pasnownut

Like I've been sayin, this isnt done showing its hands....yet. 6z 12z

I cant think of any local public tennis courts that havent been converted. My wife/fam grew up playing tennis (had their own court as well), and she just played pickleball w/ her mom and brother and said she really enjoyed it. I also grew up playin tennis, so I hope to try pickleball next year. Gotta keep movin to stay young....or feel less old.

Yeah but for a couple runs the storm was taking on a stacked look and when it got close, the 700's were close to diving in on the back side. I shared a couple pics to show that, so that ya'll didnt think I was nuts or anything Verbatim it was a coulple ticks away from something salvagable for parts of our area. Obviously that changed, and still is changing.

22 for me this AM. Forecast was 28, so we can go lower than expected once in a while. Yeah, like I suggested for a little while now, this weekends event is still being sorted out. Yesterday I almost posted about the possibility of this storm ending up in CHI...and if you look at 6z...well there you go. WAY west. Thought -AO might help to suppress a bit, but NAO is heading + so that might be the more dominant feature helping to let this thing lift and not stay under us. Again, just my hunches at to whats driving the pattern and how the models respond. As always (and already alluded to), the long range looks better......

Nothing like a 300 +/- mile change in 6hrs on a storm slated for 6 days away.... Enjoy the ride gang. lmao.

39 here at the office, after a low of 18-20 depending where you are around here. Not too shabby, but like you, I dont need deep winter cold anymore....just enough to make it snow and at least feel like the time of season.

we had ours going all weekend. Was nice. yeah this weekend continues to have some challenges. 6Z GFS has primary hangin on too long and screwin up the coastal. ICON/CMC track doesnt look horrible (but stay as primary, but dont have enough cold in place. GFS Ens are notably different GEFS says forget about it, and GEPS says hold on slick.... That said, tellies seem to support a better solution, but as we know, things dont always line up like they should. One thing I'll add to any that think this a slam dunk...look at last several runs of GFS for next weekend and how notable run to run changes have been. To me that says, the models are struggling a bit to figure something out....which doesnt help us weather nerds much. I like the 10,000 ft. view and trying to guess at what could or should happen, and not just what the models show, but maybe thats just me. Happy short week all.

18-22 was the range on the drive in to work. Coldest we've seen by a good amount.

then next panel as storm is almost over philly. Again I say hmmmmmm. Not sure I'd write this off quite yet.

Self made...just like those spring 50 degree days prior to snow the next day....just sayin what the models r showing. Thermals right as storm approaches near go time.

Not sure it gets it done, but its an interesting look. Gotta run. Meat calls. later gang.

18z GFS at 108 has a cold storm and almost wants to vertically stack.....hmmmm

yeah that would suck. I'd rather suppression depression over a wet weekend.

yeah thats not good. Hard to argue about that. 540's waaayyyy too far north. IF that coastal can get cranking...and thats a big if....you'd likely see thermals trend better for NE.

agreed. Thats how I saw it. Ens didnt help much as well, so window may be narrowing a bit.

thx. just checked and nooners didnt help much. Lets see how happy the 18zs feel.

around 6. Coming off smoker now but has to rest a bit.

and like Blizz, I'm not yet ready to give away late weekend chance at some fun for some. Still enough spread that no solution is close to a lock. 6z has a better track and thermals gettin better, but still notable run to run disparities, so we have some work to do. Ens diverge a bit as well, but euro and GEPS at 500 would give better shot a colder solutions. Blizz...go get this thing for us.

Welcome to winter and snow squall season. Guess this is a good reminder that things can pop up...no matter what the radar is showing. Smoking a brisket, and yeah, its BRISK out....see what I did there... Happy Sunday funday all. Looking forward to Turk week, family, and heading to the cabin on black Friday. Hope yall have a great short week.

that sounds sexy right there....

That's definitely a plus and verbatim would argue against a cutter solution, but could support a more progressive solution (which would be ok), even if not as big and wound up like GFS Op suggests.

Nice. That map sure has "the look".

Thats been a problem of late, and w/ the varying depth of cold, as it's been bouncing around, I'm guessing this will be one of a myriad of solutions....even if its the one most here are rooting for. Need that HP to anchor to keep the wet....white.

Yeah deform bands showing up as well. rocks NC down through true central. Wowzers.

Weather weenie rule reminder...... hug the one that gives you the most snow.