pasnownut

lol....not surprised and dont give a shiit. I wont look anyways.... They are all guilty as charged and are hypocrites if that's the case, but im guessing they'll selectively not copy this post. I've always thought that of you, and would still be the first to buy you a beer at a bar. You and I would have great conversation and likely learn lots about "the other side". :). You do you pal.

meh....who cares. I didnt know what/where yall were talking bout as I've said numerous times, I stay in here cause I got tired of all of the MA bullsh1t. I'm w/ voyager, I dont care if your lib/trumper. That has no business here, and while I know many in our forum sit on the other side, it matters not to me. We need that for balance, as long as its done w/ mutual respect. And that's where the diff is w/ trix and the other trolls. Internet warriors scare me none in the least. They collectively puff their chests and team up cause it makes them feel big. Here's what I think of anyone like that.....

Sorry pal. I didnt mean to piss in anyone's cheerios yesterday, but what you just stated is spot on. It's really late in the game and while some tellies are suggesting more favorable looks....it's still really late in the game. As this winter has rarely had good looks, it's going to be even more difficult to shoehorn our way into a nice event as we approach EOM and early April Yep, it sure can happen but odds (especially this year IMO) are really slim. On the bright side, there is surely a window of opp that something might pop as the east looks coolish during this period.

did you guys look at where the 0z was at same timestamp? had lp over southern Ililnois. Just a wee bit bouncy eh? I'd like to see one more, and I guess enough is showing up on the models to keep an eye on it. AO and NAO are now progged to be slightly - which opens the door for this EOM chance at something. Only reminder is that for an event in this timeframe, we REALLY need anomalous departures to get anything of substance down at this latitude. Winter is retreating steadily N, and snow w/ wet grass....meh...but I'll be glad to watch it one more time as the pos takaway is that its only 7 months till we can see it again. I hope you remaining snowhounds can get one more good one here for us. Sleds will be put to bed this weekend, and Harley is now back in garage. I guess I'm just over this dud of a winter.

largely fits the pattern right now. AO/NAO raging + tell the tale IMO and has they head down twds the eom, a +1 deviation for both will make it tough outside of a perfectly timed event (and I think we just used that chip up this weekend).

Not very thick IMO....

Morning gang. Closing in on 6” here in houtzdale. Enjoy the storm. Headed for pheasants.

what you dont get in qpf....you make up for in ratios...and your's will be easier to clean up.

Now we should feel better about this thing coming. My concerns of it headed back NW are shot in the arse...and I'm happy for it. I'm out for the weekend. Enjoy whatever we get. Looks like a good thump here.

thats not a great look for us down here. I'm sure we'd take, but SE looks dryish. Dont shoot me, but its an underlying fear for tonights runs (I wont be here, so thats why i said it as I'm about to check out for the weekend) .

In a progressive base state this is a good event IMO. Need more things to happen to get a stall and those cards just arent on the table here as NAO is heading further + and events like this can happen on bookends of such episodes. Signs of it headed twds neutral around April fools day, so maybe Mo nature could make fools of us winters largely over after this weekend folks.

No HP anchored....so NO brakes..... Sorry, but what we are seeing now is really best case IMO. Trough axis is decent, but lack of HP, progressive theme all keep this one from being much more than it currently is being depicted. That aside, its a potentially nice widespread event that I'd take all day and every day.

this may help, but as Mag just suggested, its scootin right along, so deformation bands would likely be short lived, and IMO best in the Poconos where elevation and dynamics could squeeze a bit more white gold out.

was mentioned on morning disco. Yeah, this would be a nice way to close the books for some. Not likely for us as its pretty paltry w/ qpf and would favor norther/westers. By the time it gets here its drier than a popcorn fart.

If HH runs continue the theme, I'd think so, even with any shift back NW, it looks like we are soundly in the game. Low end warning criteria is welcome when we've had what we've had to date. Even if goonie numbers start popping back on NAM and we get all giddy at HH, were all seasoned enough to not buy into any 12+ totals as one knows to take that times .6 for a more realistic number.

I wouldn't be too worried yet. There is the inevitable north shift that will likely come at Happy Hour or overnight runs. At the minimum a widespread event for many/most to get something is still in play.

Blizz, while we all may enjoy the event, this storm is for you. You did a great job of keeping hope alive. Now that this one is getting close and can see the runway lights...I'm hoping it doesnt crash while landing.

LOL. Nice to see us getting one while the last legit window is still open.

that was my worry from the night before. I think I suggested Slushballs... 18z NAM?? from evening prior went NW w/ best precip and that sent up my caution flag. Seems like as soon as 1 does that, the NW thingy ends up verifying.. It seems to be the LSV's Kryptonite.

Mind you, with the GFS, you needed to zoom in to call it an improvement, but when on the weather fence, one has to do such things to get their precious snow.... That's me being a full blown starved snow hound tho. No fogged glasses, just searchin for scraps.

If you zoom into the NE you'll note it came SE down around the M/D line and points south. Likely a byproduct of the slp being a tad SE of 6z and precip panels adjusted accordingly. This is why I look at the snow panels as they show a rough blend of thermal profiles, precip and even forcing in frozen and non frozen varieties. Not for the perty colors. Really wouldnt take much to get us in the game down here. Gonna be close either way.

i was looking at TT panels and saw a slight adjustment SE. 3k is money (if one believes it at this juncture.) A compromise of the 2 is a CTP beatdown for sure.

GFS ticked a bit better for LSV. Holds serve for CTP shellackin...

Yeah I saw it. It would really be ironic to likely end the snow season with a well timed and nicely placed event that is being shown. It's what we waited for all winter, and Mo Nature throws us a bone for the last hurrah.

Yeah it's got many troll lines out, and I'm sure many wanna bite. Still on sidelines down here, but it was a step in the right direction with time left for another bump or 2. Hmmmmm...