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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Hopefully we'll have a couple reasons to celebrate around happy hour time. BTW, ICON and CMC have midweek threat looming. This IS our best chance at cold, so lets hope for the storms to continually creep north as the events get closer. Thats been e consistent play so far so lets not try to break the hot hand now that the cold press may be able to help....right?
  2. which is more than Lanco, which will make this likely verify....I'm making the BOLD call now.
  3. check out the 186 hr panel then toggle back 6-8 runs (if you want a good laugh). Fret not bud. This could still end up in Cuba or Chicago if one puts faith in mid/lr GFS. Still looks like colder press looming, and as we've seen the WAR winning the winter war, that could create some fun if/when the GFS moderates the cold dome and we end up north enough of the boundary for colder sides of southern sliders (again if anyone believes we are headed into a period of suppression) -till that 300+ cutter locks in and slams Ottawa
  4. My parents live off 72 near Mt Gretna, and they had a solid 3". I tried to use their 5hp snowblower, but it clogged constantly. MHS had a solid 2 to 2.5 By the time i got home, barely an inch here in Akron. No shoveling needed at all. Just some slush in spots on driveway. What a diff a 15 mile drive made. Edit....just saw the totals above...glad they agreed with me
  5. Yep, that RGEM map I posted a while ago might have a little merit. Snow once again picking up in Etown. and 10 min later....stopped. lol
  6. Yeah, I shoulda stated for us LSV'rs. IMO you central/norther folk really were locked into 3-6" for quite a while, so no surprises there IMO.
  7. my RGEM comment was also based on r/s line and not actual IMBY snow amounts. almost everyone busted there, but as bubbles stated, the RGEM caught onto something late, but GFS led the pack in being steady and close to who got wet and who got white. I dont put much faith in snow maps (although I do enjoy looking at them).
  8. same here in Etown. Havent been out to see if pingers are involved, and snows too deep to see it bouncing off stuff
  9. Heres my beloved NAM from last evening. Solid bust to the s/se sides and we may have a little more snow left to come. IMO the GFS did a decent job w/ r/s (like RGEM), but I've not seen a map posted that looks really close down our way. Guess that add's to the blended approach that we sometimes need to take.
  10. Not good. Now light snow and I'd say 1.75" if I were a to throw a guess out there.
  11. Thats what I was thinking also. I'd think you're right.
  12. If the RGEM stays on point w/ this lower LSV special, I'll pay more attention to it moving forward.....promise.
  13. Still mod snow in Etown. Closing in on 1.5. NWS said 1-2 so nice job.
  14. Dare I say I agree. It has done pretty well wrt how this has unfolded. That's good, cause the 12z says, lots more model watching to come in the next couple weeks. Not a fabulous look, but enough cold and storms looming that we should be able to have a couple more chances.
  15. While they struggled with this event, they nailed one earlier this season, so I'd say the takeaway is that models are just that...models, and we use accordingly and blend our own logic/consensus and go from there knowing bias/variables/tendencies thereof. That IS part of the fun of this sport.
  16. closing in on 1" here in etown. Heavy snow. already a winner for me.
  17. Mod snow in ETown. All white. All caved. Cant wait to drive to MHS to see a client later on.
  18. Its a wise move in challenging years. I've done the same but many here spend a lot of time all year and have a rather balanced perspective all year round. It was unhealthy for me a couple times in the past, and I too have adjusted my perspective and feel much better about "wasting time for snow". Hope your kids get to make a snowball today.
  19. steady light snow in ETown. Small but steay. Fringes starting to cave.
  20. But as you know, many in here (maybe you as well) have been searching for the next big one since 2016, and some of us have had VERY little ROI on that investment. I think you understand my point without further disco.
  21. I think we all know there are far more important things to worry about in life, but for a serious snow weenie/weather enthusiast that takes a lot of time in search of, its not unfair for some of us to get a little testy when peeps come in and slap us in a "moment of weaknes". Feel free to post here more, and then we'll enjoy watching you take some lumps like we do. BTW its snowing almost everywhere in our forum....so all is right in the world for a little bit.
  22. and after further review ITS SNOWING!! Not a typo... Not a joke... Serious shit...
  23. I hit the like button...then pulled it as i/we DONT LIKE IT... we are next pal.
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