pasnownut

verbatim, it has a progressive look at upper levels. Need NS to drop in a bit/lot more to tug that SS more norther. I've not been tracking it enough, but I'm guessing thats what you are thinkin?

Congrats and enjoy. Hoping for my 1/2 of the 2" that the NAM just gave me. Havent looked at weekend yet, but hoping its a legit opp.

If I said I was jealous would you believe me....

Looks like it wants to win again. Havent we seen this "look" before? Lol

NAM gets props for this one, but as Superstorm suggested, we us all of them for a blended consensus. But we've all seen this enough to know that it may crap the bed for the next one. I still like it...and this give me hope for the next time I like what it sees step on that limb once again.

Chasing snowstorms is akin to playing a roulette wheel. You pick a color, or a number, then decide how good you feel about the odds of winning....and spin the wheel. Sometimes you get a little lucky, sometimes alot....but there's ALWAYS luck involved. Watching models and weather has many similarities. Thats no discredit to red taggers or folks who know their chit...but I'd think they too would agree. Alright the NAM started to tease me a bit earlier this morning. I need a serious pack refreshing over my way....starts to stare at remaining chips.

lol. Not the first time they disappeared. They'll pop up somewhere. Many weenies will likely forget this mess and jump back on for the next one.

Please don't ever leave the board..... From what little I saw over the weekend, there was enough bouncing around w/ the SLP that "nothing was a lock". Yes, it was being shown, but at varying placements...again that had a big effect on many here. As I'm a fan of the NAM (and yes, it like the GFS saw this inland deal....there was plenty enough wiggle room out there for this to have been a bit further east which would have saved a bunch of yards. As I stated late last week, 50-75 miles either way likely affected 75% of the forum members. There should be no chest thumping by any one model, as none "nailed it"....they should just be thankful they got lucky, as it is rather rare to see a LP with dense cold established, to retro west and head straight into it. IF that HP would have stayed put just a bit longer...blah blah..., that in itself could have been enough to help nudge this east a bit more...but yeah thats wishcasting. This storm had tricks for many of us...and showed things that we don't often see (bouncing SLP's etc, and like you said, right close to go time). Many way higher in pay grade from us were challenged as well, and this one defied normal logic. Now we all clean up our scratches/bruises (LSV'rs mostly) and move onto the next one. Congrats to all that scored enough to keep it OTG. 80% or mine was gone when I left for office. 34 in Akron and 31 by the time I got to Etown. Etown looks way snowier than my casa. Next.......

Just drove into office in Etown. You look much more wintery than Akron/Ephrata. Penyrn also did. then very little left until I hit Etown. Cutoff shown was legit.

but you still got 3" and not 1.3....so pick whatever part you want to call a win. I'm sticking w/ the snow.... oh and its above freezing here now. WTG NWS...

winds really picking up here. 1 or 2 more hours before above freezing..... them COME ON DRYSLOT.... dont think I've EVER typed that before.

This has truly been a puzzling event for sure.

From what I read in from CTP we were supposed to be AOA freezing by 9 or 10 pm. For those of us that didnt get much, any more delay in getting above freezing helps to preserve what we got. Thats all I'm pulling for. We likely get there but hoping for only a few hours before column collapses and we cool off again.

surface still outta NE, and it looks to me like rotation is around VA SLP

925's are west and 850's are SE, so yeah still a matter of time till we warm, but as i said, every hour below freezing is a win and less chance of plain rain.

I'd be giddy w/ 1" of sleet on top of this.... just giddy. then dryslot and -sn for a bit to freshen up tomorrow.

Yeah that might be a bit of a stretch in numbers, but I dunno what their track/mindset was regarding this as I dont follow them. Actually my mom called and said "the weather channel said its further east"....I chuckled....told her that I was proud of her, and that I've not been following much last couple days, but that some of my fellow weather geeks suggest little to nothing here. 0z NAM has me feeling even better already. Should be able to hang onto it (thinking 2.5 to 3 ish here and currently still snowing). Hoping transition is frozen and less wet. Currently 25 here and SN/IP mix.

every hour more is a win for many

Go look at 0z NAM and how coastal is further east and not by a little bit. Surface panels look better for everyone. Central gets less taint, I get less zr/rain, and then dry slot. Diggin that literally and figuratively.

same here.. parachutes falling

Plow just came but and it’s hard to tell how much. Still snow and it’s already over preformed as what little I saw over the last couple days made it sound like I was getting nothing to very little here in the eastern LSV. taint will come. Don’t care. Just dense my pack up enough to make it hold till the next one. That’s my goal now.

Wasn’t surprised but was hoping for a closer game. Oh well. Maybe next year.

yeah we didnt waste a flake here............. Yet

Seems like that has a chance to verify...good luck.