pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Looks like some globals are trying to do a repeat of last system and pops a trailing vort. Here's to atmospheric memory...lol
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-10 approx 3 miles east of Mt. Joy Twnshp building on way into office (approx 4-5 miles east of Elizabethtown. Timestamp was 7:20 am Pic of car thermo on phone for proof, but too big to post.
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As 99% of my time is spent in our thread, i just checked enso update, and am glad to see that the influence cont8unues to be rather muted. IMO it give us a better chance when AO/NAO/PNA/EPO are in workable phases. Looking like a relaxation is looming twds EOM, but nowhere close to writing Feb off as we'll need to see what the base state looks like in the next week or so. Till then...enjoy deep winter gang.
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FYI down to flurries here.
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Yeah I agree. While I love the hunt, I really love the snow more. Done this for too long and at some point ya just gotta let it b what it’s gonna b and stop obsessing over qpf outputs. We’ve been jipped a plenty down here so it’s nice to see one come in pretty much as advertised.
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On n off mod bursts. If we can get 1” addl we should get rather close to nws call. im happy if we don’t. Nice event. didn’t look at models all day. Just enjoyed the view.
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Back poor h looks like a solid 6” will measure after game. fyi. Busch light is great for sore throat pain n fighting something. Kill it from the inside.
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Still rippin here. Well done NWS. yes..I said it!
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Wasn’t he complaining a bit ago? Hehe
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Agreed. Just a beauty here. enjoy to all. go birds!!
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1” otg in new holland. I’m seeing a couple clients and surprised at roads. Plows down. Slippy as hell. 2 of our cabin crew may need to stay and plow and salt before leaving tonight.
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yeah, thats gonna be a dandy to watch evolve. Reel it in for us.
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I'm checkin out as i've gotta get work done before headed north. I wish you all SNOW! upon SNOW!! upon SNOW!!! C ya sun/mon.
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another upside (as we still think of how things can/and do go wrong), is that this one is forming on a formidable artcic press that has been long modeled, so the chance for the to taint is like zero %. Only real way it can go poof would be only as a result of cold press coming quicker, which like never happens. Just something to chew on as well as your sammy.
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Yeah, as it forms on the arctic boundary, it's a better solution as dynamically its got a little more fireworks to play with. Based on spacing, IMO, there isnt much more it can do for us, as the flow is still progressive and pos tilt will limit top end, but 2-4 or 3-5" is just fine w/ many of us.
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as i'm headed to the cabin tonight, I fully expect you guys to bring this one home for us. We ARE due!!
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MA forum hijacked as they didnt wanna share.... They ARE like that (well were when i used to contribute down there).
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As I just stated in last post, you'll see it "coming around" to the CMC/RGEM ish looks. As you know, we're just looking for continuity and it adds to the "it might be a snowy Sunday" chatter here in SE 1/3 of Pa. Fun for the game as well.
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and if one toggles through last 3 runs of GFS at same timestamp, you'll see it trending the way we want it, as it ticks NW. Thats not wishcasting (although i wanna believe), but fact. What happens in the end....we'll find out in abt 80 hrs.
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GFS notably more amped at 72. Looks better. Not there yet.
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and after next week, even I may enjoy a thaw later in Jan/early Feb (knowing that winter sometimes comes back with a vengeance) after.
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RGEM is really a best case scenario for the LSV'rs SE 1/3 of PA crew. Blows up early enough and far enough SW of us to get into some appreciable snows. with the ICON on board what can go wrong. Biggest GFS run incoming since the last one....6 hrs ago.
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light pixie dust fallin here in Etown.
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Not sure i agree. 6z GFS quite similar at same timestamp. Next 2 panels is where n when the action happens - or doesnt.
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Happy to see the continuation of something poppin on all of the big dogs. Only worry I have (and Mitch) is that term "atmoshperic memory" and we see similarities of recent looks showing up today. Could find ourselves too far N once again, but I'm feeling a bit better about this next period over the last one.
