pasnownut

lol. I fully know, and chuckled, but dont want others to think less of me than they already do.... so in fear of being cancelled...."I responded appropriately"

Oh stop....I'm not that guy..... Snowmap for period in question is fun to look at.

In the spirit of thanksgiving, feels somewhat appropriate.

posted link above. Go look at the 222 thru 240 panels on GooFuS. that should get the chatter up....for the next 6 hrs. anyway.

Happy White Friday. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=eus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2024112012&fh=222

Loonngggg duration advisory as its a 2 pronged event. thinking better chances of accums on part 2 as column would be better cooled. Just my hunch.

It's fukin awesome....

happy to see something on the doorstep for many of our CTP crew. Based on low placement and evolution of a rather unique setup, Im sticking to my 80 north n poconos special (generality - with the addition of coal country and of course tradtional LES regions that are always favored) to be seein flakeage. Guessing they are adding the skook due to elevation and second retro lp that loops over the poconos. Makes sense. Only worries to me are thermal challenges and sketchy setup w/ dual retro ULL's that are to our north, and those of us SE of the mtns, wont have elevation on our side and downsloping and all that. We all know how well clippers do down here (based on current maps/evolutio - thats the analogy that comes to mind as we look at ways to fail down here). Also happy to see things getting close enough for more fun next week n beyond. Happy to be trackin again.

I'd throw my chips on northern tier (based solely on currently depicted evolution. Screams 80 norther to me, but I've had hearing aids for 5 yrs....so theres that.

yeah, we are blessed to have one of them in our group... Some of us like Storm Mode..... Some.........Vacation Mode.

all good, and it may just go to crap....so you may get the "nailed it" comments on Friday. I'm feelin frisky today....can ya tell? Yeah, we are all overdue...specially us southers.

How dare we get excited discussing first snow chatter on a sports weather board. BTW i no longer give two sh!ts about sports talk, but when its time to chat it up a bit .....its time..... and it may just be time.

FWIW, nooner GFS not to dissimilar in it's presentation for what might be the first appreciable snowflakes for many in here.

You nailed it. I got my SUV the night before that event, and couldnt wait to try it out. Took the guys to lunch in Etown that day. The one hasnt ridden w/ me since . (in truth he hasnt, but not for my having fun driving.)

verbatim the Poconos stand best chance w/ that second ULL going retro on much of us. Not gonna dive any deeper, but their ski slopes highly approve IMO.

Your weenie may grow after taking a peek at nooner NAM. Much of state would take this for a first of season event. I80 and northers surely approve

I've been of the opinion that 1 person behind the keyboard has 3 online personalities.

I pay no attention to other Pa threads and fully know what he's done in ours. My comments are solely on that.

nah....he'll cherrypick the one spot that shows an AN departure and troll the hell outta us w/ it. Having an agenda has no boundaries. Dubois probably wont be the spot though (now....I fully expect to be trolled). Water off a ducks back to me.

Yeah, its nice to have some events to keep an eye on, no matter what the final evolution is. Troughing is trying here in the east and that in itself is a win....even if many of us still lose. Us old folk are too wise to get caught up in last nights 18z and hold onto that skinny branch.

Really starting to like the look for Turk week n beyond. Morning GFS had too much coffee n went from nothing on 18z/0z to a nice coastal for turk day. Way too much variablity to parse details, but the look from above is notably different/better than what we've been seeing for the last few months. Personally, i'm just happy to see the changes...no matter if my yard is brown, or sprinkled w/ white. Northers/westers should def see some white.

not sure if any of us are believing anything yet, but regardless, its the first legit window of the season, and as stated earlier, it has some support. That in itself is worth chatting about for us snow starved weenies. Evolution on the HH GFS verbatim is a double barrel/duel retrograding pair of ULL's so that in itself give me pause, and I'd bet little money on that being how it plays out, but that aside, the 540s are well south of what we've been used to of late, and see troughiness here in the east (transient/short lived until a potentially bigger trough delivers frozen turkey for all is a sight for sore eyes, not matter how it pans out.

retrograding ULL noted on nooner NAM's says upslope potential is real for snow belt folks. While it is NAM's at range, they also have some global support, so its surely something to watch. Only thing I worry about, it that we've been in a pattern of seeing things dry up as they transition from mid term, to near term model wise. Fun to see all the same.

yeah, I noticed it on the GFS late last week and almost called it out, but was worried it was a fluke, as I've been focused on other things. Reading Bliz/Mag's post definitely raises ones eyebrow. Nice to see ENS runs showin the good stuff w/ troughing, and hoping that the neutral ENSO mutes the SER and we aren't full blown flamethrower here in the east. PDO is and likely will always be the main driver of the tellies (winter wise...when it really counts), but fortunately there's always a few other ways to get the goods....or get screwed. We've got screwed down pat, so here's to hoping we can find our way to some fun as the season approaches.

.01 over yonder in Akron.