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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    and furthermore on the pre christmas miracle, there are several more panels that show addl precip, and verbatim a long drawn out near nuke potential IF we can get timing a little better. But thats just chatter....unless it happens. Shouldnt you all be looking out da window at your real snow instead of digital....???? My mood is festive no matter if my ice accretion is almost gone here in Etown.
  2. pasnownut
    Just remember that you need to look at 24 hr precip panels for next week, as much of what you shared is based on current event. Precip panels where not crazy, but the potential for something notable seems to be looming for that timeframe.
  3. pasnownut
    potential sure looks to be there.
  4. pasnownut
    did not expect that to be heard this close to my hood. Nice
  5. pasnownut
    because it is norther stream energy dropping SE and pops a secondary below us. Look at 540 and you'll see that antecedent cold is deep enough and stays below us, and keep our precious column cold enough. Next panel has far SE taintin to rain for a wee bit after most precip falls as snow. Mind you thats a verbatim analysis of 1 model run thats a week out, but since its a week....and a big week....worthy of mention.
  6. pasnownut
    I know some of yas are busy flippin to snow n all...... but some of us have to move onto the next opp.....Icon sees some potential as well.
  7. pasnownut
    Better make sure your computer desk chair is comfy. Lotsa seat time coming up. Only posting for fun.....please dont plan your trips around this pic.
  8. pasnownut
    11:40 lunch run for chinese complete steady rain....34 in etown. Flip is a flop for us down here where FV3 suggested we may get it in western Lanco. Good luck to those still w/ a fightin chance. Oh well.
  9. pasnownut
    Hoping you get your changeover soon....or welcome to the club. Plenty of room on the bench for ya....
  10. pasnownut
    as per above themals, the good news is that the column while marginally so, is decent for many in sub., so dynamic cooling has a chance as better precip rates come before coastal cranks and SE winds do their thingy.
  11. pasnownut
    nooner gfs says after any brief thumpage in the next couple hours, that SLP is a wee bit N and warms us in SE 1/3 a tad more than previous run. Hoping true centrals can hang on.
  12. pasnownut
    Latest HRRRRRRRRR and FV3 mesos for any that are awaiting poss changeover/flip for a bit. surface temps 850s 700's
  13. pasnownut
    still ice on trees hangin tough here in etown as of 10:41 am.
  14. pasnownut
    Yeah thats been showing up, and it'd be nice to see down here in Lanco.
  15. pasnownut
    you are correct, they are not putting anymore $$ or upgrades into it is what I also learned.
  16. pasnownut
    Hey were all used to this down here, and I agree 100%. This IS often what winter looks like down here. Maybe just maybe next week we are staring at a decent one. Not getting my hopes up to much, but it fits the pattern. I'm also quietly nervous about it happening, cause I need to get my kid in Philly airport Christmas Eve, and wanting to see her for Christmas is my #1 ask to Santa.
  17. pasnownut
    I almost went ass over teacup on second step of my front porch. My wife LOL'd pretty good. Said we coulda made money if that was on video.
  18. pasnownut
    I did a little deeper dive on evening NAM last night regarding thermals, and I'm gonna say it looks to be holding true for my area. It showed 31 at 7 am and by god....it was 31. It also showed eeking above freezin by 9-10 am and that looks to be on track as well. Currently 32 in etown and 33 at home (as per NWS).
  19. pasnownut
    Exactly same in Akron and on way to work. Thermo stuck at 31 whole way into office. Slushy spots on roads, but everything already has a coating of ZR on it. Not expecting a flake during the changeover, but I'd be most happy to see it. For those that do changeover, wont take much to start snapping limbs, as tall shrubs were already starting to feel the weight. Not so happy about that, but its part of the game. And it's great to see next weeks potential starting to show. Enjoy the winter day all.
  20. pasnownut
    Good luck up there. I'd much rather be at the cabin in Gaines for this one, and not down here. Enjoy and please let us know how you fare.
  21. pasnownut
    White Christmas hopes are alive....but not sure if they are well. I'd sign for this right now.
  22. pasnownut
    for our area looks like 4-6 am ish
  23. pasnownut
    Nam seemed to look a bit better with early precip. I was scratching my noggin when looking at 12z seemingly hit a brick wall. If one loops it, it was noticeable. That aside, it progressed a bit more like other runs, so Im hoping it helps a bunch in here to get the ground frozen/white/skating rink....location dependent. Good luck to all that are in the warnings. I'll take my 1" and like it....
  24. pasnownut
    I saw 37 for the high between Etown and Ephrata
  25. pasnownut
    If we've got nothing else....there's always hope. While its pretty far out there to really ponder, the base state is notably colder and any warm punch would potentially be muted and this could be more of an overrunning kinda thingy that gets it white just in time for Santa. Yes, it'll likely change a bunch, but the pattern change is happening, so something to consider when thinking of any last minute requests for stocking stuffers.
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