEP I liked that show. I too have some of his "quirky" tendencies.....with 1/2 the smarts.........
