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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    Yeah, really like that look. Nice start to the day eh? edit: entire state would like that look as 80 northers get some action verbatim
  2. pasnownut
    2nd place in eastern pa never felt so good. north trends seem to continue. Gnight all.
  3. pasnownut
    I was just gettin ready to say something along the lines of "havent we done this before"...like last week :). Stay put bud. I think you'll be fine right where you are. Not saying we jackpot, but definately plenty enough to sit tight and enjoy.
  4. pasnownut
    While GFS has been less than stellar, I still look for trends/similarities, and 0z just made a rather notable move N w/ qpf well into pa. toggle back from last few runs and quite the bump north. SLP pops about 150-200 miles N of HH run. I'll absolutely take this as a good sign.
  5. pasnownut
    extrapolate a will pal....
  6. pasnownut
    based on setup/evolution, I feel pretty good about at least warning level for southers, w/ I80 still well in the game for something notable. This setup isnt so much slp placement as much as baroclinic zone and max forcing in between NS/SS. While 700's frontogenic still well south of us, euro was gettin close enough to raise ones eyebrow. IMO this is a tad more simple to watch vs miller a, as trough axis isnt really in play as much as forcing and where best lift sets up. Thats how i see it anyways.
  7. pasnownut
    yep it looked strung out, and it left some energy behind at 12z, so hopefully just GFS doing its thing. As you suggested and I alluded to at lunchtime, I'm looking for trends and consistency, and north/west has been the trend of the day. Hoping we can continue that at 0z's
  8. pasnownut
    HH GFS joins the maybe it snows in CTP party. Sorta wonky evolution, but it gets snow here.
  9. pasnownut
    GFS....yeah you can laugh at that one CMC qpf distribution sounds close to euro AI??? Huhh Regardless...plenty of time for changes that will happen, for better or worse.
  10. pasnownut
    cliff notes/summary please?
  11. pasnownut
    Yeah based on 500mb flow, safe or too safe is more likely for this one. I 80 souther special in the makings with northers still getting warning level. Only about 19 more model runs to go....lol
  12. pasnownut
    sounds north of 6z and in line w/ nooner trends...agreed?
  13. pasnownut
    just told co workers to be on the lookout for a potential event this weekend and one gal told me she heard 11-15" already being posted. Friggin clickbait "artists"
  14. pasnownut
    I wonder how much potential weighs? Cause there sure is a lot of it looming in the foreseeable future.
  15. pasnownut
    If anyone wants a flush hit from the GFS, 312 should make them giddy. Hate that I have to say it, but we are just having fun while eyein the prize. No "its happening", till....its happening.
  16. pasnownut
    No matter how it shakes down, this looks like a rather awesome stretch of winter coming up. In the infamous words of Mr. Bob Ross..... "think happy thoughts" Feel bad for my son as he'll be plowing lots of snow if the trends keep up.
  17. pasnownut
    Nice.
  18. pasnownut
    CMC warnin level 80South.
  19. pasnownut
    oh, and verbatim, I80 South 30hrs of snow. As shown, I'd sign, even knowing there in notably more for the winners. good trends for this 6hr episode of modelwatchology.
  20. pasnownut
    yeah its giving the MA forum one rather large pants tent right now.
  21. pasnownut
    CMC is 1 tick away from a BOMB. LOVE that move. This IS my kinda chess baby. QPF shield WAY north and CTP gets closer to a beatdown
  22. pasnownut
    Or it creates a powder bomb. I know youre snakebit, but waayyyy tooo early to debbie this deal.
  23. pasnownut
    also energy left behind. Need to see what else it has cookin.
  24. pasnownut
    @138 GFS slp about 200-250 WNW of 6z. I'm ok w/ that move. Thats 2 +'s so far.
  25. pasnownut
    Yep, legit concern. Just remember that things usually tick north and west of late as we close in, so keep in mind when we are sniffin cirrus on models. Cold is more stable, so it gives added credence to the worry tho.
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