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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Truth told, the dude knows his shit, but gets a bit too wrapped up in himself, and it really takes away from his talent.
  2. Gonna be what its gonna be....but boy can I gin up a storm like nobodys business. Or maybe its just the gin.........
  3. It only matters when his 4th guess comes out...then he says "he nailed it"
  4. at 36 slp is about 5-7....maybe 8 miles south of 18z Am I trying too hard...??
  5. I was being playful w/ my wording...reread....dont blush
  6. I can remember a few of them as a kid. They came right up into the mouth of the Chesapeake before gettin the heck outta there and scooting offshore. Boy did I leave that open to interpretation.....
  7. Guessing Canderson wont come this way for a road trip...
  8. Well lets say they both add, but one notably more than the other. Ground truth we know better than too put much weight into extrapolating the NAM, but as we are trying to connect the weather dots...we all search for clues. Guess that's one way of putting it.
  9. Smart man.... May be a rough ride and not worth the pain in the end.
  10. Yep, and as I'm looking over GFS at 700, it does do just that. Gets close to M/D line, but then scoots NE, but stays south of us. If one toggles through the track of the SLP it looks to bounce around like a yo yo. We'll find out soon enough, but seems wonky to me.
  11. GFS really wasnt too bad. Here is warmest panel when its go time up here. 700's and 850's. If were gonna pick on to hug....this is it after this panel, wraparound is lifting out and column crashes... Its a nailbiter...still (a little amish slang coming out for my Lanco crew)
  12. Nam has always had merit w/ some of us and rightfully so. ICON is purely shown for continuity....and fun. I dont know anyone in here that uses it for anymore than that. Fodder for weather chatter...
  13. Thx....but dont look at Icon...definitely a new trend...and not a good one (out to 69 anyway). 18z arent gonna make many here happy....me thinks. I hope I'm wrong. edit....I'm not wrong. 0-2 so far... almost tried to retrograde at one point. I've been preparing for a westward adjustment, but that was rather notable.
  14. yeah it SLP still dancing around a bit, but once it got to coast, it also headed straight at us. Cant deny that that trend on some guidance... I wanna toss.....but know better. Someone say we can toss it
  15. We all need to keep telling ourselves that. All this verbatim analysis is a big big part of the fun, but until we get closer....its just that...fun.
  16. IMO if we slow it down and 500 stacks....great. Column cools....we snow If we slow down and 500 doesnt capture, it tugs SLP inland screwin up your and my thermals while others are making naked snow angels much guidance has shown 500 tailing behind a bit. that worries me as inland solutions cant be discounted IMO. All the same, we are all close to something pretty nice. Anyone else have a thought/theory?
  17. best accums shifted east. Showing for trends...not forecasts. Cant believe I still need to say that....but I do...and i will. 0z nooner
  18. I'll help a bit. at 60...slp about 150 -200 SE of 0z
  19. Buddy lives outside of Phillipsburg. Yeah some real fixer uppers up there... Starts w/ a match.
  20. Time for a group model hug....K for full discosure and further elimination of any bias, ..I'll post GEPS as it comes out as well. Verbatim panel before, it heads straight at us....sees us w/ swords n shields in hand, and says...hell no..not up for that fight....and heads NW to open water (and safer space than over us).
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