pasnownut

at 162 SLP went from huggin SC coast to S Ky. absolutely went towards the Euro cutter solution

axis of best accums favor TimB and Atomix. Many here taint enough to knock the pants off the totals here in the east. We also get rain. While its just one run, it trended towars Euro. Cant deny that.

at 192 wraparound continues N and NW 2/3 of state. IMO trend went twds Euro Not happy, but I do have a cocktail so I'll drink through it.

at 186 SLP due north to Tug Hill still snowing entire state. 975 mb western Pa delight verbatim

at 180 she flips to a snow bomb and western 1/3 getting raked. Atomix wholly approves in advance of seeing this. 971 mb

174 has SLP just SW of Bubblers house taint eastern 2/3

168 has much of Pa snowing lightly SLP now in southern VA. Taint enters SE 1/3 of Pa

show starts here at 162 w/ snow breaking out in S counties

162hp still parked up n but slp in Ky when 12z was in SC. Still gonna work, but steps towards Euro...me thinks.

@156 notable changes. 999mn SLP in N Ala w/ 1035 nicely located in land of Quebecians.

at 150 SLP pops on Fla Panhandle trough axis similar but a step N of 12z could it be a coastal hugger.........

at 144 500's holding back a tad (similar to Euro). caution Flag1 hoisted

at 138 SLP about 100 miles N of 12z in N texas and 1033 HP went poof in NE 540 still down thru S Va

at 126 steady as she goes. SLP in NW tip of Lone Star state. Really similar.

But how can you miss this?? lol....have a good one.

I'll help while hes pourin cocktail #....... 114 is very similar to 12z

Keep going PA....Its your snow train. Make us happy.

subtle differences but nothing much changed....so far.

ICON extrapolated is a hit Go ahead.....hit ME

Loop back through the last 4 on hour runs of both GFS and Euro Ops, and you'll see the GFS being notably more consistent. Then seeing the GEPS and GEFS looking similar up top, makes me think it has a clue to what may happen. Euro at 168 on 500mb panels is a few hundred miles W of EPS at same time stamp. That would argue for a potentially more easterly SLP placement and potentially notably different solution. I reiterate, I share what Im seeing to add substance to where my head is....and how it gets there. NOT because I think I'm correct.

Did your guy suggest why he thinks its a no go? Would be great to here why peeps think not..especially if they are correct. PNA heading + with NAO/AO still neg suggests ridging out west and trough in the east(much like todays GFS shows). Mind you im not banking on the GFS to be correct, but the presentation seems logical and "fits" in my mind. Of course that doesnt mean a storm cant cut, but thats the 10 million dollar question that someone needs to help us understand.

Wow. Well it sorta looked like that for 1 run. Wish he didnt raise they hypometer so much. I miss the old Joe.

Atta boy. Probably making Voyager a tad jealous... Have one for me.

may need it cause if this were easy to figure out (cept for the few that think they already do)...this is the fun and part of the game.

toggling back n forth between the majors, out to 132 they are pretty similar. They divulge beyond that w/ the GFS having a deeper trough (hence the better solution) vs the Euro much less diggy/troughy. As i stated above, GFS suite looks similar, so thats a plus. Thats what I'm focusing on in the next couple days...upper air...not surface. I'd think by late weekend we should have a better idea of what we may need....sleds or boats.