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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    FWIW, GFS is a little better(thermally speaking) as well as SLP placement being a tick further E, which is now our way to salvaging some winter weather.
  2. pasnownut
    IF NAM verifies, I'd not see but a flake to 1" before brief sleet and zr. Ouch.
  3. pasnownut
    Yeah, thats what the 80% part of my statement represents.
  4. pasnownut
    I wish I didnt agree, but yeah, when taint is mentioned, it usually overpreforms 80/20.
  5. pasnownut
    I'd sign for that as well. Not a far fetched solution either. Most guidance has us safely in 3-6" ish. Throw some sleet on (wishcasting again) and dryslot us w/ a little mood flakes on tail end. Then cold comes to make it look Burle N Ives for a few weeks.
  6. pasnownut
    Yeah I think you guys are a lock, no matter what whiggle n jiggle this storm does. Were I you....i sit back, crack a Hi Life, and just wait and enjoy.
  7. pasnownut
    thats funny. I typed N Korea and China, then deleted...
  8. pasnownut
    Based on SLP path, that seems a bit surprising based on where they are in relation to SLP. I'd think CAD and antecedent cold thermals would protect them from much taint. 700's are just fine up there and I'd think if 850's erode, it'd be very short in duration. Huh. This is the only bad panel that exists on GFS for their region. Blues a plenty before and right after.
  9. pasnownut
    I'm wishing for that damn westward jog at most critical point of storm to go the hell away. In truth, I've watched a boatload of storms in my days, but this one takes the case in bouncing around. We should name it the T I double G R storm.
  10. pasnownut
    fwiw, 6z GEFS has a beauty of a 500 pass thats just slightly SE of Op. Sharing because it offers a little wiggle room (and would offer merit to further ticks SE). Thats a verbatim statement of what the model shows...not a wishcast (although in secret it really is).
  11. pasnownut
    wasnt just you. Blip on screen happened to me as well.
  12. pasnownut
    Just hope we make a game of it. We seem to be coming together at the right time. Defense really needs to show up.
  13. pasnownut
    Thank you...thank you....thank you....for keepin hope alive. RGEM just showed a nice front end thumping for many here. so why do we see this westward bump just below us? I'm thinking the 500lp is playing into it as its trying to stack, but it has been a painfully consistent feature of late. Just trying to understand whats causing it.
  14. pasnownut
    Yep, small differences, but slightly better at 500 as it ticked east at 84. surface looks a tad better than 18z as well. Still have some work to do though. I'd venture Central/Westers will approve of this run
  15. pasnownut
    Monday/Tues
  16. pasnownut
    here is what we need to overcome...
  17. pasnownut
    boy that little bit of retro action really screws our pooch.. this would suck.
  18. pasnownut
    many of my maps are stuck at 36. you on pivotal or tt
  19. pasnownut
    sure was. And what that means...dunno, but I'll take any +'s I can and at 3 days out...?
  20. pasnownut
    TT server crash imminent....
  21. pasnownut
    Precip shield notably larger/more expansive vs 18z. Looks like it took a big drink in the gulf
  22. pasnownut
    running behind you a bit, but that is a pleasant surprise for sure. Anxious to see what this may do up here.
  23. pasnownut
  24. pasnownut
    Truth told, the dude knows his shit, but gets a bit too wrapped up in himself, and it really takes away from his talent.
  25. pasnownut
    Gonna be what its gonna be....but boy can I gin up a storm like nobodys business. Or maybe its just the gin.........
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