pasnownut

13 at my casa in brownville... That's still plenty cold for me. I'll leave the jostling for position on the cold board to you norther/westers. Have at it ya whackos.. Truth told cold isnt bothering me nearly as much as the last couple years, so I'll just enjoy it....especially if the Tuesday deal can work out for us. GFS still says keep an eye on it. ICON not far from something either..CMC came on board w/ the idea as well. I think via surface panels, they are understating the cold, as you look at 700/850's, we should be ok. Oh, and just for fun, go look at the 384 GFS. That's one hellava frontal boundary. Even though it likely changes a bunch ot time, thats impressive to see a 1055HP. TGIF.

I like the logic....really do. Now just go tweak the models a bit.... It would be nice to get an ol fashioned "surprise" snowfall.

lol. Step away from the ledge....its just weather.... Not every year is an easy one.

Place your bets..... GFS - close enough to throw down some house money.... Euro - taps table

We can lock that one in I'm sure.... Starting to look like a year where clean n simple aint gonna work...gonna need to get creative w/ shoehorns n curveballs to get it done. Ughh

LOL. Thanks for the read.

CMC wants none of what the GFS is tokin on. SE slider theme continues if correct.

Was just at a clients in Lawn (yes, that's the town...no typo) and its almost snowglobish out there. I'll drive slowly on way home, so I get my snow fix in. Nooner GFS looks decentish for Tues. A little diff in how it gets there, but it gets snow up here. Hoping the SS SLP can keep its act together. You can see it pop off VA coast, but still has a progressive NS and it scoots NE from there. ENS not really seeing what the Op sees, so keep that in back of your mind as we "track" this one. I'd say it presents more like an overrunning deal. We'll see, but some of us don't really care if maps look perfect....we just want snow, so I'll take it.

I'm older than you pal......I'm just good...(kiddin)

Icon is getting closer for next Tues. NS got way out in front, and its now riding the boundary..but its close enough to add to the "watch list". Would be great to see the GFS hold its look. We'll know in a bit.

NWS can say they verified.....lol Very nice.....very jealous. Enjoy

Yup. Might even go in the books at .something ....lol

Hey....it's your turn....Mo nature just leveling the distribution out a bit. Looks perty out the window. You'll like the look when you get home. I'm just hoping for white when I get home.....any white.

parking lot getting white here #caving...lol Snowing nicely here in downtown Etown. Yeah Tuesday sure isnt oozing potential, but NS/SS vorts seem to be close enough to watch (a la GFS). That could easily fade (like Icon/Euro already think). Just putting a little faith in the model that seems to have a decent nose to sniff em out this year and that look sorta fits the pattern.

Not the first time we've seen the transition be a little late...is it? lol It was a concern from early on, and set my expectations accordingly, but put my hopes in CTP seeing something I/we didn't w/ column being cooled sufficiently would work out. NBD....onto the next one...whenever that is. (still hoping Tuesday comes around).

Driving into office I saw mashed taters in Akron, to all snow in Lititz to starting to slush up in Manheim, to getting white and roads caving in Etown (slushy kinda caving). I share that because its basically a East to West drive in Lanco and shows the difference in what 25 miles can do w/ what one sees. I see it ALL THE TIME. I'd bet I barely get white as the transition likely started too late. Etown will be the winner again. 35 in Akron to 31 by the time I got to Etown.

ICON looks similar to GEM. Worlds apart. Euro not interested either, but lets see if the GFS is sniffing out the next one like it has been.

First flakes mixing here in Akron. For all that are in this one...enjoy!

light rain here, but gotta be close to the changover. They are 16 minutes late.. All good.. Still think next Tuesday needs watched. Couple models showing the NS/SS vorts and GFS shows them working together a bit more once again. CMC and ICON are too far apart.

Just read CTP's disco, and they also are not worried about losing much to boundary layer issues, as the cold is pressing and should cool column sufficiently. Hope thats the case. I'll be happy w/ 2 or 3, and just want it to stick around. HH for next tues. looked a bit more strung out, but still plenty of time for that one.

As suggested upon perusing the GFS, this might be the next one to hope for. Better look and interaction between NS and SS. Verbatim, 500's say come on up and visit Pa on your way through. Since both big boys have it....keep an eye on it.

Yeah pattern looks less boring, but now timing seems to be the challenge. Glad to see the cold doesnt overwhelm for long. Hope we have stuff to track by the weekend. I'm looking forward to cutting firewood in the snow Saturday.

That one might be our next shot at something decent. NS and SS almost did it but not sure were gonna slow the NS down at that timestamp. Quicker ejection from SS could do it though, but thats just wishcasting.

Tries to laugh.....but cries instead.

yeah if i were you I'd look for the Buy It Now option....