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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. yeah its a bit north, but trough axis still has me a bit worried.
  2. only concerns we have in eastern lanco are from rain runoff refreeze. That's it.
  3. blizz of 16 on a wed/thurs. Wont be too picky on the day, cause I'm easy like that.
  4. If it hits...I think you just "nam"ed it..... the verbatim storm.
  5. that "stuff" to our WNW might actually survive down this way...me hopes.
  6. Nice catch. Didnt look over ens,..call me snakebit...
  7. Friday flight makes it a win win....just sayin...
  8. as soon as HIA can get plows out....sorry Pa, just havin fun at your expense.
  9. GFS, trough too pos. tilted...scootin ots. Euro is slower which give the SLP time to climb the slightly more neg tilted trough and slow also means time to dig.. You saw the results above...
  10. Just said the same thing....lol. We'd miss you pa....really
  11. On the other hand....how much do you really like Florida??
  12. GFS looked more progressive w/ upper levels, but as trainer said, it all players are there. Huh...after yesterdays miss, I''m moderately intrigued already.
  13. at 108 I'd say its taking a step closer from 0z. GFS not too dissimilar so...alrighty then. Maybe this has legs...or feet, like feet of snow.
  14. Sure hope this one works, but we often fail when waiting for cold down here. Just doing a little "mental preppin" over here. Boundary stalls at all, and you'll get my winnings...hehe. Timing is everything w/ this one.
  15. verbatim, it has a progressive look at upper levels. Need NS to drop in a bit/lot more to tug that SS more norther. I've not been tracking it enough, but I'm guessing thats what you are thinkin?
  16. Congrats and enjoy. Hoping for my 1/2 of the 2" that the NAM just gave me. Havent looked at weekend yet, but hoping its a legit opp.
  17. If I said I was jealous would you believe me....
  18. Looks like it wants to win again. Havent we seen this "look" before? Lol
  19. NAM gets props for this one, but as Superstorm suggested, we us all of them for a blended consensus. But we've all seen this enough to know that it may crap the bed for the next one. I still like it...and this give me hope for the next time I like what it sees step on that limb once again.
  20. Chasing snowstorms is akin to playing a roulette wheel. You pick a color, or a number, then decide how good you feel about the odds of winning....and spin the wheel. Sometimes you get a little lucky, sometimes alot....but there's ALWAYS luck involved. Watching models and weather has many similarities. Thats no discredit to red taggers or folks who know their chit...but I'd think they too would agree. Alright the NAM started to tease me a bit earlier this morning. I need a serious pack refreshing over my way....starts to stare at remaining chips.
  21. lol. Not the first time they disappeared. They'll pop up somewhere. Many weenies will likely forget this mess and jump back on for the next one.
  22. Please don't ever leave the board..... From what little I saw over the weekend, there was enough bouncing around w/ the SLP that "nothing was a lock". Yes, it was being shown, but at varying placements...again that had a big effect on many here. As I'm a fan of the NAM (and yes, it like the GFS saw this inland deal....there was plenty enough wiggle room out there for this to have been a bit further east which would have saved a bunch of yards. As I stated late last week, 50-75 miles either way likely affected 75% of the forum members. There should be no chest thumping by any one model, as none "nailed it"....they should just be thankful they got lucky, as it is rather rare to see a LP with dense cold established, to retro west and head straight into it. IF that HP would have stayed put just a bit longer...blah blah..., that in itself could have been enough to help nudge this east a bit more...but yeah thats wishcasting. This storm had tricks for many of us...and showed things that we don't often see (bouncing SLP's etc, and like you said, right close to go time). Many way higher in pay grade from us were challenged as well, and this one defied normal logic. Now we all clean up our scratches/bruises (LSV'rs mostly) and move onto the next one. Congrats to all that scored enough to keep it OTG. 80% or mine was gone when I left for office. 34 in Akron and 31 by the time I got to Etown. Etown looks way snowier than my casa. Next.......
  23. Just drove into office in Etown. You look much more wintery than Akron/Ephrata. Penyrn also did. then very little left until I hit Etown. Cutoff shown was legit.
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